Forget it, Lawrence.The White House itself has realized this is a hopeless and reckless idea. An attack on Iran would collapse the US in Iraq.
yrs, andreas www.andreas.com----- Original Message ----- From: "Lawrence Helm" <lawrencehelm@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: "Lit-Ideas" <Lit-Ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> Sent: Sunday, September 30, 2007 10:03 PM Subject: [lit-ideas] The Case for Bombing Iran
Norman Podhoretz, wrote World War IV in September 2006. In the June 2007issue of Commentary he published an article entitled, "The Case for Bombing Iran." http://www.commentarymagazine.com/cm/main/viewArticle.html?id=10882Bush has been long suffering, but time is running out for Iran. Like John McCain said, the only thing worse than bombing Iran is for Iran to get the bomb. Podhoretz said in a CSPAN2 discussion of his book that he believesBush will bomb Iran soon. Apparently that view is also widely held in Iranas one can see in the following article sent me by a lurker [Lawrence]: http://www.ocnus.net/artman2/publish/Analyses_12/Silence_in_Syria_Panic_in_I ran.shtml Silence in Syria, Panic in Iran By Dr. Jack Wheeler, To The Point News 19/9/07 Sep 25, 2007 - 12:09:27 PM "Everyone in the government and military can only talk of one thing,' hereports. 'No matter who I talked to, all they could do was ask me, over andover again, 'Do you think the Americans will attack us?' 'When will the Americans attack us?' 'Will the Americans attack us in a joint operation with the Israelis?' How massive will the attack be?' on and on, endlessly. The Iranians are in a state of total panic.'And that was before September 6. Since then, it's panic-squared in Tehran.The mullahs are freaking out in fear. Why? Because of the silence in Syria. On September 6, Israeli Air Force F-15 and F-16s conducted a devastating attack on targets deep inside Syria near the city of Dayr az-Zawr. Israel's military censors have muzzled the Israeli media, enforcing an extraordinary silence about the identity of the targets.Massive speculation in the world press has followed, such as Brett Stephens'Osirak II? in yesterday's (9/18) Wall St. Journal. Stephens and most everyone else have missed the real story. It is not Israel's silence that 'speaks volumes' as he claims, but Syria's. Why would the Syrian government be so tight-lipped about an act of war perpetrated on their soil? The first half of the answer lies in this storythat appeared in the Israeli media last month (8/13): Syria's Antiaircraft System Most Advanced In World. Syria has gone on a profligate buying spree,spending vast sums on Russian systems, 'considered the cutting edge in aircraft interception technology.' Syria now 'possesses the most crowded antiaircraft system in the world,' with 'more than 200 antiaircraftbatteries of different types,' some of which are so new that they have been installed in Syria 'before being introduced into Russian operation service.' While you're digesting that, take a look at the map of Syria: Notice how faraway Dayr az-Zawr is from Israel. An F15/16 attack there is not a tiptoe across the border, but a deep, deep penetration of Syrian airspace. Andguess what happened with the Russian super-hyper-sophisticated cutting edge antiaircraft missile batteries when that penetration took place on September6th. Nothing. El blanko. Silence. The systems didn't even light up, gave no indication whatever of any detection of enemy aircraft invading Syrian airspace, zip,zero, nada. The Israelis (with a little techie assistance from us) blinded the Russkie antiaircraft systems so completely the Syrians didn't even know they were blinded. Now you see why the Syrians have been scared speechless.They thought they were protected - at enormous expense - only to discover they are defenseless. As in naked. Thus the Great Iranian Freak-Out - for this means Iran is just as nakedly defenseless as Syria.I can tell you that there are a lot of folks in the Kirya (IDF headquarters in Tel Aviv) and the Pentagon right now who are really enjoying the mullahs'predicament. Let's face it: scaring the terror masters in Tehran out of their wits is fun. It's so much fun, in fact, that an attack destroying Iran's nuclear facilities and the Revolutionary Guard command/control centers has been delayed, so that France (under new management) can get in on the fun too. On Sunday (9/16), Sarkozy's foreign minister Bernard Kouchner announced that 'France should prepare for the possibility of warover Iran's nuclear program.' All of this has caused Tehran to respond withmaniacal threats. On Monday (9/17), a government website proclaimed that'600 Shihab-3 missiles' will be fired at targets in Israel in response to anattack upon Iran by the US/Israel. This was followed by Iranian deputy air force chief Gen. Mohammad Alaviannouncing today (9/19) that 'we will attack their (Israeli) territory with our fighter bombers as a response to any attack.' A sure sign of panic is tomake a threat that everyone knows is a bluff. So our and Tel Aviv's response to Iranian bluster is a thank-you-for-sharing yawn and a laugh. Few things rattle the mullahs' cages more than a yawn and a laugh. Yet no matter how much fun this sport with the mullahs is, it is also deadly serious. The pressure build-up on Iran is getting enormous. Something isgoing to blow and soon. The hope is that the blow-up will be internal, thatthe regime will implode from within. But make no mistake: an all-out full regime take-out air assault upon Iran is coming if that hope doesn'tmaterialize within the next 60 to 90 days. The Sept. 6 attack on Syria wasthe shot across Iran's bow.So - what was attacked near Dayr az-Zawr? It's possible it was North Korean'nuclear material' recently shipped to Syria, i.e., stuff to makeradioactively 'dirty' warheads, but nothing to make a real nuke with as theNorks don't have real nukes (see Why North Korea's Nuke Test Is Such Good News, October 2006). Another possibility is it was to take out a stockpileof long-range Zilzal surface-to-surface missiles recently shipped from Iranfor an attack on Israel. A third is it was a hit on the stockpile of Saddam's chemical/bio weapons snuck out of Iraq and into Syria for safekeeping before the US invasion of April 2003. But the identity of the target is not the story - for the primary point of the attack was not todestroy that target. It was to shut down Syria's Russian air defense system during the attack. Doing so made the attack an incredible success. Syria is shamed and silent. Iran is freaking out in panic. Defenseless enemies arefun.
------------------------------------------------------------------ To change your Lit-Ideas settings (subscribe/unsub, vacation on/off, digest on/off), visit www.andreas.com/faq-lit-ideas.html