[lit-ideas] Re: terrorism passing this on

  • From: "josey wells" <wells001@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: <lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Fri, 5 Nov 2004 20:31:25 -0800

amazing how Sadaam was captured and Osuma is still busting the charts with
hit videos..I break my silence--the Lemmings won.

   Josey


----- Original Message -----
From: "joseph" <wells001@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, November 05, 2004 8:26 PM
Subject: [lit-ideas] terrorism passing this on


> Threat of Attack Following OBL Video
> 5 Nov. 2004
> (http://www.intelcenter.com)
>
> We will be releasing an in-depth analysis of the 29 Oct. video
> address by Osama bin Laden in the next 12 hours. However, one initial
> finding warrants immediate release.
>
> Since January 2002, there have been only three direct addresses in
> audio or video form by Osama bin Laden to the American people. All
> three of these addresses occurred in Oct. One in 2002, 2003 and now
> 2004. In both 2002 and 2003, these addresses were followed by
> signature al-Qaeda attacks within 1-53 days.
>
> With the added effort al-Qaeda exerted to make the 29 Oct. OBL
> address appear in video, something not done since 27 Dec. 2001, and
> with English subtitles, there is added concern about its
> significance. This is compounded when viewed in light of the English
> spoken address to Americans by Azzam al-Amriki the week before.
>
> Based on this pattern, the variations in the OBL and Azzam al-Amriki
> addresses and what is known about al-Qaeda's messaging strategies, we
> believe there is a higher than normal likelihood that al-Qaeda will
> attempt to execute an attack within CONUS or against US interests
> abroad in countries other than Iraq and Afghanistan in the next 60
> days. There is also a possibility that these attacks will be aimed at
> American allies, however, the additional emphasis placed on
> addressing the American people, leads us to believe the greatest risk
> is to American interests.
>
>
> ADDRESSEES OF OBL'S AUDIO/VIDEO STATEMENTS
> The below bullet list covers audio/video statements made by Osama bin
> Laden between Jan. 2002 and 1 Nov. 2004. It shows who each address by
> Osama bin Laden was directed to. Frequently this is pointed out by
> Osama bin Laden in the first few lines of each statement. There were
> other written statements issued during this period that are not
> reflected here.
>
> - 29 Oct. 2004 - Americans
> - 6 May 2004 - Ummah and Muslim Brothers
> - 15 Apr. 2004 - Europeans
> - 4 Jan. 2004 - Ummah and Muslim Brothers
> - 18 Oct. 2003 - Iraqi People and Americans
> - April 2003 - Muslim Brothers
> - Feb. 2003 - Palestinians and Muslim Brothers
> - 11 Feb. 2003 - Muslim Brothers in Iraq
> - 12 Nov. 2002 - US Allies
> - 6 Oct. 2002 - Americans
>
>
> ATTACKS FOLLOWING OBL ADDRESSES TO AMERICANS
>
> - Following 18 Oct. 2003 Address to Americans:
>
> + 8 Nov. 2003 - Vehicular Bombing of the al-Muhaya Housing Compound -
> Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
> + 15 Nov. 2003 - Vehicular Bombings of Synagogues - Istanbul, Turkey
> + 20 Nov. 2003 - Vehicular Bombings of HSBC Bank HQ & UK Consulate -
> Istanbul Turkey
>
> - Following 6 Oct. 2002 Address to Americans:
>
> + 6 Oct. 2002 - Vehicular Bombing of Limburg Oil Tanker - off Coast
> of Yemen
> + 8 Oct. 2002 - Shooting Targeting US Marines - Failaka, Kuwait
> + 28 Nov. 2002 - SAM Strike & Vehicular Bombing in Mombasa, Kenya
>
>
>
> ------------------------------------------------------------------
> To change your Lit-Ideas settings (subscribe/unsub, vacation on/off,
> digest on/off), visit www.andreas.com/faq-lit-ideas.html
>

------------------------------------------------------------------
To change your Lit-Ideas settings (subscribe/unsub, vacation on/off,
digest on/off), visit www.andreas.com/faq-lit-ideas.html

Other related posts: