[opendtv] Re: Highfield unveils vision for Freeview's future

  • From: "Bob Miller" <robmxa@xxxxxxxxx>
  • To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Fri, 20 Apr 2007 13:02:12 -0400

There were three points in my post that you seem to have overlooked.

As Tom points out we were talking about two 6MHz channels.

Second only first run content would be recorded. That leaves out all
duplicate advertising and shows.

Third the viewer would be able to check off any content they did not
want to receive which would again save storage space.

And a fourth not mentioned specifically by assumed that the reader
would understand.

That is that storage cost would tend to zero over time. That does not
stop now at your $900. It continues to something far lower.

As with transistors, the example we used in Helsinki in 1999, the
first use was carefully chosen because of cost but today millions of
transistors are thrown at the simplest problems.

Viewers will tend to record more and more content that they will never
watch just because they can. It is just easier to record everything so
that you don't miss something.

I think if you add in all the things you missed in my first post the
cost of storage today for our idea is more like $300 or less. Your
dismissive response would have been more to the point when we first
proposed this in 1999 when the cost would have easily have been $6000.

But in designing a new broadcast business it makes sense to look out
as far as possible into the future to see what the environment you
will be operating in will look like and allow for as much flexibility
as possible. Something that was not done in the choice of 8-VSB and
MPEG2 IMO.

Bob Miller

On 4/19/07, John Willkie <johnwillkie@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Somehow, you don't think it's absurd to pay $900 to record much content that
you will never watch.  Every week.

I don't think the problem is me.  That's an investment greater than what the
average person pays for cable TV in a year.  And, cable would be on top of
the $900.  Per week.

Are you sure that you're not a full time 'devil's advocate', Tom?

John Willkie
----- Original Message -----
From: "Tom Barry" <trbarry@xxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, April 19, 2007 3:03 PM
Subject: [opendtv] Re: Highfield unveils vision for Freeview's future


> Makes no sense?  I've also proposed just recording everything of  some
> selected set of channels.  And Bob's proposal was only for 2 full
> streams.  At 8.6 GB / hour you could record about 29 hours of 2 full
> streams on a 500GB drive.  And I ordered one of those myself yesterday
> for $140.93, including shipping.
>
> If you wanted only what Bob proposed you could get your whole week 24/7
> for less than $900.  Though since 99% of TV is useless to me I prefer to
> use the online guides and program my computers to only get the things of
> interest to me, just like I would not try to download the entire
> Internet.  But storage cost is indeed trending towards free.  It's just
> our usage and expectations trend upwards along with that.
>
> - Tom
>
>
>
> John Willkie wrote:
> > Record everthing?  Next to nothing?
> >
> > Let me see, an ATSC transport stream is 8.7 gb per hout.  So, if you
have 10
> > transport streams, recording everything uses up 87 gb of disk space in
an
> > hour.
> >
> > Why, that's only 2 terabytes a day for the ota DTV channels I can
receive
> > over the air.  Then, add in a few hundred cable and satellite channels,
and
> > I'm sure it won't be any more than 30 terabytes a day.  And, if you are
away
> > from home for a day and couldn't watch all that content, you'd only need
to
> > double your storage.  When one thinks of such large data bases, one
> > generally tends to think of redundancy and RAID arrays.
> >
> > I just shopped for a new 400 gb hard drive, bob.  It only costs $139.
So,
> > to record a whole week OF EVERTHING would only cost me $24,325.  I just
> > can't wait until hard drives are 1/10th current price, and that will
only
> > cost $2,432.
> >
> > In other words, your concept MAKES NO SENSE, bob.
> >
> > Of course, if you were to remove duplicated programming, eliminate
> > commercials, and prioritize based on what you've watched before and your
> > expressed interests, that might fit into a Tivo-like box.  But, that
> > wouldn't be recording everything.
> >
> > Here's also something to keep in mind: the target.  People only live
8,760
> > or so hours per year, and about 1/3 of that is taken up by sleeping, and
> > perhaps 1/4 by working.  That means 7/12th of the time, people can't
watch
> > TV.
> >
> > I suspect that people can't watch 'much more' than 2 tv programs
> > simultaneously.  That means there is about 5,110 hours per year that the
> > average person COULD watch TV, without counting driving time, family
time,
> > etc.  So, your system would store in a day about the number of hours of
> > television programming that a person could watch in a year.
> >
> > This is absurd, Bob.  But, the economics will only improve, as disk
drives
> > get cheaper.  That said, ti will be absurd for many, many years.  Might
work
> > in an area where there is only one channel.
> >
> > John Willkie
> >
> > P.S.  That's the trick!  Store everything to HD-DVR or Blue-Ray!  It
would
> > only take about a dozen or more drives continually recording, and those
> > disks are so cheap!
> >
> >
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Bob Miller" <robmxa@xxxxxxxxx>
> > To: <opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Thursday, April 19, 2007 8:47 AM
> > Subject: [opendtv] Re: Highfield unveils vision for Freeview's future
> >
> >
> >
> >>We were promoting this idea in 2000. Record everything in fact. The
> >>premise was that storage devices would cost close to zero by now. The
> >>viewer would chose what they did not want to see recorded. Our "Hockey
> >>Puck" receiver was designed to record all new content being broadcast
> >>from 12 virtual channels delivered over two 6 MHz channels.
> >>
> >>Bob Miller
> >>
> >>On 4/19/07, Manfredi, Albert E <albert.e.manfredi@xxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> >>
> >>>This vision of Freeview future includes a PVR/Internet TV hybrid STB,
> >>>for catch-up video on demand. Should be readily doable.
> >>>
> >>>Bert
> >>>
> >>>-----------------------------------------------------------
> >>>http://www.dtg.org.uk/news/news.php?class=countries&subclass=0&id=2376
> >>>
> >>>Highfield unveils vision for Freeview's future
> >>>
> >>>BBC future media and technology director Ashley Highfield says it is
> >>>"critical that Freeview evolves as a compelling and competitive
> >>>alternative to cable and satellite". That means free-to-air channels in
> >>>high definition-now the subject of a heated debate between public
> >>>services broadcasters and regulator Ofcom over future use of liberated
> >>>spectrum. But Highfield told a conference in Cannes that Freeview also
> >>>needed to offer on-demand content, "both a catch-up service, and access
> >>>to back-catalogue and archive programming".
> >>>
> >>>In a wide-ranging speech Highfield also disclosed that the BBC was
> >>>working on an Apple Mac-compatible version of its web-based iPlayer
> >>>seven-day catch-up TV service, as well as launching a pilot opening up
> >>>the BBC's vast archive to web users.
> >>>
> >>>"Getting our BBC iPlayer seven-day catch-up TV service and our archive
> >>>pilot out on to the web is one thing, but clearly the biggest available
> >>>audience is sat in front of the television. Like many others, we've
been
> >>>busy building a bridge between our on-demand content aspirations and
our
> >>>audiences' lounge-bound televisions," said Highfield.
> >>>
> >>>"As Britain enters the endgame of analogue switchover, we have a
> >>>four-year-long opportunity to achieve a step-change in the services
> >>>which we deliver on Freeview, and to evolve and future-proof Freeview
> >>>with additional advanced interactive and digital functionality.
> >>>
> >>>"We've just completed a technical trial to test some of the
technologies
> >>>around, pushing 50 hours of BBC programming per week automatically to
> >>>digital video recorders on Freeview.
> >>>
> >>>"It's a simple catch-up service that could become the entry-point for
> >>>audiences to on-demand for the first time. Its advantage over a PVR is
> >>>that you don't have to remember to record your favourite BBC
programmes,
> >>>and that at any one moment, in addition to all the linear channels,
> >>>there is always a freshly-prepared up-to-date carousel of 50 hours of
> >>>on-demand programmes."
> >>>
> >>>Highfield said while 'push-VOD' had its attractions it would not allow
> >>>"any viewer to access any BBC programme ever broadcast via their
> >>>television". That required an internet connection and new hybrid
set-top
> >>>box, combining broadcast TV with the internet. "Hybrid boxes are a part
> >>>of the future, as important-if not more so-than standard PVRs," said
> >>>Highfield.
> >>>
> >>>"In a hybrid environment you can really start to mix and match, using
> >>>the best of both worlds linear scheduled TV via digital broadcast for
> >>>new programming on the one hand, and deep archive via IP on the other.
> >>>Their worlds may be converging, but they're not in competition. The BBC
> >>>will deliver content and applications via broadcast and IP, merging
them
> >>>into a seamless audience experience."
> >>>
> >>>Lovelace Consulting 19.04.2007
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>----------------------------------------------------------------------
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> > ----------------------------------------------------------------------
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>
> --
> Tom Barry                  trbarry@xxxxxxxxxxx
>
>
>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
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