[lit-ideas] Re: Back to Popper (and further back to Hume)
- From: Donal McEvoy <donalmcevoyuk@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- To: lit-ideas@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Thu, 23 Nov 2006 16:30:11 +0000 (GMT)
--- John Wager <john.wager1@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> Donal McEvoy wrote:
>
> >You are given a proposition: "All swans are white".
> >
> >You are given three boxes to test the proposition.
> >
> >You open Box 1: in it is a white swan.
> >
> >Box 2: is empty.
> >
> >Box 3: you are not allowed to open. Until, that is, you have found a way
> to
> >say _as a probability_ what should _probably_ be in the box.
> >
> >
>
> Can I say "as a probabillity" what is NOT in the box? "Probably" there
> is NOT a swan of either color,
> because in my experience ("probability") boxes don't contain swans. We
> are left with just one swan, a white one.
>
>
> There is thus SOME evidence for the proposition that "all swans are
> white" but not enough to either confirm or
> disconfirm it as a generality.
In the word of Eric Morcambe: "Rubbish!". Have a (logical) look at your smug
and stupid last paragraph - a truly appalling piece piece of thought!
Waken up!
Donal
>
>
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