The first analysis that oil production had peaked came in 1919. There were others, in 1923 and 1926. The 1927 "Spindletop" discovery in East Texas took care of the latter one. And, all these are "static" analyses. If the price goes up, there's more exploration, and it becomes cost-effective to get oil from locations that were previously too expensive. Capped wells become uncapped and are pumped. More dynamic than static analyses take into account. Notice the post-Katarina effects. Short-term price spikes (but no long lines at gas stations, unlike 1973-1974, and no rationing). Oil went up, and now there's a glut. Prices have come down, although they might have leveled off in recent weeks. This is without talking about what Sunni Saudi Arabia is doing with pricing and pumping to hurt Shia Iran and godless (at the highest levels) Venezuela . (Iran exports oil, but imports most of its refined gasoline.) John Willkie, somewhat a purist on this matter since he usually takes public transportation and hasn't had heating in his home for more than 7 years, and (mostly) lives in a country that exports more oil than it uses domestically. P.S. Anybody else notice the disruption of ethanol on retail corn (tortilla) prices in Mexico? _____ From: opendtv-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:opendtv-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Mark Aitken Sent: Friday, February 02, 2007 2:15 PM To: opendtv@xxxxxxxxxxxxx Subject: [opendtv] Re: A Station Group with a Future Here is a good piece about "Peak Oil" http://wapurl.co.uk/?ETEOPT9 Mark the one that agrees that we are TOO lazy and need to face the facts - petroleum is an important RAW MATERIAL - (not just the source for gas for too many cars) PS - FUSION POWER! We need it now! Manfredi, Albert E wrote: Bob Miller wrote: Whether or not humans have had any affect on the climate so far we should be doing everything we can to be able to do so in the future since it looks like change is inevitable. In the mid 1970s, the word was we were moving back to an ice age. More recently, everyone seems to agree we are in a warming period, and that these occur on a regular cycle of several 100s of thoussands of years. And after the peak, you start heading back to an ice age. In the past decade or so, the general consensus among those who study these things was that for sure we were in a warming trend, but it was unknown whether humans had a very significant effect on this. The latest twist in this past week, maybe caused by reporters not interpreting correctly what they are being told (why does that sound familiar?), is that human-caused CO2 emissions that are the biggest contributor to global warming. And that it will keep getting warmer. http://www.wtop.com/?nid=220 <http://www.wtop.com/?nid=220&sid=1048620> &sid=1048620 A model presented at a symposium I attended recently showed ocean salinity decreasing somewhat with melting ice at the poles, reducing the strength of the gulf stream and other such currents, which is what eventually turns the warming trend around. Whatever the truth might be, there is enough here to worry about that there should be no excuse for self-indulgent wanton waste, IMO. When Exxon-Mobile reports record profits, people seem to be miffed because supposedly they are "paying too much for fuel." But when I look around on the road, seems to me they still aren't paying enough. Bert ---------------------------------------------------------------------- You can UNSUBSCRIBE from the OpenDTV list in two ways: - Using the UNSUBSCRIBE command in your user configuration settings at FreeLists.org - By sending a message to: opendtv-request@xxxxxxxxxxxxx with the word unsubscribe in the subject line. -- ><> ><> ><> ><> ><> ><> ><> Regards, Mark A. Aitken Director, Advanced Technology <>< <>< <>< <>< <>< <>< <>< =================================== Sinclair Broadcast Group 10706 Beaver Dam Road Hunt Valley, MD 21030 =================================== Business TEL: (410) 568-1535 Business MOBILE: (443) 677-4425 Business FAX: (410) 568-1580 E-mail: maitken@xxxxxxxxxx Text PAGE: page.maitken@xxxxxxxxxx HTML PAGE: 4436774425@xxxxxxxxxx www.newscentral.tv www.sbgi.net =================================== "As far as the laws of mathematics refer to reality, they are not certain, and as far as they are certain, they do not refer to reality." ------- Albert Einstein------- =================================== "I like nonsense-it wakes up the brain cells. Fantasy is a necessary ingredient in living. It's a way of looking at life through the wrong end of a telescope...and that enables you to laugh at all of life's realities." ~ ~ Theodor S. Geisel, a.k.a. "Dr. Seuss" ~ ~ ===================================