This is always a fun discussion and we haven't had one here for a while. What do you think are the next 10 species that will be added to the TN state list? I will propose my top 10 and my reasoning, and then throw out the rest of the candidates for my list that didn't make the top 10, but are still plausible in my opinion. I look forward to the discussion. Chris Sloan's Predictions of Next 10 New Species for Tennessee: 1. Mountain Bluebird - This species has a well-established pattern of eastern vagrancy; several neighboring states have records (AR, KY, MS, NC). In my opinion, this one is just being overlooked because most of us don't give bluebirds in TN a second glance. KY's record illustrated this; the person who found it was stopping to show his girlfriend an Eastern Bluebird and it just happened to be a Mountain Bluebird. 2. Tufted Duck - This is a classic "anywhere, any time" vagrant in the U.S. and has occurred in several nearby states, including just across the border in KY. Long overdue in my opinion - check those scaup flocks (it's most regular associates) closely! 3. Great-tailed Grackle - They have a well-established pattern of vagrancy all along the Mississippi River up into the Dakotas. We have a couple of near misses already on this one. 4. Greater Roadrunner - This one occurs regularly just across the Mississippi in several places. The river is obviously a significant barrier for this species, but sooner or later one will cross a bridge or follow a railroad track into Tennessee. Also some near misses on this one. 5. Burrowing Owl - Lots of eastern records for this one; most are on the Gulf and Atlantic coasts but some also from the midwest. I think they breed not too far west of us as well. 6. Broad-billed Hummingbird - There are probably more eastern records of this species than any other that hasn't yet occurred in TN; all the coastal states around us have records, as do several midwestern states. 7. Mountain Plover - Lots of eastern records, including just to our south in MS. 8. Fork-tailed Flycatcher - another "anywhere, any time" vagrant from South America. Not likely to be overlooked, though! 9. Northern Wheatear - This one has been seen in 43 states and provinces, including most eastern states. 10. Slaty-backed Gull - This species seems to regularly come across to the midwest, so wouldn't be surprising for one to show up here. I know of one record from St. Louis, which isn't that far up the river from us. Here are my candidate species that didn't quite crack the top 10. I won't bore you with the explanations, although I'm happy to share my thoughts on them if you want to email me off-list. Wilson's Storm-Petrel Crested Caracara Northern Lapwing Pacific Golden-Plover Spotted Redshank Little Stint Black-tailed Gull Mew Gull Glaucous-winged Gull Ancient Murrelet Lesser Nighthawk Lewis' Woodpecker Western Wood-Pewee Cassin's Kingbird Bicknell's Thrush Painted Redstart One note: some of you may wonder why Green Violetear isn't on my lists. It's not on there because there is, in fact, a record for TN, although I don't think it's been reviewed yet by TBRC. A few months back, clear, definitive photos surfaced of one at a feeder in Collierville in September 2007 for one day. The host didn't know any better, but at least he took some good photos. regards, Chris Sloan Nashville, TN =================NOTES TO SUBSCRIBER===================== The TN-Bird Net requires you to SIGN YOUR MESSAGE with first and last name, CITY (TOWN) and state abbreviation. You are also required to list the COUNTY in which the birds you report were seen. The actual DATE OF OBSERVATION should appear in the first paragraph. _____________________________________________________________ To post to this mailing list, simply send email to: tn-bird@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx _____________________________________________________________ To unsubscribe, send email to: tn-bird-request@xxxxxxxxxxxxx with 'unsubscribe' in the Subject field. ______________________________________________________________ TN-Bird Net is owned by the Tennessee Ornithological Society Neither the society(TOS) nor its moderator(s) endorse the views or opinions expressed by the members of this discussion group. Moderator: Wallace Coffey, Bristol, TN wallace@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ------------------------------ Assistant Moderator Andy Jones Cleveland, OH ------------------------------- Assistant Moderator Dave Worley Rosedale, VA __________________________________________________________ Visit the Tennessee Ornithological Society web site at http://www.tnbirds.org * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * ARCHIVES TN-Bird Net Archives at //www.freelists.org/archives/tn-bird/ MAP RESOURCES Tenn.Counties Map at http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/states/tennessee3.gif Aerial photos to complement google maps http://local.live.com _____________________________________________________________