[birdky] FYI: Hurricane Katrina potential and plans
- From: "Palmer-Ball, Brainard (EPPC OOS KNPC)" <Brainard.Palmer-Ball@xxxxxx>
- To: "'birdky@xxxxxxxxxxxxx'" <birdky@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sun, 28 Aug 2005 10:25:52 -0400
A few people have emailed asking about hurricane birding plans this week. At
this point, Katrina is a bit of a mystery in terms of planning. Although it
looks like this storm will cross Kentucky on Wednesday, there will be a few
different aspects about it as compared to Dennis last month ...
1) it looks like it will get here a bit more quickly than Dennis, which is
good for birding.
2) however, it is predicted to get caught up in a trough moving across the
eastern U.S. and be around for a MUCH SHORTER period of time ... this also
may bode for a more intense, albeit shorter bout of precipitation with
considerably more WIND, all of which may make birding more difficult.
3) it will be moving along in a northeasterly direction, which will
potentially eliminate the Kentucky Lake/Lake Barkley region from most of the
action.
All of this, of course, is contingent upon how the path pans out.
Right now, it looks as though more easterly reservoirs like Barren River
Lake, Green River Lake and Lake Cumberland could have as much or even much
better potential for storm birds.
Also, if the storm does not reach KY until Wednesday, there won't be much
potential for birds until that time. If weather Tuesday deteriorates much
during the afternoon, it might be possible for a few things to show up late
in the day. And if the remnants clear to the northeast quickly, Wednesday
may be the only day with lots of potential (except for high flying wanderers
like frigatebirds).
With 160 mph winds as of Sunday morning, this storm may hold potential to
bring more coastal birds inland than Dennis. So there may be greater
potential for things like Black Skimmer, coastal terns, and frigatebirds.
David may want to weigh in on this topic, but we'll certainly know a lot
more about what might be the direction to go and when by this time tomorrow;
however, it might be Tuesday morning before the areas with best potential
(right along the path of the weakening low pressure center and points east)
are obvoius. One thing is for sure, with Cat 5 winds, anything is possible
if they survive!
bpb, Louisville
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