amazing how Sadaam was captured and Osuma is still busting the charts with hit videos..I break my silence--the Lemmings won. Josey ----- Original Message ----- From: "joseph" <wells001@xxxxxxxxxxxx> To: <lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> Sent: Friday, November 05, 2004 8:26 PM Subject: [lit-ideas] terrorism passing this on > Threat of Attack Following OBL Video > 5 Nov. 2004 > (http://www.intelcenter.com) > > We will be releasing an in-depth analysis of the 29 Oct. video > address by Osama bin Laden in the next 12 hours. However, one initial > finding warrants immediate release. > > Since January 2002, there have been only three direct addresses in > audio or video form by Osama bin Laden to the American people. All > three of these addresses occurred in Oct. One in 2002, 2003 and now > 2004. In both 2002 and 2003, these addresses were followed by > signature al-Qaeda attacks within 1-53 days. > > With the added effort al-Qaeda exerted to make the 29 Oct. OBL > address appear in video, something not done since 27 Dec. 2001, and > with English subtitles, there is added concern about its > significance. This is compounded when viewed in light of the English > spoken address to Americans by Azzam al-Amriki the week before. > > Based on this pattern, the variations in the OBL and Azzam al-Amriki > addresses and what is known about al-Qaeda's messaging strategies, we > believe there is a higher than normal likelihood that al-Qaeda will > attempt to execute an attack within CONUS or against US interests > abroad in countries other than Iraq and Afghanistan in the next 60 > days. There is also a possibility that these attacks will be aimed at > American allies, however, the additional emphasis placed on > addressing the American people, leads us to believe the greatest risk > is to American interests. > > > ADDRESSEES OF OBL'S AUDIO/VIDEO STATEMENTS > The below bullet list covers audio/video statements made by Osama bin > Laden between Jan. 2002 and 1 Nov. 2004. It shows who each address by > Osama bin Laden was directed to. Frequently this is pointed out by > Osama bin Laden in the first few lines of each statement. There were > other written statements issued during this period that are not > reflected here. > > - 29 Oct. 2004 - Americans > - 6 May 2004 - Ummah and Muslim Brothers > - 15 Apr. 2004 - Europeans > - 4 Jan. 2004 - Ummah and Muslim Brothers > - 18 Oct. 2003 - Iraqi People and Americans > - April 2003 - Muslim Brothers > - Feb. 2003 - Palestinians and Muslim Brothers > - 11 Feb. 2003 - Muslim Brothers in Iraq > - 12 Nov. 2002 - US Allies > - 6 Oct. 2002 - Americans > > > ATTACKS FOLLOWING OBL ADDRESSES TO AMERICANS > > - Following 18 Oct. 2003 Address to Americans: > > + 8 Nov. 2003 - Vehicular Bombing of the al-Muhaya Housing Compound - > Riyadh, Saudi Arabia > + 15 Nov. 2003 - Vehicular Bombings of Synagogues - Istanbul, Turkey > + 20 Nov. 2003 - Vehicular Bombings of HSBC Bank HQ & UK Consulate - > Istanbul Turkey > > - Following 6 Oct. 2002 Address to Americans: > > + 6 Oct. 2002 - Vehicular Bombing of Limburg Oil Tanker - off Coast > of Yemen > + 8 Oct. 2002 - Shooting Targeting US Marines - Failaka, Kuwait > + 28 Nov. 2002 - SAM Strike & Vehicular Bombing in Mombasa, Kenya > > > > ------------------------------------------------------------------ > To change your Lit-Ideas settings (subscribe/unsub, vacation on/off, > digest on/off), visit www.andreas.com/faq-lit-ideas.html > ------------------------------------------------------------------ To change your Lit-Ideas settings (subscribe/unsub, vacation on/off, digest on/off), visit www.andreas.com/faq-lit-ideas.html