No, the story of the turkey is in *The Black Swan. *It is not the black swan. John On Sun, Nov 20, 2011 at 9:32 PM, Donal McEvoy <donalmcevoyuk@xxxxxxxxxxx>wrote: > > > ------------------------------ > *From:* John McCreery <john.mccreery@xxxxxxxxx> > ** > >Credit where credit is due: That turkey is from Nassim Nicholas Taleb. > > That was a black swan (though, and especially at this time of year, > unscrupulous types may have been passing this off as a reverse-albino > long-necked turkey). It was Russell who used that turkey who is strangled > as a sign of the dangers of inductivism; though he did not mention > Thanksgiving in his analogy, it was otherwise the same. > > What Russell made of Popper's non-inductivist epistemology is, genuinely, > something of a mystery and an interesting one - at least to me. He more or > less sided with Popper against Wittgenstein in the pokers-at-dawn incident > at the Moral Sciences Club and wrote very favourably about The Open > Society. But I do not know what he made of Popper's non-inductivist > account of science and, if he dissented, why. It may be he had more or less > given up on the whole topic by the time Popper's work was there for > consideration. Though they did meet and indeed Popper wished to dedicate > his Postscript to The Logic of Scientific Discovery to Russell. In fact, > the squabble between Popper and Wittgenstein can be seen as one between > heirs apparent to Russell's approach to philosophy. Answers on a postcard > to:- > > Donal McEvoy > Foggy London Town > > > > > > -- John McCreery The Word Works, Ltd., Yokohama, JAPAN Tel. +81-45-314-9324 jlm@xxxxxxxxxxxx http://www.wordworks.jp/