[lit-ideas] Re: Who are you supporting in this war?

  • From: JimKandJulieB@xxxxxxx
  • To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Thu, 23 Feb 2006 04:47:38 EST

 
<<One  ought to remember that as a cause of loss of human
life and other damages,  terrorism probably ranks well
below lightning strikes. Thus a total response,  a war
is not justified by it.>> 
I've long believed that the US  Administration used the Towers attacks as an 
excuse to attack ME countries which  had been on its agenda for some time 
before the Towers .... oil pipelines,  etc.  This is becoming less and less of 
a 
wild leftist conspiracy  theory. 
Julie Krueger 
wondering if America can ever repair  the damage 8 years of Bush has wrought 



========Original  Message========     Subj: [lit-ideas] Re: Who are you 
supporting in this war?  Date: 2/23/06 3:17:15 A.M. Central Standard Time  
From: 
_teme17@xxxxxxxxxx (mailto:teme17@xxxxxxxxx)   To: _lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
(mailto:lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx)   Sent on:    
Let's start with some definitions, as the  discussion
is too muddied.

War
a) War is a military action.
b)  State of War means that the government has powers
not available to it in  peace time. At a state war, 
rights can be suspended, citizens may be  enlisted to
fight the war, property like trucks and ships can be
placed  under military command and so on.

Both are necessary but neither alone is  a sufficient
condition for war.

Terror
a) Violent attacks, usually  on civilians.
b) Designed to spread panic, terrorize, and thus
sometimes  called an attack on the mind.

Once again both are necessary but neither  alone is a
sufficient condition for terror.

So war on terror is a  total war that will not be won
as long as terror exists, meaning that the war  will
never end. Which means that exceptional government
powers will become  the norm.

So the question that should be asked is  whether
terrorism  is the kind of threat that requires
permanently  altering the society and removing safe
guards on government  power?

People often evaluate threats based on either
intentions of  would be attackers or the potential
impact of the threat. This is wrong in  both counts,
wrong as in trying to fit a square peg in a round hole
and  not as in cheating on your wife is wrong.

That there are people hell bent  on destroying this or
that civilization is inevitable and irrelevant.  The
question to ask is whether they are capable of doing
that. AQ may want  to invade Andalusia, but can they
take on the Spanish army and the entire  NATO in a war
of invasion?

Furthermore, it shows lack of imagination  to fixate on
a single potentially devastating threat. Once we get
to very  low probability scenarios (like a nuclear
attack on Manhattan), the scenarios  multiply
correspondingly.   Manhattan could also be destroyed
by  an industrial accident, say a catastrophical
chemical leak on a ship in East  River, ebola outbreak,
massive fire, earthquake, tsunami, meteor  strike,
riots, etc. Safety regulations and authorities,
medical systems,  fire department and fire safety
regulations, intelligence services and  police, exist
to counter these threats and mitigate the damages, and
are  (should be?) provided resources accordingly.


One ought to remember  that as a cause of loss of human
life and other damages, terrorism probably  ranks well
below lightning strikes. Thus a total response, a war
is not  justified by it.

One more thing about preventive strikes.  That
counter-attack is by far the most effective defense is
obvious and  well understood. Should for example
President of USA discover that there is a  terrorist
training camp in Algeria, there is no question that he
should  order an attack on it, preferably in
co-ordination with the Algerian  government. But the
problem with the doctrine of prevention is that  it
takes for granted that there are targets, it is like
insisting that  your opponent show up 9 AM on third
Monday of the month to a battlefield of  your choice in
case they want to fight a war.

The strength of small  scale, low budget terrorism is
that it is very difficult to detect the  terrorists in
advance. A discussion on whether we have the will to
strike  at them when found is completely beside the
point, which is can we find  them?


Yours,
Teemu
Helsinki,  Finland

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