. . COUNTRIES: RUSSIA, UKRAINE: What Putin Wants, and How He Plans to Get It . . What Putin Wants, and How He Plans to Get ItThe Russian president is a product of the 20th century KGB. He knows that subversion is much cheaper than invasion.
By Doyle McManus April 20, 2014 Los Angeles Times http://www.latimes.com/opinion/commentary/la-oe-mcmanus-column-ukraine-putin- 20140420,0,1372825.column#axzz30fzIWg6v
. A shorter URL for the above link: . http://tinyurl.com/l7y7elr . .It was tempting to look at last week's diplomatic agreement to pull Ukraine back from the brink of war and see the beginning of a grand compromise between Russia and the West.
. Tempting, but mistaken. .Vladimir Putin is still winning most of what he wants in Ukraine, and he's winning it more cheaply and more elegantly than he would by launching a full-scale military invasion.
.Last week's agreement, which called on pro-Russia militias to end their occupation of government buildings, was probably only a speed bump on the way toward bringing all of Ukraine under Moscow's influence.
.That's not only the view of seasoned Russia watchers; it's also the fear of many officials inside the Obama administration.
.President Obama could use a diplomatic win, but there wasn't a shred of triumphalism or even optimism in his description of last week's accord. "I don't think we can be sure of anything," Obama told reporters. "There is the possibility, the prospect, that diplomacy may de-escalate the situation.... But I don't think, given past performance, that we can count on that."
.Or even given present performance. While Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov was in Geneva drafting the joint agreement on Ukraine, Putin was speaking at a news conference in Moscow, and he wasn't sounding like a man in the mood for concessions. "It's New Russia," he trumpeted. "Kharkiv, Lugansk, Donetsk, Odessa were not part of Ukraine in czarist times; they were transferred in 1920. Why? God knows."
.Actually, every Russian historian knows: Lenin drew those borders to make sure Ukraine's population included plenty of reliable Russians.
.Putin said reports that Russian troops were among the insurgents in those cities were "rubbish." He called the Ukrainian government illegitimate. And he said he had a duty to protect the people of what he called "the Russian southeast."
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