[net-gold] UNITED STATES: POLITICS: POLITICAL PARTIES: REPUBLICAN PARTY, TEA PARTY : INDUSTRIES: PETROLEUM : LIBRETARIANISM : POLITICS: ELECTIONS: Why the GOP Establishment Is Poised for Victory Tonight
- From: "David P. Dillard" <jwne@xxxxxxxxxx>
- To: Net-Gold -- Educator Gold <Educator-Gold@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, net-gold@xxxxxxxxxxxxx, Net-Gold <Net-Gold@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, NetGold <netgold@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, K-12ADMINLIFE <K12ADMIN@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, K12AdminLIFE <K12AdminLIFE@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, MediaMentor <mediamentor@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, Nabble Groups Net-Gold <ml-node+s3172864n3172864h56@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>, Net-Platinum <net-platinum@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, Sean Grigsby <myarchives1@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, Net-Gold <NetGold_general@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, Temple Gold Discussion Group <TEMPLE-GOLD@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, Temple University Net-Gold Archive <net-gold@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, "Net-Gold @ Wiggio.com" <netgold@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, Health Lists -- Health Diet Fitness Recreation Sports <healthrecsport@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>, HEALTH-RECREATION-SPORTS-TOURISM@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Tue, 20 May 2014 11:35:50 -0400 (EDT)
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UNITED STATES: POLITICS: POLITICAL PARTIES: REPUBLICAN PARTY, TEA PARTY :
INDUSTRIES: PETROLEUM :
LIBRETARIANISM :
POLITICS: ELECTIONS:
Why the GOP Establishment Is Poised for Victory Tonight
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Why the GOP Establishment Is Poised for Victory Tonight
By Chuck Todd, Mark Murray and Carrie Dann
NBC News
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/
why-gop-establishment-poised-victory-tonight-n109776
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A shorter URL for the above link:
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http://tinyurl.com/pdd538v
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Three reasons why the GOP establishment is on the verge of victory tonight
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The Republican establishment finds itself on the verge of victory this
Super Tuesday in its three high-profile contests against the Tea Party --
in Kentucky's and Georgia's Senate primaries, as well as in Idaho's
congressional primary. But it didn't always look this way. Six months ago,
there was the real possibility that Tea Party challenger Matt Bevin could
have threatened Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell in Kentucky; that
either conservative Reps. Paul Broun (R-GA) or Phil Gingrey (R-GA) could
have topped the GOP field in Georgia instead of being stuck at the bottom;
and that the Club for Growth and other conservative groups could have sunk
Rep. Mike Simpson (R-ID). Yet unless the truly unexpected happens on this
Super Tuesday Primary Day, those aren't going to be the outcomes tonight.
So why is the GOP establishment on the verge of victory today -- and maybe
in next month's primaries, too? We can point to three reasons.
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Disqualifying opponents, co-opting the issues, and playing in the
primaries without any backlash
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First, campaigns matter: The establishment candidates and their allies
took the Tea Party challenges seriously and worked to disqualify their
opponents. Example: The McConnell campaign seizing on Bevin showing up at
a pro-cockfighting event. Second, the establishment essentially co-opted
some of the Tea Party's issues, so they couldn't be accused of being
squishy RINOs (see these ads by David Perdue and Jack Kingston in
Georgia). And third, the Tea Party base just isn't as fired up as it was a
year ago. Remember when conservatives groups were outraged that Karl
Rove's American Crossroads said it would play in primaries to defeat
far-right (and thus un-electable) candidates? Well, Crossroads and the
U.S. Chamber of Commerce are freely endorsing and playing in GOP primaries
-- and they're doing so without any backlash. One of our other working
theories why the conservative base isn't as fired up as it used to be: The
deficit has been decreasing, taking power away from arguably the Tea
Party's biggest initial rallying cry. Yes, we know the DEBT is still
growing. But the perception with the vast majority of the public is that
annual spending is "under control"; between government shutdowns,
debt-ceiling standoffs and sequestration, there is action the public sees
as attempts to slow the growth of government.
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Why today was always a potential hurdle for the GOP
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Regarding that last point, it's worth pointing out that today's primaries
in Georgia and Kentucky were always a potential hurdle for the GOP --
nominate the wrong candidate and possibly hand the Democrats a victory
they shouldn't have in November. (See Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock in
2012.) So if today's primaries play out how we expect them to, Republicans
will clear this hurdle.
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The complete article may be read at the URL above.
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Sincerely,
David Dillard
Temple University
(215) 204 - 4584
jwne@xxxxxxxxxx
http://workface.com/e/daviddillard
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