[geocentrism] Re: Negative parallaxes

  • From: "Dr. Neville Jones" <ntj005@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: geocentrism@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Tue, 27 Mar 2007 20:18:39 +0100 (BST)

Robert,
   
  Thank you. A fine contribution. I would be very interested in the Doppler 
shift distribution that you propose, especially as MS already describes 
redshift as a "statistical" phenomenon.
   
  Also, if you decide to write something up on these negative parallaxes for 
your own site, then I would like to link to it if that's okay? (May I suggest a 
change of colours, though, just to make it more obvious when you are commenting 
and when you are quoting?)
   
  Neville.
  

Robert Bennett <robert.bennett@xxxxxxx> wrote:
        
            Neville,
   
  I struggled to understand how parallax could be negative, in terms of its 
angular definition.  So I did some surfing. 
  Even astronomers themselves don?t trust negative parallax (or HIP) : 
   
  ?T Tauri is 462 ± 9 light-years from Earth. This result is far more precise 
than any previous parallax for the star. For example, the distance the 
Hipparcos satellite determined for T Tauri had an uncertainty of more than 100 
light-years. And the star's negative parallax in the 1995 edition of The 
General Catalogue of Trigonometric Stellar Parallaxes is useless.  
http://www.kencroswell.com/TTauri.html
   
  ??.Parallaxes less than about 0.01 arcsecond in older catalogs, or 0.001 
arcsecond in the Hipparcos Catalog, are usually poor, and should be used with 
caution. If the parallax is zero, missing, or negative, the parallax for that 
star is very bad, and you shouldn't even bother trying to calculate its 3D 
motions at all. http://astronexus.com/node/40  
   
  A value of 10000000 indicates missing or dubious (e.g., negative) parallax 
data in Hipparcos. http://astronexus.com/node/34  
   
  Still, no answer to why or how a parallax could be <0.  Then?..
              
  Derek Jones [a relative?]
  Evolution of Eddington?s ideas 
  One evening Dyson was sitting next to Eddington at dinner and described to 
him the histogram of observed stellar parallaxes. Because of observational 
errors, the histogram had a tail of physically absurd negative values.
  Eddington thought for a moment and then wrote out a method for solving the 
problem on the back of the menu. He later published the method (Eddington 
1913); this short paper covers only two pages, consonant with its origin. 
  Dyson (1925, 1926) went on to apply the method to the Greenwich Parallax 
Observations and effectively removed all the stars of negative parallax. Later, 
Jeffreys (1938) demonstrated that the method was fallacious on several grounds. 
In layman?s terms one should never attempt to differentiate an observed 
histogram as differentiation is effectively a noise magnifier. 
  In the same paper he suggested that it would be better to apply Fisher?s 
(1936)Method of Maximum Likelihood  without himself pursuing this approach.
  Eddington (1940) returned to the problem and confirmed the validity of his 
earlier work with the proviso that contrary to what is generally assumed, the 
frequency curve of the improved parallaxes is not usually a better 
approximation to the true frequency curve than the frequency curve of the 
uncorrected parallaxes.
  None of the above alter the conclusions of my paper (Jones 2001) which shows 
that in spite of the accuracy of the Hipparcos trigonometric parallaxes, the 
luminosity of the RR Lyraes is much better measured from their statistical 
parallax. 
   
  Dr D H P Jones FRAS, Institute of Astronomy, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 
0HA.
   
  Eddington, likelihood and stellar parallaxes 
  In his reference to Clube and Jones, Derek Jones (A & G42 5.8) credits these 
authors with pioneering the use of maximum likelihood in the determination of 
statistical parallax. 
  I am puzzled by this.
  In various publications, A S Eddington used likelihood distributions in the 
determination of stellar parallaxes. He pointed out in particular that the 
maximum likelihood cannot be identified with the parallax, since the parallax 
maximizing the likelihood of the observations may well be negative.
  He also pointed out that the a priori probability of the parallax must not be 
factored twice into the combination of two or more parallax estimates.
  For example, separate most-probable estimates must be just averaged.
   
  Prof. Emeritus P B Fellgett, FRS, Little Brighter, St Kew Highway, Bodmin, 
Cornwall PL30 3DU.
     
http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/products/journals/aag/aag_December01/aag42609.htm
   
  So negative parallax isn?t a reversal of near and far star labeling, nor an 
indicator of distance. Along with positive parallax it?s the result of a 
statistical average of many observations that ?occasionally? produces a 
negative result?. Why, then, do Neville and son find as many + as - 
parallaxes??! 
   
  This peek into the astronomer?s workshop seems like a visit to a gypsy 
reading tea leaves ?.. or looking through Schiaparelli?s telescope to see 
Martian canali
  It?s said, ?Never be present when laws are being passed or sausage is being 
made.?  Add to those two,  when MS stellar motions are being computed. 
   
  Has the proper motion of each star been subtracted from the stellar 
observations? 
  Has the much larger stellar aberration of 20,500 mas/yr , common to all 
stars, been corrected for latitude and subtracted from the stellar 
observations? 
  Has the annual Milky Way N-S motion of 920,000 mas per day for each star been 
subtracted from the stellar observations? 
   
  I agree that the catalogs of parallaxes appear to be no more than a normal 
distribution of errors around the mean ?fixed? position. And this calls into 
question the reliability/integrity of the other stellar motions: proper and 
aberration and recession/red shift.
  Are these experimental errors or errors of understanding/interpretation?  
Hard to tell unless you know what ALL the MS assumptions are, and when and how 
they apply them. 
  I?ll be looking at the blue vs. red shifts in the catalogs for a similar 
random pattern around zero recession.  Anyone care to join the hunt?
   
  If the parallaxes are just random errors, then the MS basis for determining 
near space distances falls apart.  Who knows how far to Proxima Centauri?? 
   
  The HIP and Tycho catalogs only survey the brightest (and nearest) stars in 
the Milky Way, not the galaxy background that MS considers fixed.  The 46% 
?fixed? stars in the catalog analysis had no detectable motion with reference 
to the galactic background. 
   If the catalog stars were actually moving with respect to the deep space 
galaxies, this would not contradict the MS/BB model.  The greater the distance, 
the less observed motion. 
   
  In the GS model,  orbits increase revolution speed with distance, unlike 
Newtonian orbits.  So the slowest orbits in the stellatum are the closest, the 
fastest are the furthest, as the GS T vs R graph will show.   If the slowest 
and fastest objects can be measured, the thickness of the stellatum can be 
found. 
   
  Conclusion
  This negative parallax concept is a just-opened can of worms that will need a 
lot of time and work to resolve?
   
   
   
  Geocentrism evidence 5 - Negative Parallax
   
  This page is now back up on the website www.geocentricperspective.com and has 
been modified to reflect my current understanding and to incorporate the 
comments that some of you made.
   
  Your consideration and opinions would be greatly appreciated, particularly if 
you have any suggestions as to how the stars would achieve the necessary motion 
within the stellatum.
   
  Neville.
  .



                
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