[spotters-illianaskywarn] Fwd: NOAA's National Weather Service SPC Mesoscale Discussion Update
- From: Keith Reedy <keithreedy@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
- To: "spotters-illianaskywarn@xxxxxxxxxxxxx" <spotters-illianaskywarn@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Mon, 20 May 2013 23:46:01 -0400
Keith Reedy
keithreedy@xxxxxxxxxxxx
Begin forwarded message:
> From: GovDelivery Weather Updates <weatherupdates@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Subject: NOAA's National Weather Service SPC Mesoscale Discussion Update
> Date: May 20, 2013 11:37:07 PM EDT
> To: keithreedy@xxxxxxxxxxxx
> Reply-To: weatherupdates@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
>
>
> You are subscribed to SPC Mesoscale Discussion for NOAA's National Weather
> Service.
> GovDelivery provides this service using unaltered NOAA/NWS products.
>
>
> SPC MD 741
> 05/20/2013 11:26 PM EDT
>
> MD 0741 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR W-CNTRL IN / E-CNTRL
> AND SRN IL / FAR SERN MO / FAR WRN KY
>
>
> MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0741
> NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
> 1025 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
>
> AREAS AFFECTED...W-CNTRL IN / E-CNTRL AND SRN IL / FAR SERN MO / FAR
> WRN KY
>
> CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
>
> VALID 210325Z - 210430Z
>
> PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
>
> SUMMARY...THE DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL LIKELY PERSIST FARTHER E
> OVER NRN-WRN IND SWD TO THE MS/OH RIVER CONFLUENCE REGION TONIGHT.
> 2 SEPARATE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE PROPOSED.
>
> DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A WELL ORGANIZED QLCS FROM NRN IL
> SWWD INTO SWRN AR. A RECENTLY MEASURED 60 KT WIND GUST FROM AN ASOS
> AROUND 35 MIN AGO IN THE GREATER ST. LOUIS AREA INDICATES THIS QLCS
> IS LIKELY PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE AS IT MOVES EWD ACROSS THE MID MS
> RIVER VALLEY. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW AND INSTABILITY ARE MORE THAN
> ADEQUATE TO SUSTAIN THIS QLCS WELL INTO THE LATE EVENING AND
> OVERNIGHT HOURS DOWNSTREAM OVER FAR SERN MO AND SRN IL...EVENTUALLY
> MOVING INTO W-CNTRL IN AND FAR WRN KY LATER TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH A
> BRIEF WEAK TORNADO IS POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONGER
> MESOVORTEX...CURRENT THINKING IS WIND DAMAGE WILL BE THE PRIMARY
> SEVERE THREAT/CONCERN.
>
> ..SMITH/CORFIDI.. 05/21/2013
>
> ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
>
> ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...MEG...LSX...
>
> LAT...LON 38898900 40308852 40368851 41618741 41788632 41448585
> 39308673 37868769 36608875 36148995 36719106 38898900
>
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