[opendtv] Re: Twang's Tuesday Tribune (Mark's Monday Memo)

  • From: Craig Birkmaier <craig@xxxxxxxxx>
  • To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Tue, 4 May 2004 15:25:35 -0400

At 11:11 AM -0700 5/4/04, Kon Wilms wrote:
>  >I never denied it. But the press release you cited had nothing to do
>with satellite distribution directly to viewers...it was a backhaul
>agreement.
>
>So Echostar was providing backhaul?

No, this was the later effort I was talking about when you said I 
finally admitted my mistake.

>
>Here's an interesting analysis of why they failed (see the reference to
>beating Moore's Law - applies to the increase in speed of landline broadband
>too, as well as the failure of their GeoBox)
>http://gradcenter.marlboro.edu/~dmaynard/foundations/geocast_evaluation.html
>
>And here's a press release for their use of Echostar (NOT for backhaul like
>you keep saying - like I said they changed business plans faster than I
>change underwear -- cable, dbs and dtv were their intended distribution
>platforms)
>http://www.broadbandweek.com/news/0011/0011_news_geocast.htm

What has this press release got to do with the first press release 
about the Geocast Deal with GE American Communications (GE Americom)?

Don't bother to answer. Geocast could not get a terrestrial business 
off the ground. Before they went under they tried to map the business 
model to a different (DBS) distribution infrastructure.

By then it was too late. I might add that Echostar was not able to 
compete against cheaper wired broadband networks...

>
>Your opinion is not fact, fortunately.
>
>>>
>>>>with a multi-channel DBS service it might fly...
>>>
>>>Well it wasn't, and it isn't, and it failed, so moot point.
>>Yes it failed for all the reasons we have been discussing.
>
>Echostar isn't a multi-channel DBS service? Thanks for proving me right.

This proved nothing. Both DirecTV and EchoStar are bringing back data 
broadcasting now that they have a large installed base of subscribers 
with local caching capability in the STB. This was not the case when 
GeoCast tried to team with Echostar - that business model was to 
deliver bits to PCs to get around the bandwidth constraints of 
broadband networks for big media files.

At worst, you can say that the data broadcast concepts were just a 
bit ahead of their time.

>The web is non-linear. No-one wants web content over databroadcast links.
>Everything you list can be had by opening a web browser - so none of them
>are killer applications. And none of them will convince a company to roll
>out a service or potential users to pay extra for it.

The web is still constrained by bandwidth. I could care less if the 
bits are used by a web browser or an application running in a STB 
that makes them look like a TV channel. What matters is that it is 
possible to deliver an avalanche of bits to receivers that can turn 
them into services.

The concepts are valid and they are beginning to gain real traction 
based on two realities;

1. You need local cache to make any data broadcast model work;
2.  You need a STB with enough local image processing capability to 
run applications that can turn bits into services.

Those conditions are now being met.

But more important, the real value of data broadcasting is to serve 
devices that are not tethered to a wired Internet connection.

>
>>This is not a discussion about cool technology. It is a discussion
>about the actions of entrenched players who are working overtime to
>extend the life of a dying legacy product, while simultaneously
>slowing the evolution to new, more effective ways to enhanced digital
>communications.
>
>I must be missing something since we've worked on systems for some of those
>'entrenched players' and a lot were abandoned due to no revenue model being
>present. Who exactly are these entrenched players?

Nothing new here. You know who I am talking about. And you also know 
that they have made small investments in this area for the specific 
purpose of understanding the territory, and making bold public claims 
that there is no revenue model. We put the guy who developed ABCs two 
screen interactive TV venture on the cover of Digital Television a 
few years ago. he got fired because it made it look like there was a 
revenue model there.

>
>I don't know how to even respond to that one. So they solved nothing but
>solved the infrastructure limitations. They provide edge caching servers but
>they will go away when caching moves to the edge. Err, ok.

You know what I mean. Akamai did not move the bits to the edge of the 
network...they moved them closer to the edge. The edge is local 
caching. Combine this with IP multicast and data broadcasting and you 
don't need Akamai.


>
>>>ITFS is not being used for datacasting.
>>Correct it is being used to deliver linear analog video content to
>analog VCRs, where the content is cached for later playback...same
>concept using legacy technology.
>
>Haha so now a VCR is a content cache? Wow, you are stretching yourself
>pretty far on that one for an excuse to legitimize your wild claims. :)

Of course a VCR is a content cache. This is no different that telling 
a Tivo to record channel 21 at 7pm. Many school districts have 
libraries of content available to teachers. The teacher can schedule 
a "download" with the central library; it's their responsibility to 
program the VCR to catch the scheduled broadcast via the ITFS system. 
It happens everynight, all over America.

>
>>>Emergency
>>>services can and are being deployed over ATSC.
>>Can you provide an example?
>
>Attempting to be as generic as possible -
>http://www.cedmagazine.com/ced/2004/0204/02e.htm

Good reference. I think it makes my point.

Clearly data broadcasts can be used to deliver bits both to the 
public and to emergency workers. They wanted to do this in New York 
immediately after 911...but there was no infrastructure in place to 
do it. So they turned to the Internet, and a wireless service 
provider that had gone dark, but still had two-way base stations in 
the area.

Peace!

Regards
Craig


 
 
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