[lit-ideas] Re: Back to Popper (and further back to Hume)

  • From: Eric Yost <eyost1132@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
  • Date: Thu, 23 Nov 2006 18:20:08 -0500

Inside the third box should be an arrest warrant for your interlocutor. The Crime? Mistreating swans by putting them in boxes.

Perhaps the authorities ignored that first white swan in the box, but the attempt to put "all swans" in the third box was so far over the top that a warrant was issued.

Strange that the man who gave the proposition and the boxes isn't around. {ring-ring} Oh now he wants you to post bail for him. Some friends you have! All they do is give you propositions and boxes. When you opened the first box, an angry swan scrambled out, biting you about the forearms. You're still bleeding as you apply antiseptics and bandages. And where are you going to get the bail money?

Another friend comes by with three boxes. He claims the bail money is in one of the boxes, but you must determine which one by analyzing these three propositions ...

"Get out!" you scream, "Get out!"


You are given a proposition: "All swans are white".

You are given three boxes to test the proposition.

You open Box 1: in it is a white swan.

Box 2: is empty.

Box 3: you are not allowed to open. Until, that is, you have found a way to say _as a probability_ what should _probably_ be in the box.

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