[pcductape] An eye-opener in some ways

  • From: "Victor Firestone" <vlfll@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: "Micha" <micha@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 23:09:08 +0200

I'd bet anything you've never heard of Andrew Grygus or his company
Automation Access.  That's about to change.

Back on February 23rd, Grugus posted an editorial titled "2003 and
Beyond -- Technology trends that will affect your business and how you
do business."  You can find Grygus' editorial on the Automation Access
site at


Predicting the future is almost always a fool's errand [flying car,
anyone?]  But, using research and news articles from hundreds of
different sources, Grygus wrote an 50+ page editorial that offers an
in-depth, ten year look at information technology in general and
Microsoft in specific.  As Gryus notes,

     This article is a guide to trends that are already in full motion
     and well known by technology specialists, but are far from
     obvious to most business managers.

I take exception with Grygus calling "2003 and Beyond" an article.  It
isn't an article, it's an editorial.  Granted, it's an exceptionally
well researched editorial [the bibliography is *ELEVEN* pages long], but
it's an editorial nonetheless.

Grygus adds that

     Much of this article deals specifically with Microsoft and
     Microsoft's future.  This is inescapable, because Microsoft is a
     huge part of the information industry - and aspires to being all
     of it.

And therin lies the problem.  The last seven words of that quote show
that Grygus isn’t particularly a lover of Microsoft, and he allows his
anti-Microsoft, pro-Open Source/UNIX viewpoint to seep into his
"article" from time to time.  In more than one place in his editorial,
Grygus is long on accusation and short on substantiation.

All that aside, Grygus' "2003 and Beyond" is one of the most important
things I have read in a LONG time.  It's no "Crime and Puzzlement,"
mind you, but "2003 and Beyond" does give a frightening and eye- opening
look at Microsoft's public plans over the next decade.

Here is a small example of why I think Grygus' 50+ page editorial is a

     The successor to Windows XP (due in 2004, and rapidly slipping to
     2005) is currently code named Longhorn, and it will not be
     compatible with your existing software, hardware or methods.
     Microsoft has already stated that backward compatibility will
     not be a design feature.

Here's another one:

     Office 2003 and Windows Sever 2003 will include a Rights
     Management Services feature for document security. ... If
     Microsoft can convince businesses to use this feature, Office
     2003 documents will be completely unreadable by OpenOffice /
     StarOffice, WordPerfect Office, Lotus, and by all older versions
     of Microsoft Office, forcing a total upgrade of Windows, Office
     and the computers it runs on.

If your reaction to either of these quotes is "whoa!" -- or if you are
in ANY way, shape, or form involved with computers and information
technology -- you NEED to take an hour out of your day and read Andrew
Grygus "2003 and Beyond" .

Regardless of whether you agree with Grygus' anti-Microsoft rhetoric and
conclusions, I promise that "2003 and Beyond" is an eye-opening




"To laugh often and much; to win the respect of intelligent people and 
the affection of children; to earn the appreciation of honest critics 
and endure the betrayal  of false friends; to appreciate beauty, to
find the best in others; to leave the world a little better; whether by
a healthy child, a garden patch or a redeemed social condition; to know
even one life has breathed easier because you have lived.


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