Amy Goodman had Paul Krugmann and Richard Wolff on Democracy Now, this
morning, discussing Socialism and Bernie Sanders. My personal feeling
was that Wolff made the www.democracynow.org
better points.
Carl Jarvis
On 2/23/20, miriamvieni@xxxxxxxxxxxxx <miriamvieni@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
From: Ryan Grim <badnews@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Sunday, February 23, 2020 4:12 PM
To: miriamvieni@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Can Bernie beat Trump?
Yes and no.
Can Bernie beat Trump?
Yes and no.
<http://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkEFvhCAQhX-NHA2woHjgULvt3zAo4y4pAoFxG_9
9sfbSZA6Tycu8973FIDxiPnSKBcleIE_O6k4OlA7EamGZkoq4Mq0ZYDPOa8w7kLTP3i0GXQynnvW
MkaeWgq0zFxYog86aYV2p7PubGHojRScNOU0ms1sHYQENL8hHDEC8fiKm0tzeGv5ZZzY2wHdpyz4
XNMtXu8StnhPE5KEuXDFKO-I0p5xSzm-cMSb7lrVcvXejGBW_0_H-QYdG0O3B_z0iWW8uO7O9agp
XBTFhDN4FaAPgSTZV1bYHh8cEwcwe7AWNV0m_EHgk0GdID4iQr2Ntgit1FlYNbax1Bf3H8gNpU3k
z> Ryan Grim
Feb 23
After trailing just a few weeks ago in Nevada to Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders
won a resounding victory there Saturday, and might even come away with all
of the delegates once the precincts have been counted. Biden has dropped 17
points in South Carolina while Sanders is rising, meaning Bernie could
sweep
the first four states, setting himself up to effectively put it away on
Super Tuesday, just 9 days from now.
That has produced an understandable round of panic from Democrats worried
that Sanders will lose badly in November. And, of course, that’s entirely
possible, but
<http://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkN1uwyAMhZ-mXEb85AcuuFjX7TUiEtzOWgIRmFZ
5-8EqcXGwjn3sb3UEj5hOe8RMrGRIM3o7DoZzw7ztvdCDZpjnewLYHW6WUgF2lGXD1RHG0PxiEoL
92NrltQGuYB368S6Um7jyRkulYDKjYC1kdsUjhBUsPCGdMQDb7A_RkS_q4yK_66MXEkHq1rjXXzp
deCRsMpOjkqsQUolRjrofeq64rsIwtJJLzqVUUggxTJ3opP4cr_1Vyxu_3r64ufR8f8gul6VOWn9
bAEt2x4Ruf9alsBriQTFsGKALQO3Qubr2EpDOGYJbNvBvBvRm9n8TnQfYAK-8Qdv8XaxgpNaNXw3
0sdILdnG-2f4A64J8IQ> head-to-head polls show that Sanders is probably far
less risky than any of the other potential candidates. Mike Bloomberg is
trailing Trump by 3 points in the latest, while Sanders is beating Trump by
3. Given Bloomberg’s debating abilities and general lack of charisma, it’s
hard to imagine how he actually gains ground in the face of a Republican
onslaught. Biden just doesn’t have it anymore. Buttigieg and Klobuchar have
never polled well against Trump, and Warren has had the same problem
(though
she polls better than Amy and Pete). Perhaps any of them could win, but
there’s no reason to think that’s more likely than Sanders winning.
Indeed, Sanders’ showing among Latinos in Nevada -- he won more than 70%,
turned them out at a higher rate and he’s known in the Latino community as
Tio Bernie -- suggests that Sanders could put Arizona in play. Trump won
Arizona by four points, but it has tilted further Democratic since. He
would
then need to win just two of the three Rust Belt states Clinton lost in
‘16.
<http://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkEFuwyAQRU8TdrYAOzZesGia9hoWhnGCag8WDKl
8-0IjIUCjhz7_WUPwCPHUR0jEcoI4e6eH68T5xJzunVBXxXya1wiwG79pihnYkZfNW0M-YOXFKAR
76nWQ3bpO42KtlcO0DsrysVNKjaZ3EyhWQ2aTnQe0oOEF8QwIbNNPoiNduo-L_C6LnuCRIFo4qLV
hLyPJJS8Hl_Vet62EY0jNAhE9NMmgg5gahJdxprEm25wKxryuT7mUnRRCXMdWtFJ9Drf-puSd3-5
ffLr0fH_INuUlkbE_NZFFvfvozf4qX_UFCAcF3DxCi0C1_lyoPaOncwY0ywbubYbeJv-b0nmARvh
NG1Cp8x4WXbIoKVZLoAvFKerFuIr9Ac1LhdI> Aida Chavez was in Nevada for us, and
wrote about the Latino vote there.
When people talk about Sanders as a disaster, they’re sometimes referring
to
how swing-district House members in the suburbs would do. And that’s fair:
Sanders’ strength is not with wealthier, whiter suburbs, but with working
class voters and people of color. The question will be how much their
feelings about Sanders versus Trump influence their House vote. I simply
don’t know the answer to that.
What we do know is that we don’t know anything. The leadership of Nevada’s
powerful Culinary Union spent the week leading into the caucuses locked in
a
bitter feud with Sanders, yet Culinary workers went overwhelmingly for
Sanders. R.J. Eskow, a former insurance analyst who’s now a progressive
journalist, closely analyzed the Culinary health care plan and finds that
their benefits are indeed good, but would be far better under Medicare for
All.
<http://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlUcuOwyAQ-5pyIyI0TcmBw3a7-xsRj2kzSgIRTFr
l7xe2EgJkPLKxnSF4xnToLWZie4Y0otf9ZRBiYF53vlUXxTCPjwSwGlw0pR3YttsFnSGMofLba9u
ySRt_7UEqC0oZce0fg-jO8tENwrreXqRnVWQ0u0cIDjS8IB0xAFv0RLTl0_nrJH_LogkwECQHGzU
urgWSQopyCFnv57K5fcFg0sHfMc2QMre7m8HzOpv4AsYXcMKN24Nb42YMT24hBQSeTaiPHAMP8DL
e8AkSZP6eDNX5g88B3kWDoa66QsqzbNv2cm3aRqrv_tbdlLyL2_1HDKdOrE_Z5N1mKjLVLkt6xYR
mfZV_YiHEjWIodqEJQDW7sbDWPSAdIwRjF_CfWOlTw39MdGygi4-8AJUsPmDJWipVKymCPpZCgrb
GV9of942c0g> His interesting assessment is here.
If you watch just one thing this weekend,
<http://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkMFuwyAMhp-mHCNwSAIHDuu6vcKOEQlOi5ZABE6
rvP1glXywrV_-f3-zJbzHdJo9ZmJHxjR6Z_pOc66ZM9IJ1Snm87gkxM361VA6kO3HtPrZko-h6sU
gBHsY2S7YikXIwaIQoreLBje1XE9O93pYWDUZ7eE8hhkNPjGdMSBbzYNoz5f24wLfpejliTA1c9z
K9BFscD_JE-YyZbJ01EZAK3oAqRRwqTs9SMm8AQ6cA7RQ_LuhEQ2oz_4qrwpu_Hr74voi-XaHJh9
TuTT_Vg-WzOaTt9uz5PJFEHeKYfUBm4BUfx2LajuCp3PEYKcV3RsDvbH9v0XnjibgK69Yw7-XhQ0
oVREWQxcLwGAm66rsDyJ-fc8> this short clip from Anand Giridharadas has to be
it.
You’re on the free list for
<http://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkEtuxCAQRE8zLC3AH_CCRZxJrmHxac-g2GBBM5F
vHxxnE6lXpWpV1bMa4RHTofaYkZQMafZODf1I6Uic6hyTvSQ-z0sC2LRfFaYCZC9m9Vajj-H0M8E
YeSrXjkyLtpe848JQbY0ehF46IZkzo1jIGTLr4jwECwpekI4YgKzqibjnW_t245_1jHYBvnOTi8m
o7Vdj41Zl4hWnnFLOW84Y60XDGi7fh6mbJL_T6f5Bx1tHtwf_90mS2nzyenvVWF8NcccYVh-gCYD
nlLm6thI8HjMEbVZw10q8qPy2xmMHdbZaARHSJdbpXMqTUA10sfIJ6q_8DxjCdQ4> Bad News.
For the full experience, become a paying subscriber.
Subscribe
© 2020 Ryan Grim Unsubscribe
1701 Pennsylvania Ave. NW/Washington, DC 20016
<http://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxNkM1uwyAQhJ_GHC3Af_jAoamb17AwbFJUAxYsqfz
2haSVKu2F0bDz7WiFcA_xlEdISHKCuFojx2GmdCZG9oaJQRCb1lsEcMruEmMGcuRtt1qhDb762cQ
Y-ZT9xNVM2aY7M-t5vPWi0xTKJgpimOhAasiqsrHgNUh4QDyDB7LLT8QjNd1bw69lUt4SKv3V6uD
KU20hY9NdM7o1hRw1NN3y52n4WHUHxmZX9Cfkr6iDR_Dl63ILASESKznllHLeccbYMLWs5eJ9vPQ
XwRd6WT7o3PTU3Xn7H4FE6Wy0yj0Kty2GcGDwu_XQesDaRUlyLnuL5wpebTuYV034qvV5Np4HSA_
faQesLE-xdMeFqBWXQBMKu5ebMtX2Ayh8jDQ>
<http://email.mg2.substack.com/o/eJwlj0tuxCAQBU8TlhYwGMOCjTM5h8WnPWnFBovPRL5
9cLxtlfpVeVvhlfJpjlQqaQXygsHIUVOqSTAiMDUqgmVZM8BucTM1NyBHcxt6WzHFi2cTY-TbeFi
BudU_pJgkc8IKp6mWgdlJcyUluUYW2wJC9GDgDflMEQgaTjmlnD84Y2ycBjZw9SlnMSv-pPPzi-o
PQfcXH0pzpVr_M_i0k2x2zGj3d3-HHUhHTXHDCEOEeikundpbxHouEK3bINz29a79t6nnASbCb9m
gVsj3sSdxpa7yPhhS747G2XBhfzAFZ8M>
