[opendtv] Re: Auction 73/76
- From: "Bob Miller" <robmxa@xxxxxxxxx>
- To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Fri, 8 Feb 2008 20:04:12 -0500
The FCC, Congress and the Lobbyist who else. Interesting how between 2004
when the last auction ended and now they managed to change the rules for the
Lower 700 MHz channels, 52 to 59, from 50 kW to 5 kW with the one exception
of the E block or Channel 56. The FCC "CLAIMS" to be interested in making
the spectrum open to "as many uses as possible" but lowered the power level
to limit broadcast competition to current OTA broadcasters IMO. Probably
only left 56 alone to satisfy lobbyist of Qualcomm which most likely wants
to add to their 55. But they did leave the language alone AFAIK so if you
want to broadcast at 5 kW you can on the other blocks.
Their rationale for setting the rules as they have publicly is to allow " as
many uses as possible" but in fact is to satisfy the fattest cats who are in
their face the most and who have clout in Congress.
Still think that the most economical use of this spectrum is for broadcast
one way. Most of it could still end up being used that way. The FCC may even
allow an increase in power later for broadcast users IMO if they prove out
broadcast usage in Cities where 5 kW would be a lot in an SFN.
Bob Miller
On Feb 7, 2008 12:35 PM, Craig Birkmaier <craig@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> At 12:11 PM -0500 2/7/08, Bob Miller wrote:
> >Just an idea of what the difference a few years makes. In Auction 44
> >the New York license for channel 54 and 59 were won for
> >$4,494,750.00 by Cavalier Group LL. Today in Auction 73 the B block
> >has a high bid of $884,703,000.00. Since they are almost identical,
> >B block consist of channels 53 and 58, they are worth near the same
> >today.
> >
> >That is an increase in price of 196.83 times or 19683%. Well within
> >the range I predicted back then of between a 100 and 1000 times
> >increase by the 2006 Auction that was canceled. This license will
> >only have to increase by a factor of five to get to 1000 times its
> >2002 cost and that is doable if the buyer uses it right which I
> >doubt. Cavalier offered us New York for $6.5 million soon after
> >Auction 44 but we couldn't raise the funds. They said it would be a
> >neat "hat trick" to get all their investors money back with the
> >instant sale of just one license. They had also bought Boston and
> >Philadelphia along with some of Mississippi. Later they folded into
> >Aloha.
> >
> >Actually 54 and 59 may be worth more than 53 and 58 since they can
> >be used at 50 kW instead of 5 kW and have a longer time for
> >build-out.
> >
> >Bob Miller
>
> Bob
>
> Who established all the rules and what was the rationale?
>
> Regards
> Craig
>
>
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