Note the comment about NY's representation. . . and, of course, Maine won't get
lower. Eric
April 27, 2021
[Author
Headshot]<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/-Sz_6kpQ8c3mN5xVBgOQuA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0S_aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkvZGF2aWQtbGVvbmhhcmR0P2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTkmZW1jPWVkaXRfbm5fMjAyMTA0MjcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjk3ODkmbmw9dGhlLW1vcm5pbmcmcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NjU4MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYIFT7IdgskFSw1IWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
By David
Leonhardt<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/-Sz_6kpQ8c3mN5xVBgOQuA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0S_aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vYnkvZGF2aWQtbGVvbmhhcmR0P2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTkmZW1jPWVkaXRfbm5fMjAyMTA0MjcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjk3ODkmbmw9dGhlLW1vcm5pbmcmcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NjU4MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYIFT7IdgskFSw1IWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
Good morning. We look at the upsides and downsides of slow population growth in
the U.S.
[https://ci4.googleusercontent.com/proxy/HmZwm-_zBVpLYBlcDrQe5E4Wdk88KPyzRt-tUKkSI1PT0fBlOoJNgusUJ10oOHIy5moCttcVch3hIkIBXjdZhR1HuhgQAG916OQNNwXPiZG2VX_gt5EWydGvI2lpz7Q80eZbp0c_XzaseIHjbLoqgxPVKsnd4vUiWOSSw7S_=s0-d-e1-ft#https://static01.nyt.com/images/2021/04/27/lens/27ambriefing-census/27ambriefing-census-articleLarge-v2.jpg]
A child-care facility in Queens.Kirsten Luce for The New York Times
A population bust
The U.S. population grew by only 7.4 percent over the past decade, the smallest
increase since the 1930s, the Census Bureau reported yesterday. This morning, I
want to explain why and talk about both the upsides and downsides of slower
population growth.
[https://ci6.googleusercontent.com/proxy/qRvmMR1fZGiz8HLF53XJCn11X87pOPun7rywroTyH7ZwF4UBRMsaorQAN-zDT2nvDBBxnrdc1SbtKABJXBRcHm5PUcfeRAK4jCVnIZ_bx4SLVrwVxqTegTjBzBm7_-JBhSaPTIvz0NbD6KWLB8ypvF7IW9u5eVHDWG2NMnD-HlJkXCYZJadQxQVdWg=s0-d-e1-ft#https://static01.nyt.com/images/2021/04/27/multimedia/27-MORNING-2subPOPCHANGE/27-MORNING-2subPOPCHANGE-articleLarge.png]
By The New York Times | Source: United States Census Bureau
The biggest cause of the population slowdown is the declining birthrate. Today,
the average American adult of child-rearing age has 17 percent fewer children
than in
1990<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/nrTsVtDWWHMXvrLkm_YjbQ~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0THaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY2RjLmdvdi9uY2hzL2RhdGEvaHVzLzIwMTkvMDAxLTUwOC5wZGY_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9OSZlbWM9ZWRpdF9ubl8yMDIxMDQyNyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yOTc4OSZubD10aGUtbW9ybmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTExOTEzNDU5MyZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTU2NTgwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD01MTlkZDZlNDc3YjYxZGIwMWI2YzA3NmQ3YzU3ZTc1NlcDbnl0QgpggVPsh2CyQVLDUhZlcmljcHJ1c3NlbGxAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA>
— and about 50 percent fewer than in 1960. The U.S. still has a higher
fertility rate than Japan and Germany, but it is in the same
range<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/4_eT-k0dg8O4fh76bDIVtA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0TpaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuY2lhLmdvdi90aGUtd29ybGQtZmFjdGJvb2svZmllbGQvdG90YWwtZmVydGlsaXR5LXJhdGUvY291bnRyeS1jb21wYXJpc29uP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTkmZW1jPWVkaXRfbm5fMjAyMTA0MjcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjk3ODkmbmw9dGhlLW1vcm5pbmcmcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NjU4MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYIFT7IdgskFSw1IWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
as Britain and Sweden and below France and Ireland. There are now more
Americans 80 and
older<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/VON1xETCQGNphnUT745wFA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0TRaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMS8wNC8yNi91cy91cy1jZW5zdXMtbnVtYmVycy5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTkmZW1jPWVkaXRfbm5fMjAyMTA0MjcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjk3ODkmbmw9dGhlLW1vcm5pbmcmcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NjU4MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYIFT7IdgskFSw1IWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
than 2 or younger.
The second factor behind the slow population growth is a decline in legal
immigration<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/lRXWqz6vm2piFUvFaNWfyQ~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0T_aHR0cHM6Ly9hcG5ld3MuY29tL2FydGljbGUvY2FsaWZvcm5pYS1jZW5zdXMtMjAyMC1nb3Zlcm5tZW50LWFuZC1wb2xpdGljcy01ZDUxOGRiNDNiM2Q1M2NiOTI0MTc4OTYyOGM4ODUyMT9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD05JmVtYz1lZGl0X25uXzIwMjEwNDI3Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTI5Nzg5Jm5sPXRoZS1tb3JuaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9MTE5MTM0NTkzJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NTY1ODAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTUxOWRkNmU0NzdiNjFkYjAxYjZjMDc2ZDdjNTdlNzU2VwNueXRCCmCBU-yHYLJBUsNSFmVyaWNwcnVzc2VsbEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~>
during Donald Trump’s presidency. (Illegal immigration does not appear to have
changed significantly.)
The upsides of less growth
There are some advantages to slower population growth. A lower birthrate can
expand the economic opportunities for women, especially because the U.S. has
relatively flimsy child care
programs<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/bHL4gzRTxqPn3Pv3FZLsiw~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0T1aHR0cHM6Ly9lcXVpdGFibGVncm93dGgub3JnL2ZhbGxpbmctYmVoaW5kLXRoZS1yZXN0LW9mLXRoZS13b3JsZC1jaGlsZGNhcmUtaW4tdGhlLXVuaXRlZC1zdGF0ZXMvP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTkmZW1jPWVkaXRfbm5fMjAyMTA0MjcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjk3ODkmbmw9dGhlLW1vcm5pbmcmcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NjU4MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYIFT7IdgskFSw1IWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>.
Historically, birthrates have declined as societies become more educated and
wealthier<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/79jc5RaVsBPIF8XSEGHcYA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0TXaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubmJlci5vcmcvc3lzdGVtL2ZpbGVzL3dvcmtpbmdfcGFwZXJzL3cyMzAwMy93MjMwMDMucGRmP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTkmZW1jPWVkaXRfbm5fMjAyMTA0MjcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjk3ODkmbmw9dGhlLW1vcm5pbmcmcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NjU4MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYIFT7IdgskFSw1IWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>.
Lower levels of immigration can also have upsides. The big wage gains for
American workers during the mid-20th century had many causes, including strong
labor unions, rising educational attainment and high tax rates on top incomes.
But the tight immigration restrictions of that period also played a role.
“Immigration restriction, by making unskilled labor more scarce, tended to
shore up wage rates,” the labor historian Irving
Bernstein<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/QciPEZNSj4CJHU49taZTqA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0T3aHR0cHM6Ly9ib29rcy5nb29nbGUuY29tL2Jvb2tzL2Fib3V0L0FfSGlzdG9yeV9vZl90aGVfQW1lcmljYW5fV29ya2VyXzE5MjBfMTkuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD05JmVtYz1lZGl0X25uXzIwMjEwNDI3JmlkPUZ4U0FQNG9UNHRVQyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yOTc4OSZubD10aGUtbW9ybmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTExOTEzNDU5MyZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTU2NTgwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD01MTlkZDZlNDc3YjYxZGIwMWI2YzA3NmQ3YzU3ZTc1NlcDbnl0QgpggVPsh2CyQVLDUhZlcmljcHJ1c3NlbGxAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA>
wrote in a 1960 book. The economists Peter Lindert and Jeffrey
Williamson<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/ewV8-U3HLlBRXg6Zbx0qAw~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0TCaHR0cHM6Ly9wcmVzcy5wcmluY2V0b24uZWR1L3RpdGxlcy8xMDY3MC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTkmZW1jPWVkaXRfbm5fMjAyMTA0MjcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjk3ODkmbmw9dGhlLW1vcm5pbmcmcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NjU4MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYIFT7IdgskFSw1IWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
have noted that economic inequality declined more during the mid-20th century
in countries with slower labor force growth.
And the big downsides
Over all, though, the slowdown in population growth is probably a net negative
for the U.S. — as both conservatives (like Ross
Douthat<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/MSVEwWknMrEMn3fqZC_KEw~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMS8wMy8yNy9vcGluaW9uL3N1bmRheS9mZXJ0aWxpdHktcG9wdWxhdGlvbi1iYWJ5LWJ1c3QuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD05JmVtYz1lZGl0X25uXzIwMjEwNDI3Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTI5Nzg5Jm5sPXRoZS1tb3JuaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9MTE5MTM0NTkzJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NTY1ODAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTUxOWRkNmU0NzdiNjFkYjAxYjZjMDc2ZDdjNTdlNzU2VwNueXRCCmCBU-yHYLJBUsNSFmVyaWNwcnVzc2VsbEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~>)
and liberals (like Michelle
Goldberg<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/8gnlZ8_agcloia6x5EAu8g~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0TiaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAxOC8wNS8yNS9vcGluaW9uL2FtZXJpY2FuLWJpcnRocmF0ZS1wYXRyaWFyY2h5Lmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9OSZlbWM9ZWRpdF9ubl8yMDIxMDQyNyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yOTc4OSZubD10aGUtbW9ybmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTExOTEzNDU5MyZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTU2NTgwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD01MTlkZDZlNDc3YjYxZGIwMWI2YzA3NmQ3YzU3ZTc1NlcDbnl0QgpggVPsh2CyQVLDUhZlcmljcHJ1c3NlbGxAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA>)
have argued.
For one thing, polls show that many Americans want more children than they are
having<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/J0_iMKzuDpR55TDZSWDF7w~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0T2aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAxOC8wNy8wNS91cHNob3QvYW1lcmljYW5zLWFyZS1oYXZpbmctZmV3ZXItYmFiaWVzLXRoZXktdG9sZC11cy13aHkuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD05JmVtYz1lZGl0X25uXzIwMjEwNDI3Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTI5Nzg5Jm5sPXRoZS1tb3JuaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9MTE5MTM0NTkzJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NTY1ODAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTUxOWRkNmU0NzdiNjFkYjAxYjZjMDc2ZDdjNTdlNzU2VwNueXRCCmCBU-yHYLJBUsNSFmVyaWNwcnVzc2VsbEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~>,
as The Times’s Claire Cain Miller has noted. But the slow-growing incomes and
a shortage of good child care options have led some people to decide that they
cannot afford to have as many children as they would like. The decline in the
birthrate, in other words, is partly a reflection of American society’s failure
to support families.
(President Biden wants to address these problems by expanding child care and
pre-K programs and extending a child tax credit in the recent Covid-19 relief
bill. Those proposals will be part of his
speech<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/k3uz2aGRgOqKm3F9hRcQIg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0ThaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cud2FzaGluZ3RvbnBvc3QuY29tL3VzLXBvbGljeS8yMDIxLzA0LzI0L2JpZGVuLWZhbWlsaWVzLXBsYW4tdGF4Lz9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD05JmVtYz1lZGl0X25uXzIwMjEwNDI3Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTI5Nzg5Jm5sPXRoZS1tb3JuaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9MTE5MTM0NTkzJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NTY1ODAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTUxOWRkNmU0NzdiNjFkYjAxYjZjMDc2ZDdjNTdlNzU2VwNueXRCCmCBU-yHYLJBUsNSFmVyaWNwcnVzc2VsbEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~>
to Congress tomorrow night.)
A second problem with slow population growth involves global affairs. The U.S.
now faces the most serious challenge to its supremacy since the Cold War — from
China<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/2LLskzovWpLx4rZu-YHccA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0TfaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMC8wMS8xNi9vcGluaW9uL3N1bmRheS9jaGluYS1lY29ub215LXRyYWRlLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9OSZlbWM9ZWRpdF9ubl8yMDIxMDQyNyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yOTc4OSZubD10aGUtbW9ybmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTExOTEzNDU5MyZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTU2NTgwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD01MTlkZDZlNDc3YjYxZGIwMWI2YzA3NmQ3YzU3ZTc1NlcDbnl0QgpggVPsh2CyQVLDUhZlcmljcHJ1c3NlbGxAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA>.
The future path of the two countries’ economic growth will help determine
their relative strength. And population growth, in turn, helps determine
economic growth, especially in an advanced economy. To have any hope of keeping
up with China and its vastly larger population, the U.S. will probably need
bigger population increases than it has recently had.
Viewed in these terms, the population slowdown is a threat to national
security. “I don’t know of a precedent for a dynamic country that has basically
stopped growing,” The Atlantic’s Derek
Thompson<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/6iq8qym01ukdgfz6RN8dHA~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP4QGAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LnRoZWF0bGFudGljLmNvbS9idXNpbmVzcy9hcmNoaXZlLzIwMTAvMTIvaXMtc2xvdy1wb3B1bGF0aW9uLWdyb3d0aC1nb29kLW9yLWJhZC1mb3ItdGhlLWVjb25vbXkvNjg0ODcvP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTkmZW1jPWVkaXRfbm5fMjAyMTA0MjcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjk3ODkmbmw9dGhlLW1vcm5pbmcmcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NjU4MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYIFT7IdgskFSw1IWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
has written.
In Matthew Yglesias’s recent book “One Billion Americans,” he
argues<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/II_WbF2-cgoo9YS1pxHCvw~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0TvaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cucGVuZ3VpbnJhbmRvbWhvdXNlLmNvbS9ib29rcy82MzY0OTkvb25lLWJpbGxpb24tYW1lcmljYW5zLWJ5LW1hdHRoZXcteWdsZXNpYXMvP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTkmZW1jPWVkaXRfbm5fMjAyMTA0MjcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjk3ODkmbmw9dGhlLW1vcm5pbmcmcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NjU4MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYIFT7IdgskFSw1IWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
that the U.S. should rapidly increase legal immigration to lift economic
output. “America should aspire to be the greatest nation on earth,” Yglesias,
the author of a Substack
newsletter<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/u9YfZIt2pgFN0_wnR2RyYw~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0SwaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuc2xvd2JvcmluZy5jb20vP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTkmZW1jPWVkaXRfbm5fMjAyMTA0MjcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjk3ODkmbmw9dGhlLW1vcm5pbmcmcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NjU4MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYIFT7IdgskFSw1IWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>,
writes. The only realistic alternative for that role is China, an
authoritarian country that is jailing critics and committing egregious human
rights abuses.
Higher levels of immigration also have a direct benefit: More of the millions
of people around the world who want to move to the
U.S.<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/SFKp8gCxakgtXh88J_62Bg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0TbaHR0cHM6Ly9uZXdzLmdhbGx1cC5jb20vcG9sbC8yNDUyNTUvNzUwLW1pbGxpb24td29ybGR3aWRlLW1pZ3JhdGUuYXNweD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD05JmVtYz1lZGl0X25uXzIwMjEwNDI3Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTI5Nzg5Jm5sPXRoZS1tb3JuaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9MTE5MTM0NTkzJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NTY1ODAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTUxOWRkNmU0NzdiNjFkYjAxYjZjMDc2ZDdjNTdlNzU2VwNueXRCCmCBU-yHYLJBUsNSFmVyaWNwcnVzc2VsbEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~>
get the chance to do so.
More from the census report:
* The population continued to shift from the Northeast and the Midwest to
the Sun Belt, and California will lose a congressional seat for the first time
in
history<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/xkh6k6DJpY-bMSuiTFtI-Q~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0TUaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMS8wNC8yNi91cy91cy1jZW5zdXMtY2FsaWZvcm5pYS5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTkmZW1jPWVkaXRfbm5fMjAyMTA0MjcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjk3ODkmbmw9dGhlLW1vcm5pbmcmcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NjU4MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYIFT7IdgskFSw1IWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>.
[https://ci4.googleusercontent.com/proxy/lSQMS746xmGng4MGCAGO46n0ZbB1WjHb10tUKJO-5NRNCQ4xKHGyPIjUsUw_0a4Rxi5FEeui6A4SbhARIhxbqGundC4__Qd1EwiK0fW34aiv3irmwIoSRBoOZUinEYH853KCmD2q4Wieaz-zl9gSA_ehWzVj7AOclbDNoOmKmzewQ6m57Q=s0-d-e1-ft#https://static01.nyt.com/images/2021/04/27/multimedia/27-MORNING-HOUSESEATS/27-MORNING-HOUSESEATS-articleLarge.png]
By The New York Times | Source: United States Census Bureau
* The shifts will complicate Democrats’ efforts to retain House
control<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/vPOYnlW8N2JiKZ1amZ7-Ww~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP4QGAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmF4aW9zLmNvbS9jZW5zdXMtYXBwb3J0aW9ubWVudC1zdGF0ZXMtaG91c2UtcmVwcmVzZW50YXRpdmVzLTNhZGEyYTkzLTM0NmEtNGI1OS05ZTQyLTU0YmQ1MDAzNTNkOC5odG1sP2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTkmZW1jPWVkaXRfbm5fMjAyMTA0MjcmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9Mjk3ODkmbmw9dGhlLW1vcm5pbmcmcmVnaV9pZD0xMTkxMzQ1OTMmc2VnbWVudF9pZD01NjU4MCZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NTE5ZGQ2ZTQ3N2I2MWRiMDFiNmMwNzZkN2M1N2U3NTZXA255dEIKYIFT7IdgskFSw1IWZXJpY3BydXNzZWxsQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
next year and win the Electoral
College<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/nLZv8pO8KI1LWtDXyzpbBg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0TNaHR0cHM6Ly90d2l0dGVyLmNvbS9OYXRlX0NvaG4vc3RhdHVzLzEzODY3NzgwODYyNzcwNjI2Njc_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9OSZlbWM9ZWRpdF9ubl8yMDIxMDQyNyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yOTc4OSZubD10aGUtbW9ybmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTExOTEzNDU5MyZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTU2NTgwJnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD01MTlkZDZlNDc3YjYxZGIwMWI2YzA3NmQ3YzU3ZTc1NlcDbnl0QgpggVPsh2CyQVLDUhZlcmljcHJ1c3NlbGxAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA>
in the future.
* If New York had counted 89 more
people<https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/oyPQoAkOuhCB1t5Hw_pw-w~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRianFTP0TeaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMS8wNC8yNi9ueXJlZ2lvbi9uZXcteW9yay1jZW5zdXMtY29uZ3Jlc3MuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD05JmVtYz1lZGl0X25uXzIwMjEwNDI3Jmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTI5Nzg5Jm5sPXRoZS1tb3JuaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9MTE5MTM0NTkzJnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NTY1ODAmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTUxOWRkNmU0NzdiNjFkYjAxYjZjMDc2ZDdjNTdlNzU2VwNueXRCCmCBU-yHYLJBUsNSFmVyaWNwcnVzc2VsbEBnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~>,
it would have kept the seat it lost (and Minnesota would have lost a seat
instead).
