[opendtv] Re: Toward digital TV

  • From: "Manfredi, Albert E" <albert.e.manfredi@xxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Wed, 14 Dec 2005 13:32:33 -0500

>> 1. The 2006 date was not at all a joke, back in 1997 when it
>> was set, and it could easily have been met. It would simply
>> have required Congress and the FCC to do two years ago what
>> they have done now.

Mark Aitken wrote:

> IF (BIG IF) it had worked "out of the box", it could
> have easily happened.

Absolutely. I agree. That's why I said "two years ago" and not,
say eight years ago.

I think the FCC could have mandated 100 percent built-in
receivers to start on 1 March of 2004, giving the LGs and
Linx companies some 6 months more than the date when they
had their fully integrated solutions ready for production in
large quantities. That would have allowed for an analog shutoff
date of 1/1/2007 quite easily.

The first lab demos of 4th gen receivers occurred in the first
quarter of 2002, with promises of an integrated solution a year
later. The integrated chips were tested in the first quarter of
2003. By the fourth quarter of 2003, volume production was
feasible (or so we were told). Add a 6 month margin, and the 100
percent rule could have been set for, say, March or April 2004,
vs March of 2007. Allowing a shutoff date of 1/1/2007 as easily
as a shutoff date of 1/1/2010 can be met now.

I think we've been p*ssing away all sorts of time with
indecision. And unfortunately, not necessarily time well spent
at all, because no one moves ahead when they see indecision.

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