[lit-ideas] Naomi Klein question

  • From: Eternitytime1@xxxxxxx
  • To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Thu, 14 Oct 2004 23:57:05 EDT

Hi,
 
Can someone tell me about Naomi Klein?  I think I keep mixing her up  with 
someone else...
 
Thanks,
Marlena in Missouri
 
 
Baghdad Year Zero
Pillaging Iraq in pursuit of a neocon utopia
Posted  on Friday, September 24, 2004. Originally from Harper's Magazine, 
September  2004. By Naomi Klein.
http://harpers.org/BaghdadYearZero.html

It  was only after I had been in Baghdad for a month that I found what I was  
looking for. I had traveled to Iraq a year after the war began, at the  
height 
of what should have been a construction boom, but after weeks of  searching I 
had not seen a single piece of heavy machinery apart from tanks  and humvees. 
Then I saw it: a construction crane. It was big and yellow and  impressive, 
and when I caught a glimpse of it around a corner in a busy  shopping 
district 
I thought that I was finally about to witness some of the  reconstruction I 
had heard so much about. But as I got closer I noticed that  the crane was 
not 
actually rebuilding anythingâ??not one of the bombed-out  government buildings 
that still lay in rubble all over the city, nor one of  the many power lines 
that remained in twisted heaps even as the heat of  summer was starting to 
bear down. No, the crane was hoisting a giant  billboard to the top of a 
three-story building. SUNBULAH: HONEY 100%  NATURAL, made in Saudi Arabia.

Seeing the sign, I couldnâ??t help but think  about something Senator John 
McCain 
had said back in October. Iraq, he said,  is â??a huge pot of honey thatâ??s 
attracting a lot of flies.â?? The flies McCain  was referring to were the 
Halliburtons and Bechtels, as well as the venture  capitalists who flocked to 
Iraq in the path cleared by Bradley Fighting  Vehicles and laser-guided 
bombs. 
The honey that drew them was not just  no-bid contracts and Iraqâ??s famed oil 
wealth but the myriad investment  opportunities offered by a country that had 
just been cracked wide open  after decades of being sealed off, first by the 
nationalist economic  policies of Saddam Hussein, then by asphyxiating United 
Nations  sanctions.

Looking at the honey billboard, I was also reminded of the  most common 
explanation for what has gone wrong in Iraq, a complaint echoed  by everyone 
from John Kerry to Pat Buchanan: Iraq is mired in blood and  deprivation 
because George W. Bush didnâ??t have â??a postwar plan.â?? The only  problem 
with 
this theory is that it isnâ??t true. The Bush Administration did  have a plan 
for what it would do after the war; put simply, it was to lay  out as much 
honey as possible, then sit back and wait for the  flies.

* * *

The honey theory of Iraqi reconstruction stems from  the most cherished 
belief 
of the warâ??s ideological architects: that greed is  good. Not good just for 
them and their friends but good for humanity, and  certainly good for Iraqis. 
Greed creates profit, which creates growth, which  creates jobs and products 
and services and everything else anyone could  possibly need or want. The 
role 
of good government, then, is to create the  optimal conditions for 
corporations to pursue their bottomless greed, so  that they in turn can meet 
the needs of the society. The problem is that  governments, even 
neoconservative governments, rarely get the chance to  prove their sacred 
theory right: despite their enormous ideological  advances, even George Bushâ??
s 
Republicans are, in their own minds,  perennially sabotaged by meddling 
Democrats, intractable unions, and  alarmist environmentalists.

Iraq was going to change all that. In one  place on Earth, the theory would 
finally be put into practice in its most  perfect and uncompromised form. A 
country of 25 million would not be rebuilt  as it was before the war; it 
would 
be erased, disappeared. In its place  would spring forth a gleaming showroom 
for laissez-faire economics, a utopia  such as the world had never seen. 
Every 
policy that liberates multinational  corporations to pursue their quest for 
profit would be put into place: a  shrunken state, a flexible workforce, open 
borders, minimal taxes, no  tariffs, no ownership restrictions. The people of 
Iraq would, of course,  have to endure some short-term pain: assets, 
previously owned by the state,  would have to be given up to create new 
opportunities for growth and  investment. Jobs would have to be lost and, as 
foreign products flooded  across the border, local businesses and family 
farms 
would, unfortunately,  be unable to compete. But to the authors of this plan, 
these would be small  prices to pay for the economic boom that would surely 
explode once the  proper conditions were in place, a boom so powerful the 
country would  practically rebuild itself.

The fact that the boom never came and Iraq  continues to tremble under 
explosions of a very different sort should never  be blamed on the absence of 
a plan. Rather, the blame rests with the plan  itself, and the 
extraordinarily 
violent ideology upon which it is  based.

* * *

Torturers believe that when electrical shocks are  applied to various parts 
of 
the body simultaneously subjects are rendered so  confused about where the 
pain is coming from that they become incapable of  resistance. A declassified 
CIA â??Counterintelligence Interrogationâ?? manual  from 1963 describes how a 
trauma inflicted on prisoners opens up â??an  intervalâ??which may be extremely 
briefâ??of suspended animation, a kind of  psychological shock or 
paralysis. . . . [A]t this moment the source is far  more open to suggestion, 
far likelier to comply.â?? A similar theory applies  to economic shock therapy, 
or â??shock treatment,â?? the ugly term used to  describe the rapid 
implementation 
of free-market reforms imposed on Chile in  the wake of General Augusto 
Pinochetâ??s coup. The theory is that if painful  economic â??adjustmentsâ?? 
are 
brought in rapidly and in the aftermath of a  seismic social disruption like 
a 
war, a coup, or a government collapse, the  population will be so stunned, 
and 
so preoccupied with the daily pressures  of survival, that it too will go 
into 
suspended animation, unable to resist.  As Pinochetâ??s finance minister, 
Admiral Lorenzo Gotuzzo, declared, â??The  dogâ??s tail must be cut off in one 
chop.â??

That, in essence, was the  working thesis in Iraq, and in keeping with the 
belief that private  companies are more suited than governments for virtually 
every task, the  White House decided to privatize the task of privatizing 
Iraqâ??s  state-dominated economy. Two months before the war began, USAID began 
 
drafting a work order, to be handed out to a private company, to oversee  
Iraqâ??s â??transition to a sustainable market-driven economic system.â?? The  
document states that the winning company (which turned out to be the KPMG  
offshoot Bearing Point) will take â??appropriate advantage of the unique  
opportunity for rapid progress in this area presented by the current  
configuration of political circumstances.â?? Which is precisely what  happened.

L. Paul Bremer, who led the U.S. occupation of Iraq from May 2,  2003, until 
he 
caught an early flight out of Baghdad on June 28, admits that  when he 
arrived, â??Baghdad was on fire, literally, as I drove in from the  airport.â?? 
But before the fires from the â??shock and aweâ?? military onslaught  were even 
extinguished, Bremer unleashed his shock therapy, pushing through  more 
wrenching changes in one sweltering summer than the International  Monetary 
Fund has managed to enact over three decades in Latin America.  Joseph 
Stiglitz, Nobel laureate and former chief economist at the World  Bank, 
describes Bremerâ??s reforms as â??an even more radical form of shock  therapy 
than pursued in the former Soviet world.â??

The tone of  Bremerâ??s tenure was set with his first major act on the job: he 
fired  500,000 state workers, most of them soldiers, but also doctors, 
nurses,  
teachers, publishers, and printers. Next, he flung open the countryâ??s  
borders 
to absolutely unrestricted imports: no tariffs, no duties, no  inspections, 
no 
taxes. Iraq, Bremer declared two weeks after he arrived, was  â??open for 
business.â??

One month later, Bremer unveiled the centerpiece  of his reforms. Before the 
invasion, Iraqâ??s non-oil-related economy had been  dominated by 200 
state-owned companies, which produced everything from  cement to paper to 
washing machines. In June, Bremer flew to an economic  summit in Jordan and 
announced that these firms would be privatized  immediately. â??Getting 
inefficient state enterprises into private hands,â?? he  said, â??is essential 
for 
Iraqâ??s economic recovery.â?? It would be the largest  state liquidation sale 
since the collapse of the Soviet Union.

But  Bremerâ??s economic engineering had only just begun. In September, to 
entice  
foreign investors to come to Iraq, he enacted a radical set of laws  
unprecedented in their generosity to multinational corporations. There was  
Order 37, which lowered Iraqâ??s corporate tax rate from roughly 40 percent to  
a flat 15 percent. There was Order 39, which allowed foreign companies to  
own 
100 percent of Iraqi assets outside of the natural-resource sector. Even  
better, investors could take 100 percent of the profits they made in Iraq  
out 
of the country; they would not be required to reinvest and they would  not be 
taxed. Under Order 39, they could sign leases and contracts that  would last 
for forty years. Order 40 welcomed foreign banks to Iraq under  the same 
favorable terms. All that remained of Saddam Husseinâ??s economic  policies was 
a law restricting trade unions and collective  bargaining.

If these policies sound familiar, itâ??s because they are the  same ones 
multinationals around the world lobby for from national  governments and in 
international trade agreements. But while these reforms  are only ever 
enacted 
in part, or in fits and starts, Bremer delivered them  all, all at once. 
Overnight, Iraq went from being the most isolated country  in the world to 
being, on paper, its widest-open market.

* *  *

At first, the shock-therapy theory seemed to hold: Iraqis, reeling from  
violence both military and economic, were far too busy staying alive to  
mount 
a political response to Bremerâ??s campaign. Worrying about the  privatization 
of the sewage system was an unimaginable luxury with half the  population 
lacking access to clean drinking water; the debate over the flat  tax would 
have to wait until the lights were back on. Even in the  international press, 
Bremerâ??s new laws, though radical, were easily upstaged  by more dramatic 
news 
of political chaos and rising crime.

Some  people were paying attention, of course. That autumn was awash in  
â??rebuilding Iraqâ?? trade shows, in Washington, London, Madrid, and Amman. 
The 
 
Economist described Iraq under Bremer as â??a capitalist dream,â?? and a flurry 
 
of new consulting firms were launched promising to help companies get access  
to the Iraqi market, their boards of directors stacked with well-connected  
Republicans. The most prominent was New Bridge Strategies, started by Joe  
Allbaugh, former Bush-Cheney campaign manager. â??Getting the rights to  
distribute Procter & Gamble products can be a gold mine,â?? one of the  
companyâ??s partners enthused. â??One well-stocked 7-Eleven could knock out  
thirty Iraqi stores; a Wal-Mart could take over the country.â??

Soon  there were rumors that a McDonaldâ??s would be opening up in downtown 
Baghdad,  funding was almost in place for a Starwood luxury hotel, and 
General 
Motors  was planning to build an auto plant. On the financial side, HSBC 
would 
have  branches all over the country, Citigroup was preparing to offer 
substantial  loans guaranteed against future sales of Iraqi oil, and the bell 
was going  to ring on a New Yorkâ??style stock exchange in Baghdad any day.

In only a  few months, the postwar plan to turn Iraq into a laboratory for 
the 
neocons  had been realized. Leo Strauss may have provided the intellectual 
framework  for invading Iraq preemptively, but it was that other University 
of 
Chicago  professor, Milton Friedman, author of the anti-government manifesto  
Capitalism and Freedom, who supplied the manual for what to do once the  
country was safely in Americaâ??s hands. This represented an enormous victory  
for the most ideological wing of the Bush Administration. But it was also  
something more: the culmination of two interlinked power struggles, one  
among 
Iraqi exiles advising the White House on its postwar strategy, the  other 
within the White House itself.

* * *

As the British  historian Dilip Hiro has shown, in Secrets and Lies: 
Operation 
â??Iraqi  Freedomâ?? and After, the Iraqi exiles pushing for the invasion were 
divided,  broadly, into two camps. On one side were â??the pragmatists,â?? who 
favored  getting rid of Saddam and his immediate entourage, securing access 
to 
oil,  and slowly introducing free-market reforms. Many of these exiles were 
part  of the State Departmentâ??s Future of Iraq Project, which generated a  
thirteen-volume report on how to restore basic services and transition to  
democracy after the war. On the other side was the â??Year Zeroâ?? camp, those  
who believed that Iraq was so contaminated that it needed to be rubbed out  
and remade from scratch. The prime advocate of the pragmatic approach was  
Iyad Allawi, a former high-level Baathist who fell out with Saddam and  
started working for the CIA. The prime advocate of the Year Zero approach  
was 
Ahmad Chalabi, whose hatred of the Iraqi state for expropriating his  familyâ??
s 
assets during the 1958 revolution ran so deep he longed to see the  entire 
country burned to the groundâ??everything, that is, but the Oil  Ministry, 
which 
would be the nucleus of the new Iraq, the cluster of cells  from which an 
entire nation would grow. He called this process  â??de-Baathification.â??

A parallel battle between pragmatists and true  believers was being waged 
within the Bush Administration. The pragmatists  were men like Secretary of 
State Colin Powell and General Jay Garner, the  first U.S. envoy to postwar 
Iraq. General Garnerâ??s plan was straightforward  enough: fix the 
infrastructure, hold quick and dirty elections, leave the  shock therapy to 
the International Monetary Fund, and concentrate on  securing U.S. military 
bases on the model of the Philippines. â??I think we  should look right now at 
Iraq as our coaling station in the Middle East,â?? he  told the BBC. He also 
paraphrased T. E. Lawrence, saying, â??Itâ??s better for  them to do it 
imperfectly than for us to do it for them perfectly.â?? On the  other side was 
the usual cast of neoconservatives: Vice President Dick  Cheney, Secretary of 
Defense Donald Rumsfeld (who lauded Bremerâ??s â??sweeping  reformsâ?? as 
â??some 
of 
the most enlightened and inviting tax and investment  laws in the free 
worldâ??), Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz, and,  perhaps most 
centrally, Undersecretary of Defense Douglas Feith. Whereas the  State 
Department had its Future of Iraq report, the neocons had USAIDâ??s  contract 
with Bearing Point to remake Iraqâ??s economy: in 108 pages,  
â??privatizationâ?? 
was mentioned no fewer than fifty-one times. To the true  believers in the 
White House, General Garnerâ??s plans for postwar Iraq seemed  hopelessly 
unambitious. Why settle for a mere coaling station when you can  have a model 
free market? Why settle for the Philippines when you can have a  beacon unto 
the world?

The Iraqi Year Zeroists made natural allies  for the White House 
neoconservatives: Chalabiâ??s seething hatred of the  Baathist state fit nicely 
with the neoconsâ?? hatred of the state in general,  and the two agendas 
effortlessly merged. Together, they came to imagine the  invasion of Iraq as 
a 
kind of Rapture: where the rest of the world saw  death, they saw birthâ??a 
country redeemed through violence, cleansed by fire.  Iraq wasnâ??t being 
destroyed by cruise missiles, cluster bombs, chaos, and  looting; it was 
being 
born again. April 9, 2003, the day Baghdad fell, was  Day One of Year Zero.

While the war was being waged, it still wasnâ??t  clear whether the pragmatists 
or the Year Zeroists would be handed control  over occupied Iraq. But the 
speed with which the nation was conquered  dramatically increased the neoconsâ??
 
political capital, since they had been  predicting a â??cakewalkâ?? all along. 
Eight days after George Bush landed on  that aircraft carrier under a banner 
that said MISSION ACCOMPLISHED, the  President publicly signed on to the 
neoconsâ?? vision for Iraq to become a  model corporate state that would open 
up 
the entire region. On May 9, Bush  proposed the â??establishment of a 
U.S.-Middle East free trade area within a  decadeâ??; three days later, Bush 
sent Paul Bremer to Baghdad to replace Jay  Garner, who had been on the job 
for only three weeks. The message was  unequivocal: the pragmatists had lost; 
Iraq would belong to the  believers.

A Reagan-era diplomat turned entrepreneur, Bremer had recently  proven his 
ability to transform rubble into gold by waiting exactly one  month after the 
September 11 attacks to launch Crisis Consulting Practice, a  security 
company 
selling â??terrorism risk insuranceâ?? to multinationals.  Bremer had two 
lieutenants on the economic front: Thomas Foley and Michael  Fleischer, the 
heads of â??private sector developmentâ?? for the Coalition  Provisional 
Authority 
(CPA). Foley is a Greenwich, Connecticut,  multimillionaire, a longtime 
friend 
of the Bush family and a Bush-Cheney  campaign â??pioneerâ?? who has described 
Iraq as a modern California â??gold  rush.â?? Fleischer, a venture capitalist, 
is 
the brother of former White House  spokesman Ari Fleischer. Neither man had 
any high-level diplomatic  experience and both use the term corporate 
â??turnaroundâ?? specialist to  describe what they do. According to Foley, this 
uniquely qualified them to  manage Iraqâ??s economy because it was â??the 
mother 
of all  turnarounds.â??

Many of the other CPA postings were equally ideological.  The Green Zone, the 
city within a city that houses the occupation  headquarters in Saddamâ??s 
former 
palace, was filled with Young Republicans  straight out of the Heritage 
Foundation, all of them given responsibility  they could never have dreamed 
of 
receiving at home. Jay Hallen, a  twenty-four-year-old who had applied for a 
job at the White House, was put  in charge of launching Baghdadâ??s new stock 
exchange. Scott Erwin, a  twenty-one-year-old former intern to Dick Cheney, 
reported in an email home  that â??I am assisting Iraqis in the management of 
finances and budgeting for  the domestic security forces.â?? The college 
seniorâ??s favorite job before this  one? â??My time as an ice-cream truck 
driver.â?? In those early days, the Green  Zone felt a bit like the Peace 
Corps, 
for people who think the Peace Corps  is a communist plot. It was a chance to 
sleep on cots, wear army boots, and  cry â??incomingâ??â??all while being 
guarded 
around the clock by real  soldiers.

The teams of KPMG accountants, investment bankers, think-tank  lifers, and 
Young Republicans that populate the Green Zone have much in  common with the 
IMF missions that rearrange the economies of developing  countries from the 
presidential suites of Sheraton hotels the world over.  Except for one rather 
significant difference: in Iraq they were not  negotiating with the 
government 
to accept their â??structural adjustmentsâ?? in  exchange for a loan; they were 
the government.

Some small steps were  taken, however, to bring Iraqâ??s U.S.-appointed 
politicians inside. Yegor  Gaidar, the mastermind of Russiaâ??s mid-nineties 
privatization auction that  gave away the countryâ??s assets to the reigning 
oligarchs, was invited to  share his wisdom at a conference in Baghdad. Marek 
Belka, who as finance  minister oversaw the same process in Poland, was 
brought in as well. The  Iraqis who proved most gifted at mouthing the neocon 
lines were selected to  act as what USAID calls local â??policy 
championsâ??â??men 
like Ahmad al Mukhtar,  who told me of his countrymen, â??They are lazy. The 
Iraqis by nature, they  are very dependent. . . . They will have to depend on 
themselves, it is the  only way to survive in the world today.â?? Although he 
has no economics  background and his last job was reading the 
English-language 
news on  television, al Mukhtar was appointed director of foreign relations 
in 
the  Ministry of Trade and is leading the charge for Iraq to join the World 
Trade  Organization.

* * *

I had been following the economic front of the  war for almost a year before 
I 
decided to go to Iraq. I attended the  â??Rebuilding Iraqâ?? trade shows, 
studied 
Bremerâ??s tax and investment laws, met  with contractors at their home offices 
in the United States, interviewed the  government officials in Washington who 
are making the policies. But as I  prepared to travel to Iraq in March to see 
this experiment in free-market  utopianism up close, it was becoming 
increasingly clear that all was not  going according to plan. Bremer had been 
working on the theory that if you  build a corporate utopia the corporations 
will comeâ??but where were they?  American multinationals were happy to accept 
U.S. taxpayer dollars to  reconstruct the phone or electricity systems, but 
they werenâ??t sinking their  own money into Iraq. There was, as yet, no 
McDonaldâ??s or Wal-Mart in  Baghdad, and even the sales of state factories, 
announced so confidently  nine months earlier, had not materialized.

Some of the holdup had to do  with the physical risks of doing business in 
Iraq. But there were other more  significant risks as well. When Paul Bremer 
shredded Iraqâ??s Baathist  constitution and replaced it with what The 
Economist 
greeted approvingly as  â??the wish list of foreign investors,â?? there was one 
small detail he failed  to mention: It was all completely illegal. The CPA 
derived its legal  authority from United Nations Security Council Resolution 
1483, passed in  May 2003, which recognized the United States and Britain as 
Iraqâ??s  legitimate occupiers. It was this resolution that empowered Bremer to 
 
unilaterally make laws in Iraq. But the resolution also stated that the U.S.  
and Britain must â??comply fully with their obligations under international  
law 
including in particular the Geneva Conventions of 1949 and the Hague  
Regulations of 1907.â?? Both conventions were born as an attempt to curtail  
the 
unfortunate historical tendency among occupying powers to rewrite the  rules 
so that they can economically strip the nations they control. With  this in 
mind, the conventions stipulate that an occupier must abide by a  countryâ??s 
existing laws unless â??absolutely preventedâ?? from doing so. They  also state 
that an occupier does not own the â??public buildings, real estate,  forests 
and 
agricultural assetsâ?? of the country it is occupying but is  rather their 
â??administratorâ?? and custodian, keeping them secure until  sovereignty is 
reestablished. This was the true threat to the Year Zero  plan: since America 
didnâ??t own Iraqâ??s assets, it could not legally sell  them, which meant that 
after the occupation ended, an Iraqi government could  come to power and 
decide that it wanted to keep the state companies in  public hands, or, as is 
the norm in the Gulf region, to bar foreign firms  from owning 100 percent of 
national assets. If that happened, investments  made under Bremerâ??s rules 
could be expropriated, leaving firms with no  recourse because their 
investments had violated international law from the  outset.

By November, trade lawyers started to advise their corporate  clients not to 
go 
into Iraq just yet, that it would be better to wait until  after the 
transition. Insurance companies were so spooked that not a single  one of the 
big firms would insure investors for â??political risk,â?? that  high-stakes 
area 
of insurance law that protects companies against foreign  governments turning 
nationalist or socialist and expropriating their  investments.

Even the U.S.-appointed Iraqi politicians, up to now so  obedient, were 
getting 
nervous about their own political futures if they  went along with the 
privatization plans. Communications Minister Haider  al-Abadi told me about 
his first meeting with Bremer. â??I said, â??Look, we  donâ??t have the mandate 
to 
sell any of this. Privatization is a big thing. We  have to wait until there 
is an Iraqi government.â??â?? Minister of Industry  Mohamad Tofiq was even more 
direct: â??I am not going to do something that is  not legal, so thatâ??s it.â??

Both al-Abadi and Tofiq told me about a  meetingâ??never reported in the 
pressâ??
that took place in late October 2003. At  that gathering the twenty-five 
members of Iraqâ??s Governing Council as well  as the twenty-five interim 
ministers decided unanimously that they would not  participate in the 
privatization of Iraqâ??s state-owned companies or of its  publicly owned 
infrastructure.

But Bremer didnâ??t give up.  International law prohibits occupiers from 
selling 
state assets themselves,  but it doesnâ??t say anything about the puppet 
governments they appoint.  Originally, Bremer had pledged to hand over power 
to a directly elected  Iraqi government, but in early November he went to 
Washington for a private  meeting with President Bush and came back with a 
Plan B. On June 30 the  occupation would officially endâ??but not really. It 
would be replaced by an  appointed government, chosen by Washington. This 
government would not be  bound by the international laws preventing occupiers 
from selling off state  assets, but it would be bound by an â??interim 
constitution,â?? a document that  would protect Bremerâ??s investment and 
privatization laws.

The plan  was risky. Bremerâ??s June 30 deadline was awfully close, and it was 
chosen  for a less than ideal reason: so that President Bush could trumpet 
the 
end  of Iraqâ??s occupation on the campaign trail. If everything went according 
to  plan, Bremer would succeed in forcing a â??sovereignâ?? Iraqi government to 
 
carry out his illegal reforms. But if something went wrong, he would have to  
go ahead with the June 30 handover anyway because by then Karl Rove, and not  
Dick Cheney or Donald Rumsfeld, would be calling the shots. And if it came  
down to a choice between ideology in Iraq and the electability of George W.  
Bush, everyone knew which would win.

* * *

At first, Plan B  seemed to be right on track. Bremer persuaded the Iraqi 
Governing Council to  agree to everything: the new timetable, the interim 
government, and the  interim constitution. He even managed to slip into the 
constitution a  completely overlooked clause, Article 26. It stated that for 
the duration of  the interim government, â??The laws, regulations, orders and 
directives issued  by the Coalition Provisional Authority . . . shall remain 
in forceâ?? and  could only be changed after general elections are held.

Bremer had found  his legal loophole: There would be a windowâ??seven monthsâ??
when 
the occupation  was officially over but before general elections were 
scheduled to take  place. Within this window, the Hague and Geneva 
Conventionsâ?? bans on  privatization would no longer apply, but Bremerâ??s own 
laws, thanks to  Article 26, would stand. During these seven months, foreign 
investors could  come to Iraq and sign forty-year contracts to buy up Iraqi 
assets. If a  future elected Iraqi government decided to change the rules, 
investors could  sue for compensation.

But Bremer had a formidable opponent: Grand  Ayatollah Ali al Sistani, the 
most 
senior Shia cleric in Iraq. al Sistani  tried to block Bremerâ??s plan at every 
turn, calling for immediate direct  elections and for the constitution to be 
written after those elections, not  before. Both demands, if met, would have 
closed Bremerâ??s privatization  window. Then, on March 2, with the Shia 
members 
of the Governing Council  refusing to sign the interim constitution, five 
bombs exploded in front of  mosques in Karbala and Baghdad, killing close to 
200 worshipers. General  John Abizaid, the top U.S. commander in Iraq, warned 
that the country was on  the verge of civil war. Frightened by this prospect, 
al Sistani backed down  and the Shia politicians signed the interim 
constitution. It was a familiar  story: the shock of a violent attack paved 
the way for more shock  therapy.

When I arrived in Iraq a week later, the economic project seemed  to be back 
on 
track. All that remained for Bremer was to get his interim  constitution 
ratified by a Security Council resolution, then the nervous  lawyers and 
insurance brokers could relax and the sell-off of Iraq could  finally begin. 
The CPA, meanwhile, had launched a major new P.R. offensive  designed to 
reassure investors that Iraq was still a safe and exciting place  to do 
business. The centerpiece of the campaign was Destination Baghdad  
Exposition, 
a massive trade show for potential investors to be held in early  April at 
the 
Baghdad International Fairgrounds. It was the first such event  inside Iraq, 
and the organizers had branded the trade fair â??DBX,â?? as if it  were some 
sort 
of Mountain Dewâ??sponsored dirt-bike race. In keeping with the  extreme-sports 
theme, Thomas Foley traveled to Washington to tell a  gathering of executives 
that the risks in Iraq are akin â??to skydiving or  riding a motorcycle, which 
are, to many, very acceptable risks.â??

But  three hours after my arrival in Baghdad, I was finding these 
reassurances  
extremely hard to believe. I had not yet unpacked when my hotel room was  
filled with debris and the windows in the lobby were shattered. Down the  
street, the Mount Lebanon Hotel had just been bombed, at that point the  
largest attack of its kind since the official end of the war. The next day,  
another hotel was bombed in Basra, then two Finnish businessmen were  
murdered 
on their way to a meeting in Baghdad. Brigadier General Mark  Kimmitt finally 
admitted that there was a pattern at work: â??the extremists  have started 
shifting away from the hard targets . . . [and] are now going  out of their 
way to specifically target softer targets.â?? The next day, the  State 
Department updated its travel advisory: U.S. citizens were â??strongly  warned 
against travel to Iraq.â??

The physical risks of doing business  in Iraq seemed to be spiraling out of 
control. This, once again, was not  part of the original plan. When Bremer 
first arrived in Baghdad, the armed  resistance was so low that he was able 
to 
walk the streets with a minimal  security entourage. During his first four 
months on the job, 109 U.S.  soldiers were killed and 570 were wounded. In 
the 
following four months,  when Bremerâ??s shock therapy had taken effect, the 
number of U.S. casualties  almost doubled, with 195 soldiers killed and 1,633 
wounded. There are many  in Iraq who argue that these events are connectedâ??
that Bremerâ??s reforms were  the single largest factor leading to the rise of 
armed  resistance.

Take, for instance, Bremerâ??s first casualties. The soldiers  and workers he 
laid off without pensions or severance pay didnâ??t all  disappear quietly. 
Many 
of them went straight into the mujahedeen, forming  the backbone of the armed 
resistance. â??Half a million people are now worse  off, and there you have the 
water tap that keeps the insurgency going. Itâ??s  alternative employment,â?? 
says 
Hussain Kubba, head of the prominent Iraqi  business group Kubba Consulting. 
Some of Bremerâ??s other economic casualties  also have failed to go quietly. 
It 
turns out that many of the businessmen  whose companies are threatened by 
Bremerâ??s investment laws have decided to  make investments of their ownâ??in 
the 
resistance. It is partly their money  that keeps fighters in Kalashnikovs and 
RPGs.

These developments  present a challenge to the basic logic of shock therapy: 
the neocons were  convinced that if they brought in their reforms quickly and 
ruthlessly,  Iraqis would be too stunned to resist. But the shock appears to 
have had the  opposite effect; rather than the predicted paralysis, it jolted 
many Iraqis  into action, much of it extreme. Haider al-Abadi, Iraqâ??s 
minister 
of  communication, puts it this way: â??We know that there are terrorists in 
the  
country, but previously they were not successful, they were isolated. Now  
because the whole country is unhappy, and a lot of people donâ??t have  
jobs . . . these terrorists are finding listening ears.â??

Bremer was  now at odds not only with the Iraqis who opposed his plans but 
with 
U.S  military commanders charged with putting down the insurgency his 
policies  
were feeding. Heretical questions began to be raised: instead of laying  
people off, what if the CPA actually created jobs for Iraqis? And instead of  
rushing to sell off Iraqâ??s 200 state-owned firms, how about putting them  
back 
to work?

* * *

From the start, the neocons running Iraq  had shown nothing but disdain for 
Iraqâ??s state-owned companies. In keeping  with their Year Zeroâ??apocalyptic 
glee, when looters descended on the  factories during the war, U.S. forces 
did 
nothing. Sabah Asaad, managing  director of a refrigerator factory outside 
Baghdad, told me that while the  looting was going on, he went to a nearby 
U.S. Army base and begged for  help. â??I asked one of the officers to send two 
soldiers and a vehicle to  help me kick out the looters. I was crying. The 
officer said, â??Sorry, we  canâ??t do anything, we need an order from 
President 
Bush.â??â?? Back in  Washington, Donald Rumsfeld shrugged. â??Free people are 
free 
to make mistakes  and commit crimes and do bad things.â??


To see the remains of Asaadâ??s  football-field-size warehouse is to understand 
why Frank Gehry had an  artistic crisis after September 11 and was briefly 
unable to design  structures resembling the rubble of modern buildings. 
Asaadâ??s looted and  burned factory looks remarkably like a heavy-metal 
version 
of Gehryâ??s  Guggenheim in Bilbao, Spain, with waves of steel, buckled by 
fire, 
lying in  terrifyingly beautiful golden heaps. Yet all was not lost. â??The 
looters were  good-hearted,â?? one of Asaadâ??s painters told me, explaining 
that 
they left  the tools and machines behind, â??so we could work again.â?? Because 
the  machines are still there, many factory managers in Iraq say that it 
would  
take little for them to return to full production. They need emergency  
generators to cope with daily blackouts, and they need capital for parts and  
raw materials. If that happened, it would have tremendous implications for  
Iraqâ??s stalled reconstruction, because it would mean that many of the key  
materials needed to rebuildâ??cement and steel, bricks and furnitureâ??could be 
 
produced inside the country.

But it hasnâ??t happened. Immediately  after the nominal end of the war, 
Congress 
appropriated $2.5 billion for the  reconstruction of Iraq, followed by an 
additional $18.4 billion in October.  Yet as of July 2004, Iraqâ??s state-owned 
factories had been pointedly  excluded from the reconstruction contracts. 
Instead, the billions have all  gone to Western companies, with most of the 
materials for the reconstruction  imported at great expense from abroad.

With unemployment as high as 67  percent, the imported products and foreign 
workers flooding across the  borders have become a source of tremendous 
resentment in Iraq and yet  another open tap fueling the insurgency. And 
Iraqis donâ??t have to look far  for reminders of this injustice; itâ??s on 
display in the most ubiquitous  symbol of the occupation: the blast wall. The 
ten-foot-high slabs of  reinforced concrete are everywhere in Iraq, 
separating 
the protectedâ??the  people in upscale hotels, luxury homes, military bases, 
and, of course, the  Green Zoneâ??from the unprotected and exposed. If that 
wasnâ??t injury enough,  all the blast walls are imported, from Kurdistan, 
Turkey, or even farther  afield, this despite the fact that Iraq was once a 
major manufacturer of  cement, and could easily be again. There are seventeen 
state-owned cement  factories across the country, but most are idle or 
working 
at only half  capacity. According to the Ministry of Industry, not one of 
these factories  has received a single contract to help with the 
reconstruction, even though  they could produce the walls and meet other 
needs 
for cement at a greatly  reduced cost. The CPA pays up to $1,000 per imported 
blast wall; local  manufacturers say they could make them for $100. Minister 
Tofiq says there  is a simple reason why the Americans refuse to help get 
Iraqâ??s cement  factories running again: among those making the decisions, â??
no 
one believes  in the public sector.â??[1]

This kind of ideological blindness has turned  Iraqâ??s occupiers into 
prisoners 
of their own policies, hiding behind walls  that, by their very existence, 
fuel the rage at the U.S. presence, thereby  feeding the need for more walls. 
In Baghdad the concrete barriers have been  given a popular nickname: Bremer 
Walls.

As the insurgency grew, it  soon became clear that if Bremer went ahead with 
his plans to sell off the  state companies, it could worsen the violence. 
There was no question that  privatization would require layoffs: the Ministry 
of Industry estimates that  roughly 145,000 workers would have to be fired to 
make the firms desirable  to investors, with each of those workers 
supporting, 
on average, five family  members. For Iraqâ??s besieged occupiers the question 
was: Would these  shock-therapy casualties accept their fate or would they 
rebel?

* *  *

The answer arrived, in rather dramatic fashion, at one of the largest  
state-owned companies, the General Company for Vegetable Oils. The complex  
of 
six factories in a Baghdad industrial zone produces cooking oil, hand  soap, 
laundry detergent, shaving cream, and shampoo. At least that is what I  was 
told by a receptionist who gave me glossy brochures and calendars  boasting 
of 
â??modern instrumentsâ?? and â??the latest and most up to date  developments in 
the 
field of industry.â?? But when I approached the soap  factory, I discovered a 
group of workers sleeping outside a darkened  building. Our guide rushed 
ahead, shouting something to a woman in a white  lab coat, and suddenly the 
factory scrambled into activity: lights switched  on, motors revved up, and 
workersâ??still blinking off sleepâ??began filling  two-liter plastic bottles 
with 
pale blue Zahi brand dishwashing  liquid.

I asked Nada Ahmed, the woman in the white coat, why the factory  wasnâ??t 
working a few minutes before. She explained that they have only  enough 
electricity and materials to run the machines for a couple of hours a  day, 
but when guests arriveâ??would-be investors, ministry officials,  journalistsâ??
they get them going. â??For show,â?? she explained. Behind us, a  dozen bulky 
machines sat idle, covered in sheets of dusty plastic and  secured with duct 
tape.

In one dark corner of the plant, we came  across an old man hunched over a 
sack 
filled with white plastic caps. With a  thin metal blade lodged in a wedge of 
wax, he carefully whittled down the  edges of each cap, leaving a pile of 
shavings at his feet. â??We donâ??t have  the spare part for the proper mold, 
so 
we have to cut them by hand,â?? his  supervisor explained apologetically. â??We 
havenâ??t received any parts from  Germany since the sanctions began.â?? I 
noticed 
that even on the assembly  lines that were nominally working there was almost 
no mechanization: bottles  were held under spouts by hand because conveyor 
belts donâ??t convey, lids  once snapped on by machines were being hammered in 
place with wooden  mallets. Even the water for the factory was drawn from an 
outdoor well,  hoisted by hand, and carried inside.

The solution proposed by the U.S.  occupiers was not to fix the plant but to 
sell it, and so when Bremer  announced the privatization auction back in June 
2003 this was among the  first companies mentioned. Yet when I visited the 
factory in March, nobody  wanted to talk about the privatization plan; the 
mere mention of the word  inside the plant inspired awkward silences and 
meaningful glances. This  seemed an unnatural amount of subtext for a soap 
factory, and I tried to get  to the bottom of it when I interviewed the 
assistant manager. But the  interview itself was equally odd: I had spent 
half 
a week setting it up,  submitting written questions for approval, getting a 
signed letter of  permission from the minister of industry, being questioned 
and searched  several times. But when I finally began the interview, the 
assistant manager  refused to tell me his name or let me record the 
conversation. â??Any manager  mentioned in the press is attacked afterwards,â?? 
he 
said. And when I asked  whether the company was being sold, he gave this 
oblique response: â??If the  decision was up to the workers, they are against 
privatization; but if itâ??s  up to the high-ranking officials and government, 
then privatization is an  order and orders must be followed.â??

I left the plant feeling that I knew  less than when Iâ??d arrived. But on the 
way out of the gates, a young  security guard handed my translator a note. He 
wanted us to meet him after  work at a nearby restaurant, â??to find out what 
is 
really going on with  privatization.â?? His name was Mahmud, and he was a 
twenty-five-year-old with  a neat beard and big black eyes. (For his safety, 
I 
have omitted his last  name.) His story began in July, a few weeks after 
Bremerâ??s privatization  announcement. The companyâ??s manager, on his way to 
work, was shot to death.  Press reports speculated that the manager was 
murdered because he was in  favor of privatizing the plant, but Mahmud was 
convinced that he was killed  because he opposed the plan. â??He would never 
have sold the factories like  the Americans want. Thatâ??s why they killed 
him.â??

The dead man was  replaced by a new manager, Mudhfar Jaâ??far. Shortly after 
taking over, Jaâ??far  called a meeting with ministry officials to discuss 
selling off the soap  factory, which would involve laying off two thirds of 
its employees.  Guarding that meeting were several security officers from the 
plant. They  listened closely to Jaâ??farâ??s plans and promptly reported the 
alarming news  to their coworkers. â??We were shocked,â?? Mahmud recalled. 
â??If 
the 
private  sector buys our company, the first thing they would do is reduce the 
staff  to make more money. And we will be forced into a very hard destiny, 
because  the factory is our only way of living.â??

Frightened by this prospect, a  group of seventeen workers, including Mahmud, 
marched into Jaâ??farâ??s office  to confront him on what they had heard. 
â??Unfortunately, he wasnâ??t there,  only the assistant manager, the one you 
met,â?? Mahmud told me. A fight broke  out: one worker struck the assistant 
manager, and a bodyguard fired three  shots at the workers. The crowd then 
attacked the bodyguard, took his gun,  and, Mahmud said, â??stabbed him with a 
knife in the back three times. He  spent a month in the hospital.â?? In January 
there was even more violence. On  their way to work, Jaâ??far, the manager, and 
his son were shot and badly  injured. Mahmud told me he had no idea who was 
behind the attack, but I was  starting to understand why factory managers in 
Iraq try to keep a low  profile.

At the end of our meeting, I asked Mahmud what would happen if  the plant was 
sold despite the workersâ?? objections. â??There are two choices,â??  he said, 
looking me in the eye and smiling kindly. â??Either we will set the  factory on 
fire and let the flames devour it to the ground, or we will blow  ourselves 
up 
inside of it. But it will not be privatized.â??

If there  ever was a moment when Iraqis were too disoriented to resist shock 
therapy,  that moment has definitely passed. Labor relations, like everything 
else in  Iraq, has become a blood sport. The violence on the streets howls at 
the  gates of the factories, threatening to engulf them. Workers fear job 
loss 
as  a death sentence, and managers, in turn, fear their workers, a fact that  
makes privatization distinctly more complicated than the neocons  foresaw.[2]

* * *

As I left the meeting with Mahmud, I got word  that there was a major 
demonstration outside the CPA headquarters.  Supporters of the radical young 
cleric Moqtada al Sadr were protesting the  closing of their newspaper, al 
Hawza, by military police. The CPA accused al  Hawza of publishing â??false 
articlesâ?? that could â??pose the real threat of  violence.â?? As an example, 
it 
cited an article that claimed Bremer â??is  pursuing a policy of starving the 
Iraqi people to make them preoccupied with  procuring their daily bread so 
they do not have the chance to demand their  political and individual 
freedoms.â?? To me it sounded less like hate  literature than a concise summary 
of Milton Friedmanâ??s recipe for shock  therapy.

A few days before the newspaper was shut down, I had gone to  Kufa during 
Friday prayers to listen to al Sadr at his mosque. He had  launched into a 
tirade against Bremerâ??s newly signed interim constitution,  calling it â??an 
unjust, terrorist document.â?? The message of the sermon was  clear: Grand 
Ayatollah Ali al Sistani may have backed down on the  constitution, but al 
Sadr and his supporters were still determined to fight  itâ??and if they 
succeeded they would sabotage the neoconsâ?? careful plan to  saddle Iraqâ??s 
next 
government with their â??wish listâ?? of laws. With the  closing of the 
newspaper, 
Bremer was giving al Sadr his response: he wasnâ??t  negotiating with this 
young 
upstart; heâ??d rather take him out with  force.

When I arrived at the demonstration, the streets were filled with  men 
dressed 
in black, the soon-to-be legendary Mahdi Army. It struck me that  if Mahmud 
lost his security guard job at the soap factory, he could be one  of them. 
Thatâ??s who al Sadrâ??s foot soldiers are: the young men who have been  shut 
out 
of the neoconsâ?? grand plans for Iraq, who see no possibilities for  work, and 
whose neighborhoods have seen none of the promised reconstruction.  Bremer 
has 
failed these young men, and everywhere that he has failed,  Moqtada al Sadr 
has cannily set out to succeed. In Shia slums from Baghdad  to Basra, a 
network of Sadr Centers coordinate a kind of shadow  reconstruction. Funded 
through donations, the centers dispatch electricians  to fix power and phone 
lines, organize local garbage collection, set up  emergency generators, run 
blood drives, direct traffic where the  streetlights donâ??t work. And yes, 
they 
organize militias too. Al Sadr took  Bremerâ??s economic casualties, dressed 
them in black, and gave them rusty  Kalashnikovs. His militiamen protected 
the 
mosques and the state factories  when the occupation authorities did not, but 
in some areas they also went  further, zealously enforcing Islamic law by 
torching liquor stores and  terrorizing women without the veil. Indeed, the 
astronomical rise of the  brand of religious fundamentalism that al Sadr 
represents is another kind of  blowback from Bremerâ??s shock therapy: if the 
reconstruction had provided  jobs, security, and services to Iraqis, al Sadr 
would have been deprived of  both his mission and many of his newfound 
followers.

At the same time  as al Sadrâ??s followers were shouting â??Down with 
Americaâ?? 
outside the Green  Zone, something was happening in another part of the 
country that would  change everything. Four American mercenary soldiers were 
killed in Fallujah,  their charred and dismembered bodies hung like trophies 
over the Euphrates.  The attacks would prove a devastating blow for the 
neocons, one from which  they would never recover. With these images, 
investing in Iraq suddenly  didnâ??t look anything like a capitalist dream; it 
looked like a macabre  nightmare made real.

The day I left Baghdad was the worst yet. Fallujah  was under siege and Brig. 
Gen. Kimmitt was threatening to â??destroy the  al-Mahdi Army.â?? By the end, 
roughly 2,000 Iraqis were killed in these twin  campaigns. I was dropped off 
at a security checkpoint several miles from the  airport, then loaded onto a 
bus jammed with contractors lugging hastily  packed bags. Although no one was 
calling it one, this was an evacuation:  over the next week 1,500 contractors 
left Iraq, and some governments began  airlifting their citizens out of the 
country. On the bus no one spoke; we  all just listened to the mortar fire, 
craning our necks to see the red glow.  A guy carrying a KPMG briefcase 
decided to lighten things up. â??So is there  business class on this flight?â?? 
he 
asked the silent bus. From the back,  somebody called out, â??Not yet.â??

Indeed, it may be quite a while before  business class truly arrives in Iraq. 
When we landed in Amman, we learned  that we had gotten out just in time. 
That 
morning three Japanese civilians  were kidnapped and their captors were 
threatening to burn them alive. Two  days later Nicholas Berg went missing 
and 
was not seen again until the snuff  film surfaced of his beheading, an even 
more terrifying message for U.S.  contractors than the charred bodies in 
Fallujah. These were the start of a  wave of kidnappings and killings of 
foreigners, most of them businesspeople,  from a rainbow of nations: South 
Korea, Italy, China, Nepal, Pakistan, the  Philippines, Turkey. By the end of 
June more than ninety contractors were  reported dead in Iraq. When seven 
Turkish contractors were kidnapped in  June, their captors asked the â??company 
to cancel all contracts and pull out  employees from Iraq.â?? Many insurance 
companies stopped selling life  insurance to contractors, and others began to 
charge premiums as high as  $10,000 a week for a single Western executiveâ??the 
same price some insurgents  reportedly pay for a dead American.

For their part, the organizers of  DBX, the historic Baghdad trade fair, 
decided to relocate to the lovely  tourist city of Diyarbakir in Turkey, â??
just 
250 km from the Iraqi border.â??  An Iraqi landscape, only without those 
frightening Iraqis. Three weeks later  just fifteen people showed up for a 
Commerce Department conference in  Lansing, Michigan, on investing in Iraq. 
Its host, Republican Congressman  Mike Rogers, tried to reassure his 
skeptical 
audience by saying that Iraq is  â??like a rough neighborhood anywhere in 
America.â?? The foreign investors, the  ones who were offered every imaginable 
free-market enticement, are clearly  not convinced; there is still no sign of 
them. Keith Crane, a senior  economist at the Rand Corporation who has worked 
for the CPA, put it  bluntly: â??I donâ??t believe the board of a multinational 
company could approve  a major investment in this environment. If people are 
shooting at each  other, itâ??s just difficult to do business.â?? Hamid Jassim 
Khamis, the manager  of the largest soft-drink bottling plant in the region, 
told me he canâ??t  find any investors, even though he landed the exclusive 
rights to produce  Pepsi in central Iraq. â??A lot of people have approached us 
to invest in the  factory, but people are really hesitating now.â?? Khamis said 
he couldnâ??t  blame them; in five months he has survived an attempted 
assassination, a  carjacking, two bombs planted at the entrance of his 
factory, and the  kidnapping of his son.

Despite having been granted the first license for  a foreign bank to operate 
in 
Iraq in forty years, HSBC still hasnâ??t opened  any branches, a decision that 
may mean losing the coveted license  altogether. Procter & Gamble has put its 
joint venture on hold, and so  has General Motors. The U.S. financial backers 
of the Starwood luxury hotel  and multiplex have gotten cold feet, and 
Siemens 
AG has pulled most staff  from Iraq. The bell hasnâ??t rung yet at the Baghdad 
Stock Exchangeâ??in fact  you canâ??t even use credit cards in Iraqâ??s 
cash-only 
economy. New Bridge  Strategies, the company that had gushed back in October 
about how â??a  Wal-Mart could take over the country,â?? is sounding distinctly 
humbled.  â??McDonaldâ??s is not opening anytime soon,â?? company partner Ed 
Rogers 
told the  Washington Post. Neither is Wal-Mart. The Financial Times has 
declared Iraq  â??the most dangerous place in the world in which to do 
business.â?? Itâ??s quite  an accomplishment: in trying to design the best 
place 
in the world to do  business, the neocons have managed to create the worst, 
the most eloquent  indictment yet of the guiding logic behind deregulated 
free  
markets.

The violence has not just kept investors out; it also forced  Bremer, before 
he 
left, to abandon many of his central economic policies.  Privatization of the 
state companies is off the table; instead, several of  the state companies 
have been offered up for lease, but only if the investor  agrees not to lay 
off a single employee. Thousands of the state workers that  Bremer fired have 
been rehired, and significant raises have been handed out  in the public 
sector as a whole. Plans to do away with the food-ration  program have also 
been scrappedâ??it just doesnâ??t seem like a good time to  deny millions of 
Iraqis the only nutrition on which they can  depend.

* * *

The final blow to the neocon dream came in the weeks  before the handover. 
The 
White House and the CPA were rushing to get the  U.N. Security Council to 
pass 
a resolution endorsing their handover plan.  They had twisted arms to give 
the 
top job to former CIA agent Iyad Allawi, a  move that will ensure that Iraq 
becomes, at the very least, the coaling  station for U.S. troops that Jay 
Garner originally envisioned. But if major  corporate investors were going to 
come to Iraq in the future, they would  need a stronger guarantee that 
Bremerâ??s economic laws would stick. There was  only one way of doing that: 
the 
Security Council resolution had to ratify  the interim constitution, which 
locked in Bremerâ??s laws for the duration of  the interim government. But al 
Sistani once again objected, this time  unequivocally, saying that the 
constitution has been â??rejected by the  majority of the Iraqi people.â?? On 
June 
8 the Security Council unanimously  passed a resolution that endorsed the 
handover plan but made absolutely no  reference to the constitution. In the 
face of this far-reaching defeat,  George W. Bush celebrated the resolution 
as 
a historic victory, one that  came just in time for an election trail photo 
op 
at the G-8 Summit in  Georgia.

With Bremerâ??s laws in limbo, Iraqi ministers are already talking  openly 
about 
breaking contracts signed by the CPA. Citigroupâ??s loan scheme  has been 
rejected as a misuse of Iraqâ??s oil revenues. Iraqâ??s communication  minister 
is 
threatening to renegotiate contracts with the three  communications firms 
providing the country with its disastrously poor cell  phone service. And the 
Lebanese and U.S. companies hired to run the state  television network have 
been informed that they could lose their licenses  because they are not 
Iraqi. 
â??We will see if we can change the contract,â??  Hamid al-Kifaey, spokesperson 
for the Governing Council, said in May. â??They  have no idea about Iraq.â?? 
For 
most investors, this complete lack of legal  certainty simply makes Iraq too 
great a risk.

But while the Iraqi  resistance has managed to scare off the first wave of 
corporate raiders,  thereâ??s little doubt that they will return. Whatever form 
the next Iraqi  government takesâ??nationalist, Islamist, or free marketâ??it 
will 
inherit a  shattered nation with a crushing $120 billion debt. Then, as in 
all 
poor  countries around the world, men in dark blue suits from the IMF will 
appear  at the door, bearing loans and promises of economic boom, provided 
that  certain structural adjustments are made, which will, of course, be 
rather  painful at first but well worth the sacrifice in the end. In fact, 
the  
process has already begun: the IMF is poised to approve loans worth $2.5â??  
$4.25 billion, pending agreement on the conditions. After an endless  
succession of courageous last stands and far too many lost lives, Iraq will  
become a poor nation like any other, with politicians determined to  
introduce 
policies rejected by the vast majority of the population, and all  the 
imperfect compromises that will entail. The free market will no doubt  come 
to 
Iraq, but the neoconservative dream of transforming the country into  a 
free-market utopia has already died, a casualty of a greater dreamâ??a  second 
term for George W. Bush.

The great historical irony of the  catastrophe unfolding in Iraq is that the 
shock-therapy reforms that were  supposed to create an economic boom that 
would rebuild the country have  instead fueled a resistance that ultimately 
made reconstruction impossible.  Bremerâ??s reforms unleashed forces that the 
neocons neither predicted nor  could hope to control, from armed 
insurrections 
inside factories to tens of  thousands of unemployed young men arming 
themselves. These forces have  transformed Year Zero in Iraq into the mirror 
opposite of what the neocons  envisioned: not a corporate utopia but a 
ghoulish dystopia, where going to a  simple business meeting can get you 
lynched, burned alive, or beheaded.  These dangers are so great that in Iraq 
global capitalism has retreated, at  least for now. For the neocons, this 
must 
be a shocking development: their  ideological belief in greed turns out to be 
stronger than greed  itself.

Iraq was to the neocons what Afghanistan was to the Taliban: the  one place 
on 
Earth where they could force everyone to live by the most  literal, 
unyielding 
interpretation of their sacred texts. One would think  that the bloody 
results 
of this experiment would inspire a crisis of faith:  in the country where 
they 
had absolute free reign, where there was no local  government to blame, where 
economic reforms were introduced at their most  shocking and most perfect, 
they created, instead of a model free market, a  failed state no 
right-thinking investor would touch. And yet the Green Zone  neocons and 
their 
masters in Washington are no more likely to reexamine  their core beliefs 
than 
the Taliban mullahs were inclined to search their  souls when their Islamic 
state slid into a debauched Hades of opium and sex  slavery. When facts 
threaten true believers, they simply close their eyes  and pray harder.

Which is precisely what Thomas Foley has been doing. The  former head of 
â??private sector developmentâ?? has left Iraq, a country he had  described as 
â??the mother of all turnarounds,â?? and has accepted another  turnaround job, 
as 
co-chair of George Bushâ??s reelection committee in  Connecticut. On April 30 
in 
Washington he addressed a crowd of entrepreneurs  about business prospects in 
Baghdad. It was a tough day to be giving an  upbeat speech: that morning the 
first photographs had appeared out of Abu  Ghraib, including one of a hooded 
prisoner with electrical wires attached to  his hands. This was another kind 
of shock therapy, far more literal than the  one Foley had helped to 
administer, but not entirely unconnected. â??Whatever  youâ??re seeing, itâ??s 
not 
as bad as it appears,â?? Foley told the crowd. â??You  just need to accept that 
on 
faith.â??
About the Author

Naomi Klein  is the author of No Logo and writer/producer of The Take, a new 
documentary  on Argentinaâ??s occupied factories.
Notes

1. Tofiq did say that several  U.S. companies had expressed strong interest 
in 
buying the state-owned  cement factories. This supports a widely held belief 
in Iraq that there is a  deliberate strategy to neglect the state firms so 
that they can be sold more  cheaply--a practice known as "starve then 
sell." [Back]

2. It is in  Basra where the connections between economic reforms and the 
rise 
of the  resistance was put in starkest terms. In December the union 
representing oil  workers was negotiating with the Oil Ministry for a salary 
increase. Getting  nowhere, the workers offered the ministry a simple choice: 
increase their  paltry salaries or they would all join the armed resistance. 
They received a  substantial raise. [Back]
This is Baghdad Year Zero, a feature by Naomi  Klein, originally from 
September 
2004, published Friday, September 24, 2004.  It is part of Features, which is 
part of  Harpers.org.




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