[lit-ideas] Do the fittest survive? Not necessarily

  • From: John McCreery <john.mccreery@xxxxxxxxx>
  • To: ANTHRO-L@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Lit-Ideas <lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>, Kate & Pat Glynn <kathryn.m.glynn@xxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Tue, 17 Aug 2010 16:22:37 -0400

From D. Easley and J. Kleinberg (forthcoming), Nefworks, Crowds and Markets: 
Reasoning About a Highly Connected World. From the chapter on "Evolutionary 
Game Theory", summarizing the results of what happens when a population of 
large beetles invades a population of small beetles, where large land small 
beetles compete for the same food, but large beetles are individually less fit 
than small beetles. 

"Here is a different way to summarize the striking feature of our example: 
Starting from
a population of small beetles, evolution by natural selection is causing the 
fitness of the
organisms to decrease over time.
 
"This might seem troubling initially, since we think of natural selection as 
being fitness-increasing. But in fact, it’s not hard to reconcile what’s 
happening with this general principle of natural selection. Natural selection 
increases the fitness of individual organisms in a fixed environment ― if the 
environment changes to become more hostile to the organisms, then clearly this 
could cause their fitness to go down.

"This is what is happening to the population of beetles. Each beetle’s 
environment includes
all the other beetles, since these other beetles determine its success in food 
competitions;
therefore the increasing fraction of large beetles can be viewed, in a sense, 
as a shift to an
environment that is more hostile for everyone."

Read this as a parable, substituting communities, nations or corporations for 
beetles. Thought-provoking stuff.

John

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