. . COUNTRIES: UKRAINE, RUSSIA: Putin May Have Scored Another Win in Ukraine, But Is He in over His Head? . . Putin May Have Scored Another Win in Ukraine, But Is He in over His Head? Christian Science Monitor http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Foreign-Policy/2014/0508/ Putin-may-have-scored-another-win-in-Ukraine-but-is-he-in-over-his-head . A shorter URL for the above link: . http://tinyurl.com/mrvakxk . .What came across Wednesday as Russian President Vladimir Putin standing down on Ukraine was, just a day later, looking much more like Mr. Putin once again manipulating the Ukrainian crisis to his liking.
.Putin on Wednesday called for a weekend referendum on eastern Ukraine's independence to be postponed, but separatists vowed to go forward with the plebiscite anyway. And Putin pledged to pull Russian troops back from Ukraines border, sending a soothing message to Germany and the rest of Western Europe. The Russian leader may have accomplished two goals in all this maneuvering, some Russia experts say.
.First, he may have succeeded in disassociating Russia from a referendum that he privately prefers to see proceed, they say. That may have allowed Putin to let some of the air out of the Western assertion that the separatists receive their marching orders from Moscow.
.Perhaps more important, Putins words of moderation and calls for diplomacy may have succeeded in putting off for the foreseeable future any move by the European Union toward broad sanctions on Russias key economic sectors. President Obama and German Chancellor Angela Merkel agreed last Friday that such sanctions could be imposed much sooner than Putin might have thought.
.The Obama administration said Tuesday that Russian support for the weekend referendum in eastern Ukrainian cities where separatists are holding public buildings could serve as a trigger for tougher sanctions. The targets could be key sectors of the Russian economy, such as the energy industry, finance, or the arms trade. At the same time, administration officials continue to insist that those sanctions only make sense if adopted by both the US and the European Union, which plays a much larger role than the US in Russias economy. Mr. Obama made the same point with Ms. Merkel at the White House Friday.
.But some in Congress continue to show impatience with Obamas priority on working in tandem with Europe. At a House hearing on Ukraine Thursday, administration critics said the US should stop waiting for Europe and Putin to act before imposing harsher sanctions on Russia.
. snip .Still, support for heavier US involvement in Ukraine is not unanimous, even among Republicans. Another California Republican, Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, said the Ukraine crisis is much murkier than a simple case of Russian aggression, and he advised caution, especially concerning any massive economic aid plan for Ukraine.
.NATO officials announced Thursday that they saw no evidence of Russia pulling back the thousands of troops it has deployed to the Ukrainian border. Putins claim was reminiscent of earlier assurances the Russian leader made to Merkel but which turned out not to be true, US officials say.
.But Putin may yet be able to declare mission accomplished as a result of his moderate words, even if he doesnt ultimately follow through on them, some analysts say. One reassuring sign for Putin: the 28-nation EU agreed Wednesday to a modest expansion of sanctions on Russian individuals but nixed a plan to broaden sanctions to more Russian companies.
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