[net-gold] ENVIRONMENT: GLOBAL WARMING AND CLIMATE CHANGE : PACIFIC OCEAN : WATER : TEMPERATURES : UNITED STATES: STATES: CALIFORNIA: California's Drought and the Weird Warm 'Blob' in the Pacific That May Be Fueling It

  • From: "David P. Dillard" <jwne@xxxxxxxxxx>
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  • Date: Sun, 12 Apr 2015 13:00:54 -0400 (EDT)




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ENVIRONMENT: GLOBAL WARMING AND CLIMATE CHANGE :

PACIFIC OCEAN :

WATER :

TEMPERATURES :

UNITED STATES: STATES: CALIFORNIA:

California's Drought and the Weird Warm 'Blob' in the Pacific That May Be Fueling It

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California's Drought and the Weird Warm 'Blob' in
the Pacific That May Be Fueling It

By Sarah Kaplan

April 10, 2015

Washington Post

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/
2015/04/10/californias-drought-and-the-weird-warm-
blob-in-the-pacific-that-may-be-fueling-it/

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A shorter URL for the above link:

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http://tinyurl.com/mag84vj

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Its a persistent patch of unusually warm water lurking along the West Coast of the United States and it may be responsible for all sorts of recent weather weirdness, from the drought in California to the brutal cold out East, according to two studies published this week in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.

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First noticed in the fall of 2013, the blob is about 1,000 miles in diameter and 300 feet deep. Technically called a warm anomaly, it got its nickname from Nick Bond, Washingtons state climatologist and the lead author of one of the new studies. Viewed on a map showing surface water temperatures off the coast, the great circular mass does indeed look like a blob.

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In a newsletter published last summer, Bond noted that the blob was about 3 degrees Celsius (5 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer than is typical for the area and may have contributed to the states abnormally warm and dry winter.

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The past winter and several more months of research confirmed Bonds suspicion.

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Bond and his colleagues found that the warm waters are caused by a ridge of high-pressure air lingering above them, rather than the standard low-pressure system that the Pacific Northwest usually sees in the winter. In normal winters, the low-pressure system helps the ocean water cool off and causes storms all along the West Coast. But the high pressure system made the ocean calmer and warmer and as air moved landward from the warm waters, it carried heat rather than rain and snow. The West Coasts high temperatures and dire drought, which has led to mandatory water restrictions in California, are likely attributable to this phenomenon, the researchers said.

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The blob is also wreaking havoc on Pacific wildlife, the study found. Fish are appearing where they normally dont belong, and the warmer, less nutrient-rich water is disrupting the food web. These findings coincide with a March report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which said that West Coast waters are becoming less biologically productive as they become warmer.

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Warm blob' in Pacific Ocean linked to weird weather across the US
Date: April 9, 2015
Source: University of Washington

Summary:

An unusually warm patch of surface water, nicknamed 'the blob' when it emerged in early 2014, is part of a Pacific Ocean pattern that may be affecting everything from West Coast fisheries and water supplies to East Coast snowstorms. The blob is just one element of a broader pattern in the Pacific Ocean whose influence reaches much further -- possibly to include two bone-chilling winters in the Eastern U.S.

Science Dailyhttp://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/04/150409143041.htm

Citation:

University of Washington. "'Warm blob' in Pacific Ocean linked to weird weather across the US." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 9 April 2015. http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/04/150409143041.htm


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The authors look at how the blob is affecting West Coast marine life. They find fish sightings in unusual places, supporting recent reports that West Coast marine ecosystems are suffering and the food web is being disrupted by warm, less nutrient-rich Pacific Ocean water.

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The blob's influence also extends inland. As air passes over warmer water and reaches the coast it brings more heat and less snow, which the paper shows helped cause current drought conditions in California, Oregon and Washington.

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The blob is just one element of a broader pattern in the Pacific Ocean whose influence reaches much further -- possibly to include two bone-chilling winters in the Eastern U.S.

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A study in the same journal by Dennis Hartmann, a UW professor of atmospheric sciences, looks at the Pacific Ocean's relationship to the cold 2013-14 winter in the central and eastern United States.

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Despite all the talk about the "polar vortex," Hartmann argues we need to look south to understand why so much cold air went shooting down into Chicago and Boston.

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His study shows a decadal-scale pattern in the tropical Pacific Ocean linked with changes in the North Pacific, called the North Pacific mode, that sent atmospheric waves snaking along the globe to bring warm and dry air to the West Coast and very cold, wet air to the central and eastern states.

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"Lately this mode seems to have emerged as second to the El Ni Southern Oscillation in terms of driving the long-term variability, especially over North America," Hartmann said.

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In a blog post last month, Hartmann focused on the more recent winter of 2014-15 and argues that, once again, the root cause was surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific.

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That pattern, which also causes the blob, seems to have become stronger since about 1980 and lately has elbowed out the Pacific Decadal Oscillation to become second only to El Ni in its influence on global weather patterns.

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The complete articles may be read at the URLs provided for each.

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Journal Reference:

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Nicholas A. Bond, Meghan F. Cronin, Howard Freeland, Nathan Mantua. Causes and Impacts of the 2014 Warm Anomaly in the NE Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters, 2015; DOI: 10.1002/2015GL063306

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  • » [net-gold] ENVIRONMENT: GLOBAL WARMING AND CLIMATE CHANGE : PACIFIC OCEAN : WATER : TEMPERATURES : UNITED STATES: STATES: CALIFORNIA: California's Drought and the Weird Warm 'Blob' in the Pacific That May Be Fueling It - David P. Dillard