[Bristol-Birds] Re: Mendota flight is skimpy but it ain't over until the fat lady sings !

  • From: "Wallace Coffey" <jwcoffey@xxxxxxxxxx>
  • To: "Bristol-birds" <bristol-birds@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Thu, 22 Sep 2011 22:40:08 -0400

My math was bad in the first post and I
added the five days from Sept 2010
in error.  The correction is below:

Example:  last year (2010) in just five
days of passage starting on 23 Sept 2010,
the count was 2,641 Broad-wings counted
over Mendota with one day rained out to 0.
The flight day counts were 1140, 993, 95,
0, 319 and 94.  That total is almost as much
as has passed Mendota this entire month.

Also corrected note that Harvey's Knob
at Roanoke is southwest of Rockfish Gap
and not southeast

Wallace Coffey
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  From: Wallace Coffey 
  To: Bristol-birds 
  Sent: September 22, 2011 10:27
  Subject: [Bristol-Birds] Mendota flight is skimpy but it ain't over until the 
fat lady sings !


  The winds of fall just aren't blowing in our favor at
  Mendota Fire Tower this fall but it ain't over until
  the fat lady sings.  

  There's been enough rain, wrong winds and cruddy
  conditions to discourage the weather man.

  The birding effort has not slacked but the flights
  just haven't been in our favor.  

  The upstream hawk counts along the Virginia
  Blue Ridge are suffocating with Broad-wings
  and birders struggling to see the sky above 
  them due to the massive flights of hawks 
  floating past.

  Snickers Gap, 20 Miles West of Leesburg, VA,
  now has a fall total of 35,210 Broad-wings.

  Mendota has a measly 2,676 Broad-wings
  for the month of September.

  Rockfish Gap Hawk Watch, at the top of
  the mountain on the interstate near
  Waynesboro, VA has counted 26,768.

  These upstream lookouts are traditional
  big-flight sites along the Southern Appalachian
  passage lanes.  Mendota has never had such
  staggering numbers.

  Rockfish Gap has had more Broad-wings in
  each of the last four out of five days than
  Mendota has tallied this season.  

  The last five days of coverage at Rockfish
  Gap have hit four days with 10,766; 3,730;
  4,151; 4,260 for a four-day total of 22,907.

  Harvey's Knob on the Blue Ridge Parkway
  at Roanoke has tallied 3,320 and is not
  getting great numbers despite the fact they
  are just 60 air miles southeast of Rockfish Gap.

  The flight may be drifting off due south from
  Rockfish Gap and small numbers or left
  floating to the west along the Blue Ridge or
  the Clinch Mountain.

  Mendota is not down and out for the count.

  With a little weather change and a 
  slight shift of the flight, the majority of this
  year's Broad-wing flight at the Clinch 
  Mountain fire tower west of Bristol might
  fly past in the week left before the first
  of October.  That could mean that most
  of the September flight at Mendota could
  fly over this weekend.

  Example:  last year (2010) in just five
  days of passage starting on 23 Sept 2010,
  the count was 3,541 Broad-wings counted
  over Mendota with one day rained out to 0.
  The flight day counts were 1140, 993, 95,
  0, 319 and 94.  That total is more than has
  passed Mendota this entire month.

  So we never know when it will break open
  at Mendota and some really good flights
  may push past.

  Don't be sitting on your hands and not
  holding your binoculars if a big flight in
  the thousands pours past Mendota and
  you have to wait to "get 'em next year."

  Let's go birding. . . .

  Wallace Coffey
  Bristol, TN

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