OK, I'll buy that. Rick Knight ----- Original Message ----- From: Jon Mann To: csloan1973@xxxxxxxxx;Rick Knight Cc: tn-bird Sent: 2/4/2014 3:04:56 PM Subject: [TN-Bird] Re: Mute Swan And the timing is perfect for a Mute Swan from the Great Lakes population - the same deep freeze that has pushed all the White-winged Scoters and Long-tailed Ducks would likely push Mute Swans down as well. I just looked at ebird for December and then January. December shows 90% or so of sightings concentrated close to the Great Lakes, with some in the interior of Ohio January shows a wave of sightings extending all through-out Indiana, Ohio and into KY. Jon Mann Scottsdale, AZ On Tuesday, February 4, 2014 12:42 PM, Chris Sloan <csloan1973@xxxxxxxxx> wrote: I was referring to the Great Lakes population. I am not sure we disagree that much. My point is just that, absent some particular reason to believe an individual was a released pet, in my opinion they are more likely than not to be dispersed from the established populations. Obviously, in your area, many are known to be released. Around here, there aren't that many. Chris Sloan Nashville, TN http://www.chrissloanphotography.com/ On Tue, Feb 4, 2014 at 1:25 PM, Richard Knight <rknight8@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote: I disagree, but depending on what you mean by "established wild population". To my knowledge there are only some feral (i.e., formerly domestic) Mute Swans that breed in Tenn., but none that I would consider wild & established in the state. Also, there have been some that appeared to be dispersers from the established Great Lakes population, although that is nearly impossible to prove. Maybe the individual at Old Hickory Lake fits this category. Most Mute Swans in northeast Tenn. are known to be birds that were placed on lakes or ponds by people. Some can fly, some apparently can't. Some have successfully raised young, but that doesn't make them an established wild population. Rick Knight Johnson City, TN ----- Original Message ----- From: Bill Pulliam To: Chris Sloan Cc: TN-Birds bird Sent: 2/4/2014 12:06:05 PM Subject: [TN-Bird] Re: Mute Swan Thanks. I have been unsure how to treat eBird reports of these birds. Fortunately eBird reviews are easy to revisit as the circumstances and consensus shifts. Bill Pulliam Hohenwald TN On Feb 4, 2014, at 10:44 AM, Chris Sloan wrote: I have two comments on this. First, as to this particular bird, it's almost certainly part of the established wild population. I have birded Old Hickory Lake as much or more than anyone over the last 20 years and have never seen one (including Saturday afternoon), and it's a hard bird to miss. Second, I generally assume that reports in TN are from the wild population unless there is evidence to the contrary. There are enough of them in the wild population and enough records of presumed wild birds in TN that it seems to me the burden of proof should lie the other way. Others may disagree. Chris Sloan Nashville, TN http://www.chrissloanphotography.com/