[lit-ideas] Polls

  • From: "John McCreery" <john.mccreery@xxxxxxxxx>
  • To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Tue, 27 Jun 2006 22:42:39 +0900

Good to see that Eric has discovered polling report and takes polls
seriously. This one, just released, must, however, be a bit disturbing
to him.

======

WASHINGTON â A majority of Americans say Congress should pass a
resolution that outlines a plan for withdrawing U.S. troops from Iraq,
according to a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll taken Friday through Sunday. Half
of those surveyed would like all U.S. forces out within 12 months.
The poll finds support for the ideas behind Democratic proposals that
were soundly defeated in the Senate last week. An uptick in optimism
toward the war after the killing of terrorist leader Abu Musab
al-Zarqawi earlier this month seems to have evaporated.

========

What is particularly interesting here is that Gallup is well-known in
the political polling community for oversampling older, more
conservative and thus more Republican voters, enough to produce a
consistent bias in its reported results.

Cheers,

John

(From the hot heart of South Texas, Corpus Christi, where the good
news is that the new grandson is flourishing.)

--
John McCreery
The Word Works, Ltd., Yokohama, JAPAN

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