I think this is an excellent article. Free of the hype that usually that normally plagues this subject matter. Bert ----------------------------------------- TVs getting smarter, with help of PC gang =20 Mike Clendenin (10/10/2005 9:00 AM EDT) URL: http://www.eetimes.com/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=3D171204087 Taipei, Taiwan - Taiwan's Acer Inc. is known for a lot of things, but TV isn't one of them. The same could be said of Hewlett-Packard and Dell. Yet these aspiring TV makers are rolling out their vision of television's future - and it doesn't include the dumb boxes sitting in most living rooms today. These are next-generation, "smart" sets, with enough embedded intelligence to surf the Internet and wirelessly tap into digital family albums and home movies stored on the home PC. Some come preloaded with games and are able to record TV shows. Clever stuff, indeed. But faster than you can change the channel, people are already asking just how smart the TV should be - and what higher-level functions consumers will be willing to pay for. As flat-panel TVs gain in popularity, and new entrants to the market like HP, Dell and Acer vie for sales, it's natural that TVs would start to look a little more like PCs - a flip-flop of the trend toward adding more TV functionality into the personal computer. PC makers hope to use their IT expertise to ride the slowly building momentum of the networked home, a place where nearly every electronic device is connected and able to swap photos, music, video and data. In the era of TiVo, the possibilities of what the TV can do have dramatically expanded. Now, system makers and IC designers are trying to ride that thin line between what can be done and what should be done to spruce up TVs while not disturbing the laid-back experience of the average couch potato. "We feel strongly that the television can serve as the center of a really elaborate home network in the future," said Tony Favia, senior product manager for LCD TVs at Sharp Electronics Corp. "However, we also feel strongly that if it is going to do so, it needs to have very television-friendly features rather then PC-friendly features." Several months ago, Sharp, the leading LCD-TV maker, rolled out the first smart sets, called Open Aquos. Featuring dual PC Card slots to enable Wi-Fi functionality, the 20-inch and 15-inch models can handle photos, music and video, and record up to four hours of TV programs. They also have a microphone for leaving short messages. But the two TVs have already been discontinued. Favia said they were intended only as a trial balloon, and hinted that Sharp will soon bring similar functionality to some of its large-screen sizes, so users can surf the Net for related information on sports, news and movies. "The people who are passionate about those types of programs, generally speaking, would like to have as much information as possible to augment the viewing of that program, so we're keeping that in mind as we try to figure out ways to deliver real-time information without getting in the way of the program itself," Favia said. "We don't want big windows popping up in front of the picture." A handful of IC companies say they are in talks with customers about the future of smarter TVs. The early feedback is that they shouldn't be too clever, just a little less dumb. "They should never really be a full PC. They have to fall short of that and remain in the appliance area," said Rob Enderle, principal analyst at the Enderle Group. "If it gets a hard drive, or you are loading applications or have to deal with patches, then you have crossed the line." With all the buzz about digital homes, it was logical to integrate digital-media adapters into the TV, but not much more may be needed. Samsung, for instance, introduced a CRT with a 40-Gbyte hard drive in 2003, but it hasn't really caught on. Yet some IC vendors are getting a fair amount of requests about building in disk drives. "I think it's risky," said Steve Tirado, president of Silicon Image. "But some people are buying into it." Peter Rost, director of Hi-line TV at Micronas, said that for the next couple of years, he doesn't see high-end processors, wireless LANs and graphics ICs becoming part of standard TVs because of the cost. "On the other hand, what people do want to see is TV inside the PC," he said. "That is a trend that is much more real." Acer and Hewlett-Packard Co. declined to talk about the future prospects of their smart TVs. Both platforms offer wireless functionality, and the HP model will connect users to video Web sites for direct downloads, a move that would challenge the content-access monopolies of cable and satellite operators. The computer makers' entrance into the market is a hint that the more-simplified system designs of the flat-panel TV will push manufacturers to add nontraditional features as a way to stand out. "In the CRT world, a lot of them differentiated on design. Some of those designs were pretty complex, made up of lots of components," said Brad Zenger, vice president and general manager of advanced media processors at Pixelworks. "But in the flat-panel world, the number of those components is dramatically reduced, and so their ability to differentiate on that element of the TV is reduced." In addition to high-definition programming, the transition to two-way cable cards is another factor that may fuel further smarts in TVs. Currently, set-top boxes handle signal decryption for conditional-access systems. But during the next few years, plug-and-play PCMCIA cards will take on that role - assuming Federal Communications Commission mandates are met - and that could open the door to porting more set-top-box functionality into the television. "To run some of these applications that cable operators will be providing over the next few years - including their interactive program guides and applications written in Java - they need to have more horsepower in the TV," said Stephen Goldstein, senior business development manager at Samsung Electronics America. "But it's going to be an incremental approach. If anything, what cell phones taught us is that sometimes very simple applications that aren't very CPU-intensive can be very popular." Samsung recently introduced a two-way cable-card-ready rear-projection TV that supports the OpenCable Application Platform. Like Europe's Multimedia Home Platform, Ocap is a standardized middleware development platform that enables those building interactive TV services and applications to design products that run successfully on any cable system in North America, according to the Consumer Electronics Association. Ocap could bring a host of new applications to the TV. Yet TV makers are being cautious, in part because the Multimedia Home Platform never really caught on with European consumers. "Consumers need to be convinced about why they should invest in premium TVs compatible with future applications, and neither MHP nor Ocap has been extremely successful yet," said Micronas' Rost. Samsung doesn't see significant numbers of Ocap-enabled TVs, and cable operator services tailored for them, until 2007. That's also the time when the FCC is likely to mandate two-way, Ocap-enabled cable cards - a key differentiator between Ocap and MHP. Goldstein of Samsung said it's difficult to predict what kind of applications could make smarter, Ocap-enabled TVs a success, but added that at least the TV platform will have the inherent intelligence to run more-complex applications if a robust developer community emerges around the standard. "There is considerably more memory and in excess of 400 Mips of processing power, so this is not your everyday TV," Goldstein said of Samsung's recent release. "I'm not saying that all of a sudden we are going to have thousands of new applications or developers, but this is a step in the right direction. People have traditionally sat out of cable industry application development because it is very time-consuming to develop a number of iterations of the software for each of the different headend architectures that are deployed around the U.S." Micronas' Rost said to look for more test balloons of smarter TVs in the near future as digital TV and Internet-based video become more popular. "We are in talks with customers about next year's models and even models that are five years out," he said. "So we are definitely including all these features - like Ethernet on the chip, or higher CPU performance and graphics capabilities - to support all these browsing and interactive things." Still, he predicted that these features will be slow to hit the mainstream. "TVs are going to get incredibly smart, and some of them already are," said Jon Peddie, principal analyst at Jon Peddie Research. "As Moore Law's marches along, you'll see the first wave of them at the high end this year, and then next year you will see a whole bunch of them as the prices come down." All material on this site Copyright 2005 CMP Media LLC. 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