Last week I was reading Judea Pearl’s book “The Book of Why”, which discusses
causal paths as a tool for examining causal relationships. The book led me
down several paths on his work about estimating the “probability of necessity”
and “probability of sufficiency” — two key concepts to needs and needs
assessment of course.
Here is one article that applies of this logic, I enjoyed it and thought that I
would share with this group:
https://ssi.armywarcollege.edu/pubs/Parameters/issues/Summer_2018/5_HillGerras.pdf
There are some more technical pieces with complex logic and Bayesian
probabilities... but I am still working my way through those.
Talk to you soon,
Ryan
Ryan Watkins, Ph.D.
▲ Professor, George Washington University
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▲ Websites:
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