[lit-ideas] Re: Polls: for future reference
- From: "Julie Krueger" <juliereneb@xxxxxxxxx>
- To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Thu, 6 Nov 2008 02:29:17 -0600
To what (in terms of polling tactics, etc.) do attribute that?
On Wed, Nov 5, 2008 at 10:42 PM, Eric Yost <mr.eric.yost@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>
>
> The List: Which presidential polls were most accurate?
>
> The Pew Research Center and Rasmussen Reports were the most accurate in
> predicting the results of the 2008 election, according to a new analysis by
> Fordham University political scientist Costas Panagopoulos.
>
> The Fordham analysis ranks 23 survey research organizations on their final,
> national pre-election polls, as reported on pollster.com.
>
> On average, the polls slightly overestimated Obama's strength. The final
> polls showed the Democratic ahead by an average of 7.52 percentage points --
> 1.37 percentage points above his current 6.15-point popular vote lead.
> Seventeen of the 23 surveys overstated Obama's final victory level, while
> four underestimated it. Only two -- Rasmussen and Pew -- were spot on.
>
>
> http://blogs.chron.com/txpotomac/2008/11/the_list_which_presidential_po.html
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--
Julie Krueger
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