[rollei_list] Re: OT Exit Polls (was Re: Happy MLK Day)

  • From: Jim Brick <jim@xxxxxxxxx>
  • To: rollei_list@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Tue, 20 Jan 2009 18:07:13 -0800

My main reason for actually posting to this thread was to see if it would suck Eric into it, knowing that I cannot say anything without getting a reaction from same. And as I expected...



On Jan 20, 2009, at 5:23 PM, Eric Goldstein wrote:

I have no interest in or intention of prolonging the agony of the
political discussion, but do feel an obligation to keep accurate
information on this list, even if we do stray off-topic. So as a
consequence of Jim Brick's post, I am passing along a few links which
will help interested list members draw a factual conclusion relative
to exit polls and their accuracy:

http://www.mysterypollster.com/main/2004/12/what_is_the_sam.html

http://www.mysterypollster.com/main/2004/11/exit_polls_what.html

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/exit_polls_what_you_should_kno_1.php


Eric Goldstein

--

On Tue, Jan 20, 2009 at 3:38 PM, Jim Brick <jim@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
This is equivalent to Pauline Kael's infamous quote, after Nixon won the
presidency: "I don't know anyone who voted for Nixon."

CNN 'anything' is equivalent to Pauline Kael's vision. And exit polls are far worse than not polling, and instead, holding your finger up and taking a
WAG.

Jim


On Jan 20, 2009, at 10:39 AM, Marc James Small wrote:

At 10:05 AM 1/20/2009, Robert Meier wrote:

The figures are from CNN exit polls:

Voter demographics

The following statistics are based on exit polls taken on November 4.
SOCIAL GROUPS AND THE PRESIDENTIAL VOTE, 2008

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