Taking the empirical approach, and looking at what species are not on the TN list but do have inland records from the 8 adjoining states + South Carolina, and giving preference to species that occur regularly in an adjacent state and show a pattern of wandering, there sure are a lot of possibilities. Interestingly, no new seabirds jump to the top of the list; the recent hurricane fallouts have pretty well cleaned up the most likely prospects there! My choice for most overdue species in Tennessee: 1. Mountain Bluebird -- reports from all around us. Other species that are at least regular rarities in adjoining states and seem most likely to wander our way: 2. Greater Roadrunner 3. Lewis' Woodpecker 4. Black-billed Magpie 5. Clark's Nutcracker 6. Bohemian Waxwing (6A. Chestnut-collared Longspur) -- since there was a sight record last month that will likely at least get this bird on the provisional list, it would be cheating to pick it now! 7. Great-tailed Grackle Rounding out the top 10, some species that have multiple records from adjoining states; all seem way overdue for Tennessee: 8. Lesser Goldfinch 9. Ferruginous Hawk 10. Broad-billed Hummingbird Runners up are Mountain Plover, Sandwich Tern, Buff-bellied Hummingbird, Fork-tailed Flycatcher, Cassin's Kingbird, and Northern Wheatear. Now throwing the empiricism aside, it just seems like we are due for a Tufted Duck, Little Stint, and Slaty-backed Gull, with the good coverage we have of the ducks, shorebirds, and gulls at several hot spots in west TN. On the other hand, even with all this good coverage we still don't have any official records for these birds, so maybe they aren't as likely as our guts might tell us. OK so let's go find some of these critters! Bill Pulliam Hohenwald TN =================NOTES TO SUBSCRIBER===================== The TN-Bird Net requires you to SIGN YOUR MESSAGE with first and last name, CITY (TOWN) and state abbreviation. You are also required to list the COUNTY in which the birds you report were seen. The actual DATE OF OBSERVATION should appear in the first paragraph. _____________________________________________________________ To post to this mailing list, simply send email to: tn-bird@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx _____________________________________________________________ To unsubscribe, send email to: tn-bird-request@xxxxxxxxxxxxx with 'unsubscribe' in the Subject field. ______________________________________________________________ TN-Bird Net is owned by the Tennessee Ornithological Society Neither the society(TOS) nor its moderator(s) endorse the views or opinions expressed by the members of this discussion group. Moderator: Wallace Coffey, Bristol, TN wallace@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ------------------------------ Assistant Moderator Andy Jones Cleveland, OH ------------------------------- Assistant Moderator Dave Worley Rosedale, VA __________________________________________________________ Visit the Tennessee Ornithological Society web site at http://www.tnbirds.org * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * ARCHIVES TN-Bird Net Archives at //www.freelists.org/archives/tn-bird/ MAP RESOURCES Tenn.Counties Map at http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/states/tennessee3.gif Aerial photos to complement google maps http://local.live.com _____________________________________________________________