[colombiamigra] COMENTARIO DE LUIS E. GUARNIZO SOBRE LA ENCUESTA ENVIADA AYER
- From: william mejia <wmejia8a@xxxxxxxxx>
- To: "colombiamigra@xxxxxxxxxxxxx" <colombiamigra@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sat, 9 Feb 2013 05:25:16 -0800 (PST)
Hola,
Luis Eduardo Guarnizo nos envía el mensaje que comparto, con comentarios
necesarios para poder evaluar la información de la encuesta del CIS que envié
ayer.
Agradecemos a Luis Eduardo sus anotaciones, como agradeceremos otras que se
hagan al respecto, o con relación a cualquier otra información que circule en
nuestra red.
saludos
William
----- Forwarded Message -----
From: Luis Guarnizo <leguarnizo@xxxxxxxxxxx>
To: "wmejia8a@xxxxxxxxx" <wmejia8a@xxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Saturday, February 9, 2013 2:43 AM
Subject: Re: [colombiamigra] Fw: National Survey: Americans Prefer Illegal
Immigrants Head Home
Querido William,
Muchas gracias por tu activa diseminacion de informacion sobre la migracion
internacional. Con respecto a este ultimo mensaje quisiera recalcar un detalle
muy importante que permite poner las cifras mencionadas en perspectiva. El CIS
es el think thank antiinmigrante mas activo de los EU. Steven Camarota, su
fundador, director y mas prolifico investigador, es un brillante experto en
medios de comunicacion y uno de los mas activos 'lobbyist' del moviento
antiinmigrante en Washington. La encuesta en cuestion es bastante sesgada y sus
resultados son diametralmente opuestos a los reportados por otras encuestas de
opinion realizadas por reconocidos expertos. De hecho, el apoyo bipartidista a
nivel nacional despues de las ultimas elecciones es lo que precisamente ha
empujado a Obama y su partido a impulsar su campana pro reforma migratoria.
Saben que tienen la opinion publica a su favor. Esta encuesta busca crear la
impresion que dicho consenso no existe.
Fijate en la manera como se hicieron las preguntas en la encuesta del CIS. No
solo malrepresentan la situacion (i.e., nadie ha propuesto dar ciudadania a los
indocumentados, pero asi es como formularon la pregunta), sino que insisten
repetitivamente en formular preguntas que empujan al encuestado en cierta
direccionn - el sesgo de la encuesta es descaradamente obvio.
Pense que este dato era importante de aclarar.
Con un fuerte abrazo,
Luis Eduardo
Sent from my iPhone
On Feb 7, 2013, at 6:56 AM, william mejia <wmejia8a@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>
>----- Forwarded Message -----
>From: Center for Immigration Studies <center@xxxxxxx>
>To: William <wmejia8a@xxxxxxxxx>
>Sent: Thursday, February 7, 2013 8:11 AM
>Subject: National Survey: Americans Prefer Illegal Immigrants Head Home
>
>
>National Survey: Americans Prefer Illegal Immigrants Head Home
>A CIS News, CIS Weekly and CIS Announce press release from the Center for
>Immigration Studies. Is this email not displaying correctly?
>View it in your browser.
>
> Facebook | YouTube | Twitter | Google+ | forward to a friend
>
>New National Survey: Americans Prefer Illegal Immigrants Head Home
>73 Percent Feel Very Strongly About This View
>
>WASHINGTON, DC (February 7, 2013) – The Center for Immigration Studies (CIS)
>today released a new report, Americans Prefer Illegal Immigrants Head Home:
>Results of a National Survey, based on polling conducted by Pulse Opinion
>Research. The poll found that of likely voters, 52 percent preferred that
>illegal immigrants in the United States return to their home countries versus
>33 percent who preferred they be given legal status.
>
>“Poll wording matters. Most post-election polls on immigration policy have
>given the public the false choice of conditional legalization or mass
>deportations. This poll uses neutral wording that allows us to know the views
>of the American public,” comments Dr. Steven Camarota, CIS Director of
>Research. “With border security and the enforcement of immigration laws being
>a key issue with legislators, the fact that 70 percent of those polled were
>not confident that immigration law would be enforced if there is a
>legalization and 69 percent believed providing legal status to illegals would
>encourage more illegal immigration is a good indicator of public sentiment.”
>
>The report can be found online
>at:http://cis.org/americans-prefer-illegal-immigrants-head-home-results-of-national-survey
>
>Among the findings of this poll:
>
>• Of likely voters, 52 percent responded that they preferred that illegal
>immigrants in the United States return to their home countries, compared to
>just 33 percent who would like them to be given legal status.
>
>• There is an enormous gap in intensity between the two views on immigration.
>Of those who want illegal immigrants to head home, 73 percent indicated that
>they felt “very strongly” about their view, while just 35 percent of those who
>want illegal immigrants to get legal status said they felt very strongly about
>their view.
>
>• One reason the public may prefer that illegals head home is a strong belief
>that efforts to enforce immigration laws have been inadequate — 64 percent said
>that enforcement of immigration laws has been “too little”, while just 10
>percent said that it had been too much, and 15 percent said it was “just
>right”.
>
>• When asked why there is a large illegal population in the country, voters
>overwhelming (71 percent) thought it was because we had not made a real effort
>to enforce our immigration laws. Only 18 percent said it was because we were
>not letting in enough immigrants legally.
>
>• Another reason for skepticism about legalization is that most voters (69
>percent) agreed with the statement that “giving legal status to illegal
>immigrants does not solve the problem because rewarding law breaking will only
>encourage more illegal immigration.” Just 26 percent disagreed.
>
>• When asked if they had confidence that immigration laws would be enforced in
>the event of a legalization, just 27 percent expressed confidence that there
>would be enforcement, while 70 percent indicated that they were not confident
>immigration law would be enforced.
>
>• Enforcement remains politically very popular. Of likely voters, 53 percent
>indicated that they would be more likely to support a political party that
>supports enforcing immigration laws versus only 32 percent who said they would
>be more likely to support a party that supports legalization.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>The Center for Immigration Studies is an independent, non-partisan, non-profit
>research organization founded in 1985. It is the nation's only think tank
>devoted exclusively to research and policy analysis of the economic, social,
>demographic, fiscal, and other impacts of immigration on the United States.
>
>
>Center for Immigration Studies
>1629 K St. NW, Suite 600
>Washington, DC 20006
>phone: (202) 466-8185
>fax: (202) 466-8076
>help@xxxxxxx
>
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