[patriots] Russia's Five Fronts

From: "Chris Pead" <cpead@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: "Patriots JGroup" <patriots@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Mon, 7 Dec 2015 20:08:54 -0000

Russia's Five Fronts

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Turkey as a new element of instability

Increased activity from Turkey, with the support of the US and the EU, could
put Russia in a difficult position. Northern Syria may be subject to attacks
not only from militants but also from Turkish government forces. Previously,
Ankara announced its intention to support the Syrian Turkmen who live in
that area. After the incident with the downed Russian jet, Turkey may behave
more aggressively. As a member of NATO, it has received support from the EU.
Enticed with the promise of membership in the future, in exchange for the
containment of immigrants, Erdogan will have more latitude. The conflict
with Russia is also beneficial to Erdogan, as it diverts attention away from
internal problems and scandals.

Ukraine

The escalation of the conflict in Syria can be used by Ukraine to intensify
military operations in the Donbass. The situation in the Donetsk and Lugansk
Republics has been quite tense as of late. We can not exclude the
coordination of action on two fronts at the same time, through Washington.
Since the Minsk Agreement cease-fire, any response from Lugansk and Donetsk
Republics, and Russia's support, will be used by the west to favor Kiev.

Fifth column

Russia's previous actions to block internal agents of the West were quite
successful. Opposition leader Alexei Navalny was adjudicated and a number of
western accounts and revenue streams in Russia have been closed. The
Prosecutor General of the Russian Federation recognized that the foreign
"Open Society" and "Support" foundations are not desirable on Russian
territory any longer. Nevertheless, events show that the West is using every
opportunity to escalate social conflict in the country. So, the discontent
truck drivers who disagree with the new tax, have already led into a
coalition of disgruntled drivers with the political opposition that is
artificially fueled by the western media.

The sixth column

The actions of officials and decision-makers may also adversely affect the
consolidation of efforts of the Russian leadership. Liberals in the
government, and advisers, can offer various forms of "exchange" with the
West, which provides - one way or another - for the change of Russia's
position. For example, the rejection of Russia's interests in Ukraine and
Donbass in exchange for recognition of Moscow's role in the fight against
ISIS. Or, for example, the promise of lifting sanctions under certain
conditions from Washington. Obviously, any demands from the West will lead
to the further weakening of the role of Russia in the international stage,
and reduce the prestige and power of the country. Therefore, the activities
of the emissaries of the West, embodied in the sixth column, will meet
resistance from the block of military and security agencies (the "siloviki")
around Vladimir Putin.

The threat of homegrown terrorism

At the same time, cells of the terrorist underground in the North Caucasus,
the Volga region, and major cities of Russia may be activated. Although
attempts to carry out attacks occur regularly, and in most cases are stopped
by Russian law enforcement agencies, under more difficult conditions when
resources are dispersed and attention is given to other issues, there is a
risk that some attacks may take place.

It is obvious that the West is seeking to synchronize all these attacks on
Russia for maximum effect.

[patriots] Russia's Five Fronts

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