[AZ-Observing] Carpe noctem

From: Brian Skiff <bas@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <az-observing@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2014 17:53:51 -0700

...or maybe:  do your observing now!  The latest
medium-term climate forecasts issued today by the
NWS climate group continue the previous trend of
suggesting a possibly-wet winter in the Southwest
due to a weak-to-moderate El Nino.
     In combination with other effects, they are also
suggesting a delayed monsoon that will extend into
autumn (no autumn dry season?) due to warm sea-surface
temperatures off the California and Mexico coasts,
then persisting into the wet winter.  We thus could
be in for a generally cloudy several months starting
later this summer.
     Details are here:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/two_class.php

.....with the text discussion linked from the second URL.
The text tells more about Pacific sea-surface temperatures
than you're likely to want to know, but also describes
the weighting of the various models and trends affecting
climate.


\Brian


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[AZ-Observing] Carpe noctem

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