-=PCTechTalk=- Re: iPad

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Some people see the future in the iPad:

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http://www.pcworld.com/article/188286/apples_ipad_will_be_the_death_of_th=
e_m
obile_web.html?tk=3Dnl_dnx_t_crawl

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Apple's iPad Will Be the Death of the Mobile Web


Who needs an iPhone if you have an iPad? And who needs the mobile Web if =
you
don't have an iPhone?


Galen Gruman, InfoWorld

Feb 1, 2010 9:00 pm

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Recommends  =20

Apple's iPad Will Be the Death of the Mobile WebAchieving Steve Jobs'
long-held dream of creating a tablet device as cool and useful as the =
one
we've seen for years on science fiction shows now appears to be a dream
realized, in the form of the iPad
<http://www.pcworld.com/businesscenter/article/188061/six_reasons_you_wan=
t_a
n_ipad_six_reasons_you_dont.html> . Ironically, the iPad
<http://www.infoworld.com/t/ipad>  makes the iPhone
<http://www.infoworld.com/t/iphone>  -- Apple's game-changing technology =
of
2007, whose impact still reverberates through the wireless, mobile, and
computing industries -- obsolete. And as the iPhone fades away as a
short-lived marvel, so too will disappear the mobile Web.

Think about it: The iPad does all the neat stuff of the iPhone
<http://www.infoworld.com/d/mobilize/what-you-should-know-about-apples-ta=
ble
t-246>  (OK, except for the camera), and it does so with a big screen =
that
allows even richer applications and more compelling media experiences. =
It
also works as a laptop replacement for the kind of basic work we do most =
of
the time when we're on the road: working with email, Web pages, and Web
forms; creating and editing documents, spreadsheets, and presentations;
catching up on our reading; and handling work tasks like order entry =
that
today's iPhone apps only hint at.

The iPhone is a bad phone and a brilliant but now-old-school media =
device
The iPad doesn't make or receive calls. So what? Face it: As cool as it =
is
to use an iPhone to surf the Web, check e-mail, play games, and run =
apps,
it'll be cooler and more productive on an iPad. And since everyone seems =
to
hate AT
<http://www.infoworld.com/d/mobilize/why-4g-wont-fix-your-mobile-woes-297=
>
&T's phone coverage (it's always sucked in San Francisco, where I live,
years before AT&T began blaming the iPhone users for its inadequate =
network)
and have been frustrated with the iPhone's own phone-calling flaws --
everyone will be able to have their cake and eat it too: reliable phone
service from someone else, and compelling data services over Wi-Fi and =
maybe
one day even over AT&T's 3G network on the iPad.

So you'll gravitate very quickly away from the iPhone's =
once-groundbreaking
capabilities and do them on your iPad. That turns your iPhone into just =
a
phone -- but you won't pay AT&T $30 per month for that =
soon-to-be-occasional
usage once you're paying $15 or $30 per month for 3G connectivity for =
your
iPad.

I suspect most iPhone users won't renew their current data service plans
with AT&T when they expire. They will instead get a cheap, reliable =
regular
phone -- and won't miss the iPhone. The good news: That iPhone then =
becomes
an iPod Touch <http://www.infoworld.com/t/ipod%20touch>  with a camera,
probably taking the place of one of your iPods. After all, there are =
some
occasions when the smaller form factor is handy, such as on a crowded =
train
or bus, for a quick check of your tip calculation at a restaurant, or
checking your grocery list at the store. And if you have an iPod Touch,
you'll likely keep using it as an =FCber-iPod supplement to your iPad -- =
and
be relieved it was a lot cheaper than an iPhone would have been.

You may think I'm nuts to expect such a dramatic change in the iPhone's
position. But I'm serious. It was only three years ago that the iPhone
up-ended the mobile market, making once-vaunted devices like the =
BlackBerry
<http://www.infoworld.com/t/blackberry>  suddenly look like creaky old =
DOS
systems.

Why there's no longer a need for the mobile Web
But consider how quickly the iPhone changed the paradigm for the Web and =
for
smartphones. I believe the iPad will have just as dramatic and =
short-term
effects. Only this time, it's the iPhone that will look out of date. And
forget about the wannabes like the Palm Pre and the various Android =
devices
<http://www.infoworld.com/d/mobilize/ultimate-mobile-deathmatch-iphone-vs=
-bl
ackberry-vs-droid-vs-pre-453> . They're walking dead now.

When it was unveiled in early 2007, the iPhone was about the Web and
messaging -- there were no apps, and Jobs even said there was no need =
for
any, that HTML and JavaScript were enough. Just as suddenly, the mobile =
Web
was born, with sites optimized for display and interaction on the =
iPhone's
screen. Windows Mobile and the BlackBerry had been around for a decade, =
yet
there was no mobile Web until the iPhone. Today, many sites have
mobile-friendly versions
<http://www.infoworld.com/d/mobilize/web-sites-do-mobile-right-907> , =
and
there are companies that "mobiize" Websites as their business. The Pre =
and
the Droid have hitched a ride on the mobile Web bandwagon, but the =
iPhone
created it -- and fast.

In about a year, users went from reading the New York Times in its full =
Web
glory on an iPhone to reading the New York Times in its full iPhone =
glory on
an iPhone app. The ability to scroll regular Web pages was no longer so =
cool
-- in fact, it was annoyingly awkward. It wasn't too surprising that the
push for mobile Web versions of sites began soon after the iPhone became =
a
hit product.

But even the mobile Web lost its appeal pretty quickly, as those small =
Web
pages were too limited in what they could do. The singular focus of the
iPhone's small screen turned out to be more suited to specific tasks =
than to
general-purpose Web browsing, and the Web "apps" that were developed
reflected that fact. So 15 months after releasing the original iPhone, =
Apple
introduced the App Store and the iPhone SDK -- Jobs was clearly wrong =
about
the mobile Web being able to provide the application-style functionality =
he
originally promised, and without admitting it, he admitted it.

And poof! In just a year, there were thousands of iPhone apps, with more
than 1 billion downloaded. And 2 billion more
<http://www.infoworld.com/d/mobilize/apple-blasts-3-billion-app-download-=
mar
k-243>  within 18 months! Magazines and the local TV news were brimming =
with
"how to get rich quick by discovering the next fart-generator
<http://www.infoworld.com/d/mobilize/big-money-seen-iphone-smartphone-app=
-de
velopers-818>  iPhone app" stories, and it became assumed that whole
industries -- TV and newspapers especially, but also airlines and banks =
--
not only needed to offer their content and services through iPhone apps =
(or
at least iPhone-friendly mobile sites), but they could reclaim much of =
the
revenue lost to the Web through mobile-delivered services.

In spring of 2009, Apple added subscription-delivery capabilities to the
iPhone OS
<http://www.infoworld.com/t/networking/app-store-feature-subscription-in-=
app
-purchases-047>  for that very purpose, and again several industries =
quickly
began adapting to it -- abandoning the mobile Web in the process, since =
it
offered no payment model or other values, such as capturing location
information.

Today, apps already rule over the mobile Web. But many Web sites are =
still
frustrating on the iPhone -- they don't yet have appified or even =
mobilized
versions. With the iPad, they don't have to. Websites can be Websites =
again,
and apps can be more like what you already know and love in Windows
<http://www.infoworld.com/d/windows>  or Mac OS X
<http://www.infoworld.com/t/mac%20os%20x> .

As Web surfing moves from the iPhone to the iPad -- indeed, as users =
make
the move -- what's the rationale for continued mobile Web development?
Neither BlackBerrys nor Windows Mobile devices can really handle the =
Web,
and the number of Droid and Pre users isn't enough to take up the vacuum =
the
iPad migration will create.

The surprise winner (besides Apple) in all of this: RIM
So, in 2011 the iPad will have displaced most iPhones, caused Google's
Chrome OS Web appliance to be stillborn
<http://www.infoworld.com/d/mobilize/why-ipad-will-kill-netbook-and-chrom=
e-o
s-911> , and sucked much of the momentum behind the wannabe =
iPhone-killers
suddenly fighting a war no one is contesting or cares about.

In that world, Research in Motion will be unaffected. Its BlackBerry =
never
made it to the Web, mobile or otherwise. So as the idea of accessing the =
Web
on a phone-type device goes away, the BlackBerry is unaffected. After =
all,
for most of its users, the BlackBerry is a phone and messaging device --
period. BlackBerry users don't access the Web
<http://www.infoworld.com/d/mobilize/iphone-android-boost-mobile-web-usag=
e-9
88> , nor do they seem to want to. And as people migrate to the iPad, a
phone and messaging device is what they'll want in a phone-sized device. =
By
not having adapted to the new world the iPhone created, the BlackBerry =
will
have lucked out and missed both the rise and fall of the iPhone =
paradigm.

I'll amend what I wrote earlier in this blog post: After you get an =
iPad,
you'll drop your iPhone data contract for either a regular cell phone or =
for
a BlackBerry, depending on how much messaging you do every day in taxis =
and
under the conference table.

For more IT analysis and commentary on emerging technologies, visit
InfoWorld.com <http://www.infoworld.com/> . Story copyright =A9 2010 =
InfoWorld
Media Group. All rights reserved.

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-----Original Message-----
From: pctechtalk-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:pctechtalk-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Larry Southerland
Sent: Tuesday, February 02, 2010 11:21 PM
To: pctechtalk@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: -=3DPCTechTalk=3D- Re: iPad

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Not to mention that you have to pay extra for a docking station and

keyboard.

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What you'd want to do on the iPad that you can't do in the iPhone is =
take

notes (e.g., using it like a legal pad).

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-----Original Message-----

From: pctechtalk-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx

[mailto:pctechtalk-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of D. Weaver

Sent: Tuesday, February 02, 2010 11:13 PM

To: pctechtalk@xxxxxxxxxxxxx

Subject: -=3DPCTechTalk=3D- Re: iPad

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Well then it's worse than useless.  a Pad computer could be so much=20

more.  And Apple blew it, in their rush to bring it to market.  What do=20

I want.  A real computer, rather than a simple crippled device. =20

Something that big should be able to take on some real computing.  And=20

frankly it doesn't nor will it. It's $699  for a $200 device.

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On 2/2/2010 2:10 PM, RecklessMaverick wrote:

> Actually, it is more like an iTouch on steroids than an iPhone.  The =
3G

> capability is only a data connection not a telephone connection.  I =
don't

> like flash anymore anyway so I would never miss it.  I doubt the =
limited

> memory, 64GB tops is enough to be powerful enough to support anything =
more

> powerful than the iPhone OS.  And it probably doesn't need all the =
garbage

> that an OS like Windows or OS X includes.  What is it that you would =
want

to

> do on the iPad that the iPhone OS can not handle?

>=20

> Don

>=20

> -----Original Message-----

> From: pctechtalk-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx

> [mailto:pctechtalk-bounce@xxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of D. Weaver

> Sent: Monday, February 01, 2010 10:30 PM

> To: pctechtalk@xxxxxxxxxxxxx

> Subject: -=3DPCTechTalk=3D- Re: iPad

>=20

> And if it wasn't crippled, and if it supported flash, and if it had a

> real OS, rather than the iPhone OS.  And if, and if.....

>=20

> The iPad, is an iPhone on steroids, only more expensive.

>=20

> Dave

>=20

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