[csusbpeace] Trump, allies launch onslaught as midterms kick into gear
- From: "raccoon" <dmarc-noreply@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> ("bigraccoon1")
- To: "CSUSBPEACE@xxxxxxxxxxxxx" <CSUSBPEACE@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Mon, 20 Sep 2021 05:46:25 -0700
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/572820-trump-allies-launch-onslaught-as-midterms-kick-into-gear
<https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/572820-trump-allies-launch-onslaught-as-midterms-kick-into-gear>
Trump, allies launch onslaught as midterms kick into gear
09/20/21
Former President Trump <x-msg://2/people/donald-trump> and his allies are
expanding their political activities across the map, asserting their presence
within the Republican Party as the 2022 midterm cycle kicks into high gear.
Trump himself is issuing endorsements at a more rapid clip than earlier this
year and is planning to barnstorm the key states of Georgia and Iowa in the
coming weeks. Meanwhile, his allies are dropping millions of dollars to buoy
his supported candidates in marquee races, and his affiliated consultants are
airdropping into key races to boost backers and knock off incumbents viewed
as disloyal.
The flurry of activity has taken place in the days precipitating and
following Labor Day, the unofficial kickoff of the midterm cycle, indicating
the MAGAverse is ready to insert itself as races up and down the ballot begin
to escalate.
“Expect the unexpected with Donald Trump, and I say that as a positive,” said
one Trumpworld operative.
“With that said, I do think you're going to see him on the campaign trail
pretty aggressively. I suspect he'll probably get involved in a few other
races before the end of the cycle is said and over, and I think he's gonna do
what he can to get his people across the finish line, particularly in the
races that he really cares about.”
The former president began issuing endorsements earlier in the spring and
summer but has begun backing candidates at a faster pace in recent weeks.
Many of the endorsed candidates have been typical conservatives running
against Democrats. But, in a sign of how Trump plans to throw his weight
around, many have also been for Republicans who are running against incumbent
detractors or have demonstrated fealty to him and his causes.
Among the nearly 40 candidates Trump has backed are challengers to a handful
of House GOP incumbents and one sitting senator, each of whom supported his
impeachment earlier this year following the Jan. 6 insurrection.
He has also endorsed Republicans running for secretary of state in Arizona,
Georgia and Michigan, three states where he pushed evidence-challenged claims
that election fraud robbed him in the 2020 race. Included in that crop is
Arizona state Rep. Mark Finchem, who attended the riot on Jan. 6.
Beyond that, Trump is hitting the campaign trail in Georgia, a swing state
hosting competitive Senate and gubernatorial races next year, and Iowa, which
hosts the first-in-the-nation presidential caucus.
“The idea that there was going to be a whole election cycle that Donald Trump
wasn't going to try to put himself at the center of, it just wasn't a
reasonable expectation,” said GOP strategist Scott Jennings. “I think the
operating principle for him is, ‘I'm going to be at the center of this.’ And
what he's doing right now is trying to be the head of the Republican Party.”
Trump's allies are fanning out across the country to further his cause as
well.
Consultants allied with Trump are staffing campaigns against Rep. Liz Cheney
<x-msg://2/people/elizabeth-liz-cheney> (Wyo.) and Sen. Lisa Murkowski
<x-msg://2/people/lisa-murkowski> (Alaska), two of his biggest intraparty
critics. And outside groups like the anti-tax Club for Growth are providing
air cover in various races, including releasing a blistering ad against
former Gov. Pat McCrory (R-N.C.), who is running against a Trump-backed
candidate for an open Senate seat.
Trump’s heightened involvement toward the end of summer and start of fall
should come as no surprise.
Off-year Labor Days are typically the unofficial start of the midterm cycle,
and this year is no different. Candidates in recent weeks have announced
campaigns in marquee races, including Georgia’s Senate race and Michigan’s
gubernatorial race.
“The old saying is objects in the mirror are closer than they appear. And I
think it's the same for the 2022 cycle. It's here. I mean, we're in the next
election cycle mode, so I'm not surprised to see the president making himself
more visible and more active and conducting more political activities as we
get closer and closer,” said GOP strategist Chip Lake.
Already the former president’s involvement has shaken up races. In Wyoming,
his endorsement for one primary challenger to Cheney has started to clear the
field of other would-be GOP replacements. And in Ohio, Rep. Anthony Gonzalez
<x-msg://2/people/anthony-gonzalez>, one of 10 House Republicans to vote to
impeach Trump earlier this year, decided to retire rather than face a
Trump-backed primary challenger.
Trump’s influence has also impacted marquee Senate races, including in
Pennsylvania. After endorsing veteran Sean Parnell in the GOP primary,
businessman Jeff Bartos dumped opposition research against him earlier this
month revealing protective orders sought by Parnell’s estranged wife.
Parnell’s allies quickly dismissed the dump, noting a judge did not extend
the temporary orders, and called on Bartos to drop out.
Trump’s expansive involvement could be a boon for Republicans who are hoping
that disgruntlement with the Biden administration juices their turnout enough
to flip the House and Senate next year. And, allies say, no politician is as
effective at boosting turnout as Trump.
“He is the animating figure for our base, and he will remain so until he
chooses not to engage in politics any longer,” one GOP strategist said.
However, other Republicans say that as animating as Trump may be for
Republican voters, his sprawling presence could also energize Democrats in
2022 and alienate suburban voters who made the difference in President Biden
<x-msg://2/people/joe-biden>’s 2020 win. And while Republicans are still
anticipated to retake the House, an energized Democratic base could curtail
the GOP’s gains.
“He's giving the Democrats what they need to stanch the bleeding in the
midterm, which is someone to fear and someone to focus against. If Trump
wasn't around, I'd say the Republicans could easily head for a 40-seat
pickup. But with Trump around and as a focus for Democratic turnout, they
might be able to limit that to 20 seats,” said a second Republican
strategist, who also requested anonymity.
Trump’s involvement in the midterms is also likely a building block to a
potential third White House run in 2024. The former president has declined to
specifically say if he’s running in three years, but allies say they expect a
bid.
Heavy involvement in the midterms could be a potent way of keeping his name
in the headlines, particularly after being kicked off Facebook and Twitter,
and ensure that he remains the gatekeeper to Republicans’ electoral success.
“He's engaged, and if we win the Congress back, then he's gonna be able to
bask in that and lay claim to it,” Jennings said.
Beyond that, the more Trump keeps himself in the headlines, the less space
other potential 2024 contenders have to maneuver.
“That helps him clear the field for the Republican nomination in 2024 if he
wants it because he's just taking all the oxygen out of the room. I mean,
nobody is talking about anybody else on the Republican side because Trump
dominates it so much,” the second anonymous GOP strategist said.
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Trump’s heightened involvement has sparked speculation of pushback from
anti-Trump moderates who may view the midterms — when Trump is out of power
and off the ballot — as a chance to reassert themselves.
However, many in the GOP maintain that Trump remains the de facto head of the
Republican Party and that centrist grumbling will fail to knock Trump off the
GOP throne.
“I think you've got the residual of the old GOP, the Bush Republican Party,
not appreciating that they've been displaced by Trump,” said Club for Growth
President David McIntosh. “That's going to be a big shift and painful for a
lot of the older Republican officeholders who have figured out how to get
along and go along in Washington. And we'll see how it plays out this cycle
and the next cycle.”
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