[lit-ideas] polling

  • From: JimKandJulieB@xxxxxxx
  • To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Sun, 10 Oct 2004 17:57:07 EDT

_http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/08/electoral.map/index.html_ 
(http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/08/electoral.map/index.html) 
 
_http://race2004.net/_ (http://race2004.net/) 
 
_http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm_ 
(http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm) 
 
Would someone who understands polling please explain to me how various  polls 
such as those linked above can give such hugely disparate results?   Is it 
the demographics of those being polled?  The number of people  questioned?  Can 
any particular poll be considered more "valid" than any  other?  If polls are 
this wildly inaccurate (since they're so hugely  different most must be 
inaccurate), what is their value?
 
Julie Krueger

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