[opendtv] Re: Recovery based on CE
- From: Craig Birkmaier <craig@xxxxxxxxx>
- To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Wed, 9 Jun 2004 11:51:49 -0400
At 5:54 PM -0400 6/7/04, John Shutt wrote:
>----- Original Message -----
>From: "Manfredi, Albert E" <albert.e.manfredi@xxxxxxxxxx>
>
>> For example, DVD players and VCRs, digital cameras reaching up in the
>> 6.3 Mpel range as mid-level products, not to mention the DVB-T STBs
>> specifically intended for the UK market?
>
>Fujifilm A205 2.0 Mpel camera: $99
>Fujifilm 256 Mb xD memory card for same: $129.00
>
>Is a memory chip more complex to manufacture than a 5th generation Linx ATSC
>chip?
Keep in mind that the memory card market is going through the same
economic progression as other digital storage devices over the past
two decades. The reality is that the capacity of these cards has
generally been limited, and each time the resolution of the digital
camera doubles, you need more storage (but not necessarily 2x due to
the beneficial impact that increased resolution has on compression
efficiency).
We were on the CPU and storage treadmill for more than a decade,
before the average price of a PC started to decline. When performance
and storage capacity finally caught up with consumer expectations for
a PC, the contributions of Moore's Law started to be reflected on the
bottom line.
The same MAY eventually happen in the digital camera market, at least
for entry level cameras.
But there is another storage mountain to climb. It's called video.
Many digital cameras are able to capture short video clips at reduced
resolution. I am about to buy a new 5 Mpixel Canon Powershot that
raises the bar by allowing the capture of 640 x 480 movies instead of
320 x 240. Obviously this gobbles up any gains in the storage area.
With the prospects of moving to solid state camcorders in the next
few years, and then to HD versions of the same, I suspect that we
will be on the memory card treadmill for at least another decade.
Regards
Craig
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