Statistics and long-term forecasting are great tools useful in a variety of applications. Weather is just one of them. But for next weekend, they're not going to tell us how muddy the site will be after this current bout of precipitation. I'll be sure and bring my boots - just in case. Darrell Spencer -----Original Message----- From: az-observing-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:az-observing-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of AJ Crayon Sent: Friday, May 23, 2008 8:31 AM To: az-observing@xxxxxxxxxxxxx Subject: [AZ-Observing] Re: Fw: 5 Mile Meadow \Brian, thanks for the URLs. I'll need to take some time to review the=20 graphs and charts but the documentation indicates they are from 30 year=20 averages and used to come up with statistical modelling of the weather.=20 This has better possibilities than my other references for long range=20 forecasting. Long range here is a week or 2. AJ Crayon Phoenix, AZ ----- Original Message -----=20 From: "Brian Skiff" <bas@xxxxxxxxxx> To: <az-observing@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> Sent: Thursday, May 22, 2008 7:39 PM Subject: [AZ-Observing] Re: Fw: 5 Mile Meadow >>> Next week is for US! And I'm looking forward to it. > > The folks at NWS who work on longer-term climate modelling > publish a set of maps during weekdays for 8 and 12 days downstream: > > http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/ > http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php > > ...and give a broad idea of the general trends. Remember these are > not forecasts in the usual sense, but show the odds of warmer/cooler > and drier/wetter than normal for the given period. > > > \Brian > -- > See message header for info on list archives or unsubscribing, and please > send personal replies to the author, not the list. >=20 -- See message header for info on list archives or unsubscribing, and please=20 send personal replies to the author, not the list. -- See message header for info on list archives or unsubscribing, and please send personal replies to the author, not the list.