Hi Joe, But really now, why not? Very low probability events do occur. So infrequently in fact, that assessing their probabilities is extremely hard. Also, given the distance and human reaction times being what they are, I would not have expected the photographer to know what he was photographing at the time. If he did, then I would be more suspicious. A better report afterwards at the scene of what was observable would have been helpful, however. Kimball Corson ----- Original Message ----- From: "Joe Orman" <joe.orman@xxxxxxxxxxx> To: <az-observing@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> Sent: Monday, November 29, 2004 6:13 PM Subject: [AZ-Observing] Re: meteorite photographed hitting Earth > This page shows the unlabeled photo: > http://www.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,4057,11483286%5E13762,00.html > > I can make out the flash at the top of the light pole, and a dark streak leading to the light pole from the upper left, but the photo is too low-res to see much detail. I'm EXTREMELY doubtful this is a photograph of a meteorite impact -- the odds of a meteorite hitting the top of a pole, and a photograph being taken at the same instant, are (ahem) astronomical. I'm especially skeptical anytime a photographer says "I didn't notice it when I was taking the picture, I only saw it when I got the pictures developed." So there was no other corroboration on the scene -- didn't anybody else see or hear it? If it was big enough to make a smoke trail and a bright flash, it would have made a loud bang -- you'd think the photographer would have seen and/or heard it at the time. There are plenty of more mundane explanations for the photo. For instance, the flash could easily be a reflection of the sun, which appears to be behind the clouds at the top of the frame. > > Of course, maybe I'm just jealous I didn't take the photo myself! > > --Joe Orman > > Joe Orman's Photo Pages: > http://pages.prodigy.net/pam.orman/JoeGallery.html > > Christine Shupla <shuplac@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote: > Someone shared this on another listserve and I thought some of you would be > interested in it; I haven't fact-checked it or confirmed the source > > http://www.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,4057,11483286%255E13762,00.html > > > > > > -- > See message header for info on list archives or unsubscribing, and please > send personal replies to the author, not the list. > > -- See message header for info on list archives or unsubscribing, and please send personal replies to the author, not the list.