A number of analysts have predicted the three-nation solution. That wouldn't be bad for us by the way, but Turkey would hate it. They might be tempted to invade the Iraqi Kurds if that were to occur because they have their own Kurds bordering the Iraqi Kurds and think the Iraqi Kurds might want to break off part of Turkey to enlarge its territory. However, what evidence do you have of Civil War? The last I heard the Shiite military was fighting Shiite militias -- hardly civil-war material. The Sunni Baathist spoil-sports have been fighting all along because they think it may be pay-back time and for the hard-core holdouts it might be. Al Quada has been joining the Sunni's, but the Shiites and Kurds have been shoring extraordinary patience the last I heard. The Sunnis have the most to lose. The oil is mostly in the Kurdish north and Shiite South. The Kurds and Shiites might be willing to have a three way split, but the Sunnis wouldn't -- at least not from the standpoint of economics. Lawrence _____ From: lit-ideas-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:lit-ideas-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of jimkandjulieb@xxxxxxx Sent: Sunday, August 20, 2006 5:54 PM To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx Subject: [lit-ideas] Re: Sustaining our Resolve Two questions for the list: 1) Iraq is in obvious Civil War. Why is the media in such denial about it? "on the verge of", "having the potential for".... so that Bush doesn't have to say damn, we didn't take democracy to Iraq, we created Civil War? 2) How many of you think that the ultimate (in 2, 3 years?) settling down of the dust in Iraq will be in essence three countries -- a Sunni country, a Shiite country, and Kurdish country? Julie Krueger having watched the Tower movie this afternoon.....very difficult and honest movie to watch (cried through most of it) but came away from it glad I had seen it and with some (unexpectedly) very positive feelings. I'll write more about the movie later or tomorrow. It was kind of emotionally draining. And btw and never DID get Phil (or was it Paul)'s review of the film!