Lawrence, 1. Scenario planning using soft systems methodology is NOT decision making by committee. It's a process developed in response to both the usual ineptness of committees formed on an ad hoc basis and to the blinkers imposed when only one perspective is permitted in decision-making. The aim is to ensure that relevant factors are not omitted when assessing situations, e.g., L. Paul Bremer, "We didn't expect the insurgency." 2. The situation in Iran is rather more complicated than the one you describe. See, for example, http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HB18Ak02.html Cheers, John -- John McCreery The Word Works, Ltd. 55-13-202 Miyagaya, Nishi-ku Yokohama 220-0006, JAPAN ------------------------------------------------------------------ To change your Lit-Ideas settings (subscribe/unsub, vacation on/off, digest on/off), visit www.andreas.com/faq-lit-ideas.html