[opendtv] Re: Auction 73/76
- From: "Bob Miller" <robmxa@xxxxxxxxx>
- To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Sun, 10 Feb 2008 15:21:40 -0500
I would much rather have just the rf, two channels for $405K BTW, than what
that station that sold for $25 Million has with all their other 8 "assets".
Their assets also include having to use MPEG2 and 8-VSB. They include all
the restrictions "broadcasters" have to abide by via FCC regulations. They
include waiting for an inefficient mobile version of 8-VSB. They include a
mindset that is headed for extinction.
I would rather have just the clean white sheet with fewer restrictions and
two channels for $405K any day.
Bob Miller
On Feb 10, 2008 2:52 PM, John Willkie <johnwillkie@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> What planet are you on? It's time to return to earth.
>
>
>
> A TV station in Tyler texas has these assets:
>
> 1. proven revenue generator
>
> 2. physical assets
>
> 3. leases
>
> 4. contracts
>
> 5. goodwill in the community
>
> 6. a proven, widely-used free system for transmisión using widely
> available equipment
>
> 7. employees
>
> 8. a swath of spectrum
>
>
>
> At best, these bidders might have 8 everything else is just a cost, not an
> asset.
>
>
>
> And, the only company that has ACTUALLY done something with their spectrum
> is Qualcomm. Everything else is arbitrage.
>
>
>
> Why did the fools pay so much for these small markets? $405K for a single
> channel – rf only – is way too high to make it a going business.
>
>
>
> John Willkie
>
>
>
>
>
>
> ------------------------------
>
> *De:* opendtv-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:opendtv-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] *En
> nombre de *Bob Miller
> *Enviado el:* Sunday, February 10, 2008 11:21 AM
> *Para:* opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> *Asunto:* [opendtv] Re: Auction 73/76
>
>
>
> The conventional wisdom is that using this spectrum for broadcasting is
> the LOWEST value use. The problem is that they are only thinking of using it
> for "mobile broadcasting" which is defined as broadcasting to cell phones as
> Qualcomm is doing. The conventional wisdom crowd then looks at anemic use
> figures of this "mobile broadcasting" which is in its early stages and
> decides that is the only model, that few will be willing to pay a monthly
> fee to watch TV on their cell phone.
>
> They could be wrong but I have agreed with that assessment since day one.
> I believe that if you broadcast specifically to cell phones that that
> service will become just another service in a cell phone bundle that you
> have to provide to be competitive and that it will not be a profit center.
>
> But if you use this spectrum for broadcasting TV like I have proposed, not
> to cell phones exclusively, but target everyone on all devices everywhere
> with a free service or a free service and a subscription service you will
> have a winner.
>
> And you then can compare cost of spectrum in Auction 73 with what a
> current broadcast TV station goes for.
>
> Tyler Texas had a sale of a TV station recently for $25 million. They have
> a coverage of 100,000 in Tyler which has a population of 80,000. I know they
> make steel pipe their but have little else to go on for demographics.
> Compare to TWO TV stations, channels 54 and 59 in a similar coverage area
> that you could buy in the current Auction 73 or the late Auctions 44 and 49.
> ALL of which I contend are going for or went for SUPER CHEAP prices.
>
> For example Channels 54 and 59 in Auctions 44 and 49 and Channels 53 and
> 58 in Auction 73 were won for or are being bid at in these markets with
> similar pops to Tyler Texas...
>
> Marion Arkansas, 97,000 pops went for or are going for in Auction 44 $.00,
> Auction 49 $35,400 Auction 73 currently bid at $369,000
>
> Sherman-Denison Texas, 111,000 pops Auction 44 $.00, Auction 49, $78,000,
> sold privately by Aloha to AT&T in Oct 2007 for ???$$$$, Auction 73
> currently bid at $214,000
>
> Midland Texas, 116,008 pops Auction 44 $.00, Auction 49, $55,500, Auction
> 73 currently bid at $405,000
>
> So if one station in Tyler with a population of 80,000 is worth $25
> million why is Midland with two stations going for $405,000?
>
>
>
>
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