[opendtv] Re: News: CEA FORECASTS CONSUMER ELECTRONICS REVENUE WILL SURPASS $155 BILLION IN 2007

  • From: Tom Barry <trbarry@xxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Wed, 10 Jan 2007 18:51:26 -0500



Craig Birkmaier wrote:
In fact, the legacy NTSC content
> looks much worse on my daughters 32" panel than it did on the old 26"
> CRT display that it replaced - but DVDs and Playstation games look much better. HD is not even a consideration.

But at least the digital TV (& maybe HD) might be a consideration if the TV was digital cable/HD ready. I mean for the free stuff, just as those with premium TV subscriptions may currently still use an analog cable ready TV in other rooms of the house. I'd expect in the future to see a lot of inexpensive small QAM LCD TV's around the house with no cable cards or monthly STB charges, at least if cable doesn't start scrambling the HD FOTA networks.

- Tom

At 11:03 AM -0500 1/9/07, Manfredi, Albert E wrote:

I have absolutely no problem, from my normal sitting position,
distinguishing between an SDTV program and an HDTV program, on a 26"
set. I agree that what I'm seeing is hardly as much as I *could* get out
of HDTV, but there is still a useful difference compared with SDTV, and
a very obvious improvement over digitized NTSC.


Duh.

Clearly there has been room for improvement, even with CRT displays. I helped to get this ball rolling in the early '80s when we developed the first analog component video production switchers at GVG.

It was equally clear by the early '90s that we could deliver much higher quality video using progressively scanned CRT displays. But this did not prevent the CE companies and broadcasters from going to the wall to protect the legacy of interlace.

As for your ability to discern between SDTV and HDTV programming on a 26" display, you seem a bit confused.

How are you defining SDTV?

If it is the digitization of an NTSC source, as is still dominant today with most SDTV programming, then the difference with HDTV will be readily apparent. IF it is the digitization of analog or digital component interlaced source (59.94 native, NOT 23.97P with 3:2 pull-up). There will be a significant improvement, but you will still be able to tell the difference from HDTV on that 26 inch display. IF the source is progressive scan SDTV (23.97P or 59.97P) it is unlikely that you will be able to tell the difference from HDTV source on that small 26" display. This is the major reason why DVD was able to deliver a high quality home theater experience using SDTV resolution, and why there is little benefit from moving to HD-DVD or Blue Ray.

And finally, if you took HD source and downconverted it to 480P and compared it with the original HD source it is HIGHLY unlikely that you would be able to tell the difference on that 26" display.

Bottom line, you need a display larger than 40 inch diagonal to even BEGIN to appreciate the extra resolution in HDTV.

Same as a sound system can be of various levels of quality, from tinny
sounding to sublime. Having HDTV available does not mean you must have a
60" 1080p set. Standard NTSC was simply unacceptable, for any screen
size above 19" at typical viewing distances, and even on a 19" set NTSC
is bad.


Agreed.

But there is a continuum of quality between NTSC and progressive scan HDTV. Yes you will realize some of the quality improvements when viewing an HD source on a smaller display, but this same improvement can be obtained by properly encoding the source at a much lower resolution like 480P or 576P.

 > I agree with Bert that HD has not be forced on consumers, except

 for one important caveat. Consumers ARE being forced to buy ATSC
 receivers that they will never use.


Even those who cave in to umbillical media can make use of the
ATSC/digital cable receiver. As a matter of fact, Verizon FiOS users
should also be able to use these receivers, because Verizon FiOS does
not use IPTV for the broadcast channels. This was Michael Powell's very
smart move. Make the built-in ATSC receiver usable by the majority of TV
users, just like the NTSC tuner was in the past. And I doubt anyone can
complain about added cost anymore, at least in the sets people are
buying in big quantities.


Why complain? We can't do anything about it except to buy monitors.

And to date, very few consumers are using the built in cable tuners, when they are present.

You can make the same argument that radial tires didn't help auto
manufacturers. In some narrow ways, this might be true. But the fact is,
radial tires and many other innovations improved the whole product
category for all consumers. And it would be foolish for any auto maker
to stick with the old bias ply tires and leaf-sprung rear axles. As
people get used to HD quality, and buy larger screens, they will
prefernetially go to HDTV whenever they have the option.


What a weird attempt at an analogy. The only way that radial tires "hurt" car manufacturers was the increased cost. But the increased cost was perceived as a major benefit by consumers. First because the tires last much longer; second because the car handles much better.

The evidence from the marketplace is that most consumers are buying only one big screen, for their primary home theater system. But many consumers are now buying smaller LCD panels for second and third locations. While these panels have high pixel densities, because of their size one cannot take full advantage of the extra resolution unless sitting uncomfortably close. People are buying panel TVs as much for aesthetics as for the extra resolution. In fact, the legacy NTSC content looks much worse on my daughters 32" panel than it did on the old 26" CRT display that it replaced - but DVDs and Playstation games look much better. HD is not even a consideration.

Regards
Craig


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--
Tom Barry                       trbarry@xxxxxxxxxxx     
Find my resume and video filters at www.trbarry.com


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