[opendtv] Re: CommLawBlog
- From: Craig Birkmaier <brewmastercraig@xxxxxxxxxx>
- To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Thu, 07 Jul 2016 18:54:02 -0400
Regards
Craig
On Jul 7, 2016, at 1:35 PM, Manfredi, Albert E <albert.e.manfredi@xxxxxxxxxx>
wrote:
Actually, I posted two URLs which are not specific to my market.
Correct.
I posted the first link with the history of cable modems. This paragraph
provides some useful insight:
By the end of 1998, the North American cable industry counted 550,000 cable
modem subscribers. That grew to 1.6 million by the end of 1999 and five
million a year later. At the end of 2002, there were more than 16 million.
Over the same time span, the cost of cable modems has declined steadily, from
$500 or more in the mid-1990s, to the low $120 range by summer of 2001.
The first DOCSIS modem certification occurred in March of 1999. Obviously there
were some trials before this based on the stats above. The second link simply
predicted the superiority of DOCSIS over ADSL.
Cable broadband was available before ADSL.
Perhaps in your market. Can you tell us when it became available and the
technology that was used?
Perhaps there were technology trials in your area before DOCSIS 1.0 modems
became available in 1999.
Cable broadband became available in the 1990s. It was a technically less
challenging feat, to deploy cable broadband, and there were no neutrality
restrictions placed on it either.
According to the informit link both DOCSIS and DSL modems were very technically
challenging - both rode the Moore's law curve as the paragraph quoted above
tells us (at least for DOCSIS modems).
The larger technical challenge for ADSL, as I pointed out in an earlier post,
was distance from the CO. This was less a technical challenge than an
infrastructure issue; the telcos had to deploy fiber to neighborhood risers,
much as the cable companies are doing now to deal with overloaded neighborhood
loops.
These facts are not in question, Craig. Ultimately, how many ADSL lines were
deployed by 2014, which your charts show, way after the competing ISPs were
out of the picture, does not dispute any of this.
The chart does not provide much of a historic perspective.
But this research report from 2002 provides the data we need to understand what
was going on BEFORE the FCC reversed the sharing rule in 2003.
http://www.leichtmanresearch.com/press/033103release.pdf
There were 17.4 million broadband subscribers in the U.S. In 2002 - 65% cable
broadband, 35% telco DSL. At the end of 2002 Verizon had 1.788 million DSL
subscribers.
So please stop telling us that the telcos delayed deploying DSL until the rules
were changed in 2003.
Obviously DSL grew as demand increased. It is ALSO OBVIOUS that the
availability of DSL in the early years was directly related to distance
the signal had to travel to the CO.
For ADSL, the restriction was 15,000 ft. But this only adds reasons as to why
it was slow at being deployed. By the time we got ADSL, there was no option
of competing ISPs on it.
That was clearly "your" local issue. There were more than 6 million telco DSL
subscribers before the rules changed in 2003.
Regards
Craig
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