[lit-ideas] Re: Salt Grains

  • From: "John McCreery" <john.mccreery@xxxxxxxxx>
  • To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Sat, 18 Feb 2006 14:19:54 +0900

Lawrence,

1. Scenario planning using soft systems methodology is NOT decision
making by committee. It's a process developed in response to both the
usual ineptness of committees formed on an ad hoc basis and to the
blinkers imposed when only one perspective is permitted in
decision-making. The aim is to ensure that relevant factors are not
omitted when assessing situations, e.g., L. Paul Bremer, "We didn't
expect the insurgency."

2. The situation in Iran is rather more complicated than the one you
describe. See, for example,

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HB18Ak02.html


Cheers,

John
--
John McCreery
The Word Works, Ltd.
55-13-202 Miyagaya, Nishi-ku
Yokohama 220-0006, JAPAN
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