[lit-ideas] Middle-Income Tax Burdens

  • From: Eternitytime1@xxxxxxx
  • To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Wed, 25 May 2005 21:08:45 EDT

Hi,
This addresses some of the tax information...
 
I apologize if the formatting comes out weird...
 
Best,
Marlena in Missouri
http://www.cbpp.org/4-7-05tax2.htm
Center on  Budget and Policy Priorities
April 7, 2005 

TAX FOUNDATION FIGURES DO NOT  REPRESENT MIDDLE-INCOME 
TAX BURDENS
Figures May Mislead Policymakers, Journalists and the Public
By Joel Friedman, David Kamin, and Robert Greenstein

Highlights
*   The Tax Foundation employs averages in a  misleading fashion that 
overstates the tax burdens of the vast  majority of families. Analysis 
by authoritative institutions  such as the Congressional Budget Office 
shows most Americans  pay significantly less in taxes than the Tax 
Foundation  reports. 

*   In figuring the percentage of income that U.S. families  as a whole pay 
in taxes, the Tax Foundation counts taxes paid  on capital gains but 
ignores the capital gains income on which  these taxes are paid. This 
approach, which Alan Greenspan has  said is invalid, artificially 
inflates the percentage of  income consumed by taxes. 

*   The Tax Foundation analysis also counts as taxes certain  non-tax 
items, like the premiums that older American can elect  to pay for 
Medicare Part B, intra-governmental transfers, and  rents that 
individuals or businesses pay to rent property that  state or local 
governments own. This further inflates tax  burdens. 

Each year shortly before April 15, the Tax Foundation releases  a report 
projecting "Tax Freedom Day," which it describes as the day when  
"Americans will finally have earned enough money to pay off their total tax  
bill 
for the year." Over the years, pundits and policymakers often have  
misinterpreted the Tax Foundation's report as reflecting the tax burdens  
that 
the broad swath of middle-income families must shoulder; the Tax  
Foundation's presentations invite this misinterpretation. In fact, however,  
middle-income taxpayers pay significantly less in taxes as a share of their  
income than the Tax Foundation's report implies. 

*   The Tax Foundationâ?¢s annual Tax Freedom Day reports  consistently 
show significantly higher tax burdens than those  that authoritative, 
nonpartisan sources find middle-income  taxpayers actually bear. This 
can be seen by comparing the Tax  Foundation estimates of tax 
burdens to Congressional Budget  Office estimates. As the table on 
the following page shows,  CBOâ?¢s estimates of the share of income 
that the middle fifth  of American households pay in federal taxes 
have consistently  been well below the levels of taxation that the Tax 
Foundation  reports suggest Å?averageÂ? Americans pay. 

*   The most recent CBO estimates cover years through 2002.  In that 
year, CBO found that that the middle fifth of  households â?? those in 
the middle of the income spectrum â?? paid  14.4 percent of their 
income in federal taxes. In contrast, in  its report from last year, the 
Tax Foundation estimated that  the Å?averageÂ? American paid 19.7 
percent of income in federal  taxes in 2002. 

In its report last year, the Tax Foundation estimated that federal  taxes 
will 
consume an average of 17.9 percent of the income of Americans in  2004. 
Even though this estimate represents the lowest average tax burden  since 
1949, according to the Tax Foundation, it is still higher than what  CBO 
found 
the middle fifth of households paid in federal taxes as a  percentage of 
their 
income in 2000, before the Bush tax cuts were enacted.  Our update of the 
CBO estimate indicates that the middle fifth of households  paid about 14 
percent of their income in federal taxes in 2004.

Percentage of Income Paid in Federal  Taxes

1998
2000
2002
2004

Congressional Budget Office  (middle fifth of households)
16.8%
16.6%
14.4%
14.0%*

Tax  Foundation
(average)
22.4%
23.1%
19.7%
17.9%

*The 2004 estimate is made by CBPP based on CBO data; CBO estimates for  
1998-2002 
are from Å?Historical Effective Federal Tax Rate: 1979 to 2002,Â?  March 2005.

The Tax Foundationâ?¢s conclusions about federal tax burdens  conflict with 
CBO findings because the Tax Foundation uses a  seriously flawed 
methodology. This methodology distorts â?? and inflates â?? tax  burdens. The 
Tax Foundationâ?¢s estimates of state tax burdens are similarly  flawed and 
inflated (see box below).[1]

The Problems with the Methodology

In computing what it says is Å?the average American tax burden,Â? the Tax  
Foundation divides what it says is total tax receipts by what it says is the  
total 
amount of income in the nation. The Tax Foundation method suffers from  the 
following problems.

Average Tax Figure is Misleading

Under our progressive tax system, high-income taxpayers pay  significantly 
larger percentages of income in federal income taxes than  middle-income 
families do. Under the Tax Foundation methodology, the higher  taxes that 
high-income taxpayers pay are used to make the taxes that average  
Americans pay look considerably larger than they actually are.

Suppose four families with incomes of $50,000 each pay $2,500 in income  tax 
â?? five percent of their income â?? while one wealthy family with $400,000  in 
income pays $80,000 in income tax, or 20 percent of its income. If one  
averages these figures, one finds that 15 percent of the total income of  
these 
five families goes to pay federal income taxes. (Dividing the  families' 
total tax 
payments of $90,000 by their total income of $600,000  shows that 15 percent 
of their total income is paid in income taxes.)

Greenspan Warns Against Seriously Flawed Approach Tax Foundation  Uses

In a 2002 Congressional hearing, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan  Greenspan 
warned 
that the type of approach the Tax Foundation uses â??  dividing total tax 
receipts by 
the Gross Domestic Product (or a similar  measure), to determine the overall 
average 
tax rate (i.e., to determine the  percentage of total income in the nation 
that is paid in 
taxes) â?? is not  valid. Greenspan flatly stated: "you can't use tax receipts 
over 
nominal GDP  as a tax rate."

Chairman Greenspan explained one reason that such an approach is  improper: 
although capital gains taxes are counted as part of federal tax  receipts, 
the capital 
gains income on which such taxes are paid is not  counted in GDP. The Tax 
Foundation uses a closely related Commerce  Department income measure â?? NNP, 
or Net National Product â?? that also omits  capital gains income. Counting 
capital 
gains taxes as part of tax receipts  while failing to count as income the 
capital gains 
income on which these  taxes are paid distorts â?? and inflates â?? average tax 
rates.
In its report  last year, the Tax Foundation attempted to respond to such 
criticism. It  
asserted that the NNP measure Å?fully accounts for capital gains.Â? This claim  
is flatly 
false. As the Bureau of Economic Analysis at the Commerce  Department 
confirms, 
NNP does not include capital gains income.

Under  the Tax Foundation methodology, this 15 percent figure would be used 
to say  or imply that the average family in this group pays 15 percent of its 
income  in income taxes and must work until 15 percent of the year has 
passed to pay  its income tax bill. Yet the 15 percent figure is highly 
misleading as an  indicator of the typical tax burden of families in this 
group. 
The four  moderate-income families in the group pay five percent of their 
income in  income tax, or one-third of the average 15 percent rate. Using 
averages in  this fashion when talking about tax burdens, as the Tax 
Foundation does,  produces skewed results; it essentially ascribes to average 
taxpayers the  tax rates that only people at considerably higher income 
levels pay.

Taxes Counted, but Taxed Income Not Counted
Making the problem  worse, the Tax Foundation methodology fails even to 
provide an accurate  representation of the average tax rate for the nation as 
a 
whole. In 2002,  Alan Greenspan declared in a Congressional hearing in 2002 
that the type of  approach the Tax Foundation uses is not valid (the box 
above 
explains why,  as Chairman Greenspan stated, the Tax Foundation approach is 
invalid).  Despite Chairman Greenspan's warning that "you can't use" this 
measure, an  admonition that other tax experts also have made in the past, 
the Tax  Foundation has repeated this error every year.[2]

The Tax Foundation's State-by-State Data Also are Seriously  
Flawed

In past years, the Tax Foundation's reports also have included a  
list of the dates described as representing "Tax Freedom Day" for 
each  state. The serious flaws that mar the Tax Foundation's 
estimates of tax  burdens nationally plague its state-by-state 
estimates and make them invalid  as well.*

About two-thirds of the tax burdens in the Tax Foundation  
calculations are federal tax burdens. The amount of federal taxes 
paid  by the residents of a state thus has a large impact on that 
stateâ?¢s Å?Tax  Freedom Day.Â? Since, as this analysis explains, the 
Tax Foundation  methodology substantially overstates the federal 
tax burden of middle-class  families, the Tax-Freedom-Day figures 
for each state also substantially  exaggerate the tax burdens of 
middle-class families.

Because the federal income tax system is progressive, states with  
relatively wealthy residents end up under the Tax Foundationâ?¢s  
methodology with a higher federal tax burden than other states. The 
fact  that one state has higher-income residents than another state 
has nothing to  do with the level of state and local taxes in the 
state. Yet by trumpeting  state-level Tax Freedom Days that differ 
across the states, the Tax  Foundation misleadingly implies that 
differences in burdens imposed by state  and local taxes account 
for the differences across states in the Tax  Foundationâ?¢s Å?average tax 
burden.

The Tax Foundation uses a procedure to allocate state corporate 
and  severance taxes based on the residence of the consumers 
who purchase  products that businesses sell (adjusted for taxes 
that tourists pay). This  is likely to lead to further misimpressions 
about the role of a stateâ?¢s tax  policies on the tax burdens its 
residents are said to face. For example,  when Alaska collects 
taxes from oil companies based on the amount of oil  they produce 
in the state, the Tax Foundation does not count those taxes as  part 
of Alaskaâ?¢s revenue. Rather, they add those taxes to the tax 
burden  in the states where oil is consumed. Maine residents, for 
example, consume a  significant amount of fuel and so get 
allocated a large share of these  Alaska taxes. Yet state legislators 
in Maine cannot have much impact on the  level of taxes that 
Alaska or other oil-producing states levy on  oil.
Further, the Tax Foundation highlights the tax burden for the  
current calendar year, making its own estimates of the taxes that 
will  be collected during the year in the thousands of state and local  
jurisdictions around the country. Despite presenting these 
estimates as  definitive, they are in fact speculative projections that 
are often proven  wrong when the actual data on state and local 
taxes are subsequently  collected and published by the Census 
Bureau. For example, the Tax  Foundationâ?¢s 2002 report claimed 
that tax burdens had risen since 2000 in 38  states, while five 
states had lower tax burdens and seven had no change. By  2004, 
the Tax Foundation had revised its 2002 estimates to show that  
only nine states had higher tax burdens in 2002 than in 2000, while 
38  had lower tax burdens and three had no change. When the 
Census Bureau  released its data for 2002, it found that only four 
statesâ?¢ tax burdens had  risen, while in 43 states tax burdens had 
fallen (burdens were unchanged in  three states). In its reports, the 
Tax Foundation does not acknowledge the  possibility that its data 
may be erroneous. Nor does it give prominent  attention to the 
revisions it makes in subsequent years when its previous  
estimates prove to have been faulty.

As a result, the Tax Foundationâ?¢s proclamations of state Tax  
Freedom Days are misleading and do little to inform legitimate 
debates  over levels of state and local taxes and the services those 
taxes  support.
____________
* See Iris Lav, Joseph Llobrera, and Nicholas  Johnson, Å?Tax 
Foundation Estimates of State and Local Tax Burdens Are Not  
Reliable,Â? Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, April 7,  2005.

Non-Tax Items Are Counted As Taxes
The Tax Foundation also counts as taxes  certain items that are not taxes. 
These include Medicare premiums that older  Americans elect to pay if they 
wish to receive coverage for physician's  services under Medicare, intra-
governmental transfers that are solely  bookkeeping devices and not taxes, 
and rental payments that individuals or  businesses pay to state or local 
governments to rent property those  governments own.
Given these and other problems with the Tax Foundation  measure, it is not 
surprising that the Tax Foundation's claims are  inconsistent with the 
findings 
of the leading authoritative, institutions  that study tax burdens, such as 
the 
Congressional Budget Office and the  Urban Institute-Brookings Institution 
Tax Policy Center.

Tax Levels versus Expenditures on Food, Clothing and Medical  Care
Finally, the Tax Foundation claims that families must pay more in taxes  than 
they pay for food, clothing, and medical care combined. This Tax  Foundation 
claim, which apparently compares total tax payments in the nation  to total 
food, clothing, and medical care expenditures, is likely to create  further 
misimpressions.

If the statement that total tax payments exceed total expenditures for  food, 
clothing and medical care is accurate (one cannot determine the  accuracy of 
this assertion based on information that the Tax Foundation has  provided in 
its reports), this tells us little about the relationship  between taxes and 
spending for families in the middle of the income scale.  It is no doubt true 
that upper-income families pay more in taxes than they  spend for these 
items. 
It also is true that low- and moderate-income  families pay significantly 
less in 
taxes than they spend for such items;  necessities consume most of their 
income. The precise family income level at  which taxes typically exceed 
expenditures for food, clothing and medical  care is unclear. In the past, 
the 
Tax Foundation has failed to provide any  information on that matter.

End Notes: 
[1] See Iris Lav, Joseph  Llobrera, and Nicholas Johnson, Å?Tax Foundation 
Estimates of State and Local  Tax Burdens Are Not Reliable,Â? Center on 
Budget and Policy Priorities, April  7, 2005. 
[2] One should note that taxes as a percentage of GDP can offer  some 
meaningful insights; for instance, it provides a sense of the share of  the 
economy devoted to the public sector. But this calculation is  inappropriate 
and misleading as a description of average householdsâ?¢ tax  burdens.
_____________________________________________________
Marlena  Boggs                  mboggs@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Adults Services Specialist     816-836-5200
Mid-Continent Public Library   http://www.mcpl.lib.mo.us



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