Ah yes, but will anyone move fast enough? I just read an article. There are 3
routes to doing this: the 25th amendment, impeachment, and arrest. The first
two take time. I've also read statistics. A majority of Republicans don't think
he's to blame for what happened yesterday. And the Democrats have just
adjourned, even though they have two different impeachments on the table. What
we need to worry about is that with an Israeli false flag operation, he'll
start a war with Iran before he leaves office.
Miriam
-----Original Message-----
From: blind-democracy-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
<blind-democracy-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> On Behalf Of Carl Jarvis
Sent: Thursday, January 7, 2021 6:32 PM
To: blind-democracy@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [blind-democracy] Re: Trump in Last Days is like a Wounded animal, and
3rd Parties are Urging him to Lash out at Iran
On 1/7/21, Miriam Vieni <miriamvieni@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Trump in Last Days is like a Wounded animal, and 3rd Parties areWounded animal? That's far too tame a comparison. Let's drop the fancy names
Urging him to Lash out at Iran MIDDLE EAST MONITOR
01/07/2021
By Oraib Al-Rantawi | -
( Middle East Monitor) - Just one drop will be enough for the cup of
tension between the US and Iran in Iraq and the Gulf to overflow.
Everyone's fingers are on the trigger as each side accuses the other
of preparing to launch a pre-emptive strike; any sense of trust is
completely gone. There is plenty of opportunity for misunderstanding
and the door is open for any third party to cross the line of
heightened tension and start a huge fire.
Both sides are on the edge and there are no able mediators available
to persuade them to take even one step back. Iran will respond to any
attack, both directly and through its proxies in the region. In order
to be convincing and save what face it has left after the blows it has
suffered, Iran's response must include Iranians, not just its allies.
Donald Trump, meanwhile, has drawn a new red line; he is like a
wounded animal getting more dangerous the closer he is to leave the
White House, willingly or otherwise. One American killed in Iraq or
the surrounding region by Iran or its allies will be enough to
convince the outgoing US president to pull the trigger.
At this critical moment, therefore, the importance and danger of such
a third party increases, as every action it takes could be the reason
for the US and Iran stepping over the edge. Hence, Iran's
intelligence-based warning that Israel is plotting a false flag
operation against an American target in order to drag the Trump
administration by the neck into a war with Tehran.
This is the option preferred by the Netanyahu government, and it has
always looked for ways for it to happen. The Israeli leader is
desperate to use Trump's remaining time in office to ignite a military
confrontation with Iran.
The Arab states, particularly in the Gulf, have an interest in
clipping Iran's wings and want to stop Tehran's nuclear programme and
its development of advanced ballistic missiles. However, these
countries fear war in case of shrapnel heads in their direction and
hit their oil and gas facilities causing widespread devastation. The
Gulf States have no interest in a comprehensive military confrontation
and are aware that US aircraft and missiles will be launched from
their land, territorial waters, and airspace.
They also know that Iran has made it clear that they will be in the
firing line, as its response to a US strike will not be limited to
American targets, but will extend to Washington's allies. Gulf
diplomats have been busy recently to avoid such a scenario.
Another possible third party with an interest in lighting the fuse is
one or more of the many jihadist groups in the region, including
Daesh. They have the financial and logistical resources to do so, and
their leaders would love nothing more than to see their sworn enemies
engaging in a fierce war.
The threats by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps that missiles
from Hezbollah, Hamas, and Islamic Jihad will be aimed at Israel were
not meaningless. Israel is, after all, the regional party most
enthusiastic about war, and it is far beyond Iran's range. Such an
attack would be more damaging than the Iraqi missiles fired towards
Israel in 1991. What would really harm Israel is fire from Gaza,
Southern Lebanon, and Syria simultaneously, along with anything that
Iran may throw its way. Iranian comments in this respect are, perhaps,
sufficient to deter Israel from translating what is going on in its criminal
mind into action.
This article first appeared in Arabic in Addustour on 4 January 2021.
Oraib Rantawi is the founder and director general of the Amman-based
Al Quds Center for Political Studies and an established writer and
columnist. He has authored and edited several strategic studies and
organized and participated in seminars and conferences in Jordan and
internationally. He is also a frequent commentator and analyst on
television and has produced his own show "Qadaya wa Ahdath" (Issues
and Events.)
Via Middle East Monitor
The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not
necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Monitor or
Informed Comment.
