## [lit-ideas] Re: statisticions, anyone?

• From: JimKandJulieB@xxxxxxx
• To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
• Date: Thu, 12 Oct 2006 14:50:08 EDT

```Apologies, but I'm mathematically challenged -- where did the 5,700,000  come
from?  (The rest I followed....I think).

Julie Krueger
whose daughter is in pre-calc at age 14 indicating that the hospital must
have mixed up the babies.

========Original  Message========     Subj: [lit-ideas] Re: statisticions,
anyone?  Date: 10/12/2006 1:41:42 P.M. Central Standard Time  From:
_sedward@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx (mailto:sedward@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx)   To:
_lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
(mailto:lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx)   Sent on:
I make the Baghdad calculation 1.9 per  cent.

100 x 365 = 36,500

36,500 x 3 = 109,500

109500 /  5,700,000 = 0.0192

0.0192 x 100 = 1.92

Certainly closer to the  study's 2.5 per cent.

And as the population of Baghdad reduces, then the  daily rate represents a
growing percentage.

Simon

-----  Original Message -----
From: "Paul Stone" <pas@xxxxxxxx>
To:  <lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, October 12, 2006 7:19  PM
Subject: [lit-ideas] Re: statisticions,  anyone?

>
>>John Mc: Statistics, hell. It looks like  George can't even do arithmetic.
>
>
> The trouble is, the  arithmetic doesn't support the 'statistics' from the
> study that Julie  cited. It concluded that 654,000 - or 2.5% of the
>
>
> For Julie, Just a beginning of my analysis,  which will probably be met
> with "oh come on Paul, don't spin for Bush"  admonitions from all the
> alarmists:
>
> Well let's just  take the 100 people a day in the streets of Baghdad
> "statistic". Over 3  years, if 100 citizens of Baghdad were killed  --There
> are  approximately 5.7 million citizens living there -- therefore, this
> only  represents about 0.19% of the population of Baghdad. So... for
>  approximately 25% of the population of Iraq, living in what is arguably
>  one of the most violent zones of the country, the death rate is .19%. I
>  would like to know, where are all these other of the '47 randomly
>  selected' sections where they conducted the interviews.
>
>  p
>
> ##########
> Paul Stone
> pas@xxxxxxxx