[net-gold] GEOLOGY: VOLCANOES: Scientists Celebrate Successful Forecast of Undersea Volcano Eruption off Newport
- From: "David P. Dillard" <jwne@xxxxxxxxxx>
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- Date: Wed, 10 Aug 2011 07:37:17 -0400 (EDT)
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GEOLOGY: VOLCANOES:
Scientists Celebrate Successful Forecast
of Undersea Volcano Eruption off Newport
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Scientists Celebrate Successful Forecast
of Undersea Volcano Eruption off Newport
Published: Tuesday, August 09, 2011, 6:50 PM
Updated: Tuesday, August 09, 2011, 9:03 PM
By Lori Tobias,
The Oregonian
http://www.oregonlive.com/pacific-northwest-news/index.ssf/2011/08/
scientist_celebrate_successful_forecast_
of_new_eruption_of_undersea_volcano_off_newport.html
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A shorter URL for the above link:
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http://tinyurl.com/3rdyghw
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Chadwick and colleagues had discovered the newest eruption of the Axial
Seamount, an undersea volcano 250 miles northwest of Newport -- and it had
happened just as Chadwick and fellow researcher Scott Nooner, a Columbia
University scientist, said it would five years earlier.
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Chadwick and Nooner have been monitoring the volcano since it last erupted
in 1998. In 2006, they published a paper in the Journal of Volcanology and
Geothermal Research forecasting the Axial would erupt before 2014.
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"This sort of thing has been observed on volcanoes on land before,"
Chadwick said. "This is the first time this has been observed in a
submarine volcano. We wanted to go out on a limb a little bit and test the
idea if we could forecast an eruption, and lo and behold it sort of
worked."
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Their work monitoring the volcano could help scientists research other
geohazards on the ocean floor, said Barbara Ransom, program director in
the National Science Foundation's Division of Ocean Sciences, which helps
fund Chadwick's work.
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"This could also be technology to apply to faults, to monitoring movement
on faults that occur on the western coast or wherever you want to have it.
The technology to be able to see really small millimeter to centimeter
differences in the motions of the seafloor, that's really quite huge."
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snip
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As it turns out, the first accurate forecast of an undersea volcano
eruption has its roots on Mount St. Helens, where Chadwick went to work
right out of college.
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"It was after the eruption," Chadwick recalled. "We were measuring
movement of the ground in the crater. Cracks would open in the crater
floor, faults would move. We were making all these measurements and we
found we could anticipate when those eruptions would happen. That whole
experience made me want to try to do the same thing underwater when I
started to work on submarine volcanoes. It made me want to see if the same
thing was possible on the seafloor."
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The complete article may be read at the URL above.
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Sincerely,
David Dillard
Temple University
(215) 204 - 4584
jwne@xxxxxxxxxx
http://daviddillard.businesscard2.com
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